Daily Fantasy Quick Hits – April 6th

One of the fun and frustrating things about daily fantasy is the day-to-day fluctuation of both results and DFS bank accounts.  After a successful first couple of days, I was 0 for 4 in lineups yesterday.  But I’m ready to get back on the horse and find some success in today’s slate.

Here are your quick hit thoughts for today:

Batter versus Pitcher Warriors:

  1. Chris Carter – 7/15 with 5 extra base hits and 3 homers vs. Samardzija
  2. Steve Pearce – 7/19 with 5 extra base hits and 3 homers vs. Happ
  3. Ryan Braun – 10/20 with 4 extra base hits, 3 homers and 4 BBs vs. Samardzija
  4. Freddie Freeman – 12/28 with 5 extra base hits, 3 homers and 6 BBs vs. Strasburg

Stacks to Target:

  1. Brewers vs. Jeff Samardzija – This should be a low owned stack making it tasty in GPPs.  Current members of the Brewers own a 1.146 OPS vs. the SF righty and Samardzija is 0-3 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 13 career games at Miller Park.
  2. Blue Jays vs. Matt Moore – This is the most obvious play on the board (along with the Nationals) but that does not mean that you should avoid it.  The Blue Jays led the majors with a .818 team OPS versus lefties last year.
  3. Nationals vs. Bud Norris – Did you watch Bud Norris pitch last year?  He was awful! Of note, Ryan Zimmerman has 3 career homers versus Norris.

Weather Factors to Target or Avoid:

  1. Mariners @ Rangers – 17 MPH wind blowing out.  Increased homer chances
  2. Red Sox @ Indians – 18 MPH wind blowing out but there is a decent chance of rain.  Tread carefully.
  3. Cardinals @ Pirates – 12 MPH wind blowing in which will decrease home run chances.

Sneaky Pitchers of the Day:

  1. Taylor Jungmann – 2.21 ERA 1.189 WHIP and 8.7 K/9 at home last year.  Could be in line for a win too given Samardzija’s struggles in Milwaukee.
  2. Patrick Corbin – 2.99 career ERA at Chase Field.  Also has a good chance for a win (Arizona is a -155 favorite).
  3. Juan Nicasio – Usually we take spring training stats with a grain of salt, but it’s hard to ignore a 0.00 spring ERA.  I will be throwing him in a lineup or two to see if he can carry his success into the regular season.

Sneaky Batters of the Day:

  1. Darrin Ruf – I should just rename this section Neil’s favorite platoon split guys.  Ruf had an other worldly .466 wOBA and 201 wRC+ versus LHP last year (versus a .214 wOBA and 28 wRC+ versus RHP).  Makes for a nice cheap play against Brandon Finnegan.
  2. Ryan Raburn – While I like Patrick Corbin today (see above), I will still be playing Raburn in a non-Corbin lineup or two today.  He smoked lefties to the tune of a .423 wOBA and 173 wRC+ last year (versus a .217 wOBA and 31 wRC+ versus RHP).  Targeting platoon split guys like Raburn and Ruf is always a solid play, especially in cash games, as it allows you to get high-priced hitters like Bryce Harper vs. Bud Norris as well as high-priced pitchers like Strasburg versus the Braves, into your lineups.

Any more questions?  Hit me up on Twitter @AssemblyNeil

Until Next Time!!

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Neil
Neil has been an avid fantasy sports player since 1991 and a profitable low stakes DFS grinder since 2014. Neil is ranked in the top 20% of DFS players in 3 sports and in the top 10% of DFS players for his stakes per RotoGrinders rankings. As a native Montrealer Neil hopes to get a Major League Baseball team back to his hometown some day soon.