One of the fun and frustrating things about daily fantasy is the day-to-day fluctuation of both results and DFS bank accounts. After a successful first couple of days, I was 0 for 4 in lineups yesterday. But I’m ready to get back on the horse and find some success in today’s slate.
Here are your quick hit thoughts for today:
Batter versus Pitcher Warriors:
- Chris Carter – 7/15 with 5 extra base hits and 3 homers vs. Samardzija
- Steve Pearce – 7/19 with 5 extra base hits and 3 homers vs. Happ
- Ryan Braun – 10/20 with 4 extra base hits, 3 homers and 4 BBs vs. Samardzija
- Freddie Freeman – 12/28 with 5 extra base hits, 3 homers and 6 BBs vs. Strasburg
Stacks to Target:
- Brewers vs. Jeff Samardzija – This should be a low owned stack making it tasty in GPPs. Current members of the Brewers own a 1.146 OPS vs. the SF righty and Samardzija is 0-3 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 13 career games at Miller Park.
- Blue Jays vs. Matt Moore – This is the most obvious play on the board (along with the Nationals) but that does not mean that you should avoid it. The Blue Jays led the majors with a .818 team OPS versus lefties last year.
- Nationals vs. Bud Norris – Did you watch Bud Norris pitch last year? He was awful! Of note, Ryan Zimmerman has 3 career homers versus Norris.
Weather Factors to Target or Avoid:
- Mariners @ Rangers – 17 MPH wind blowing out. Increased homer chances
- Red Sox @ Indians – 18 MPH wind blowing out but there is a decent chance of rain. Tread carefully.
- Cardinals @ Pirates – 12 MPH wind blowing in which will decrease home run chances.
Sneaky Pitchers of the Day:
- Taylor Jungmann – 2.21 ERA 1.189 WHIP and 8.7 K/9 at home last year. Could be in line for a win too given Samardzija’s struggles in Milwaukee.
- Patrick Corbin – 2.99 career ERA at Chase Field. Also has a good chance for a win (Arizona is a -155 favorite).
- Juan Nicasio – Usually we take spring training stats with a grain of salt, but it’s hard to ignore a 0.00 spring ERA. I will be throwing him in a lineup or two to see if he can carry his success into the regular season.
Sneaky Batters of the Day:
- Darrin Ruf – I should just rename this section Neil’s favorite platoon split guys. Ruf had an other worldly .466 wOBA and 201 wRC+ versus LHP last year (versus a .214 wOBA and 28 wRC+ versus RHP). Makes for a nice cheap play against Brandon Finnegan.
- Ryan Raburn – While I like Patrick Corbin today (see above), I will still be playing Raburn in a non-Corbin lineup or two today. He smoked lefties to the tune of a .423 wOBA and 173 wRC+ last year (versus a .217 wOBA and 31 wRC+ versus RHP). Targeting platoon split guys like Raburn and Ruf is always a solid play, especially in cash games, as it allows you to get high-priced hitters like Bryce Harper vs. Bud Norris as well as high-priced pitchers like Strasburg versus the Braves, into your lineups.
Any more questions? Hit me up on Twitter @AssemblyNeil
Until Next Time!!
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