This weeks buy low/sell high features a lot of Packers with how the offense has performed the past two weeks.
When entering the trade market you need to decide if what you are seeing, reading, researching, etc. is a trend or an anomaly. I think it is safe to say no one thinks the Packers offense is done, but it isn’t always that easy to see what happened.
Simply checking box scores might not tell you everything you need to know. Drew Brees for example was given seven extra points because his kicker missed an easy field goal that made the game go into overtime. The box score says 22 points, but he was a missed kick away from 15.
Determining trends vs anomalies will help you a lot in the trade market.
If you have any questions about any of these players, any trade offers you have received or are thinking about offering ask in the comment section below or on Twitter @TheSportsGuy40.
QB – Aaron Rodgers – Packers
Everyone knows what he can do. He has had back-to-back “down” weeks where he only got 15 and 16 points. There is a chance the Rodgers owner is panicking after back-to-back sub par weeks. If he is worried, pounce immediately Rodgers will be fine. If you pair a good quarterback with a solid running back performer you might be able to land Rodgers.
Potential buy low offer: Joseph Randle and Phillip Rivers for Rodgers
RB – Eddie Lacy – Packers
The whole Packers offense struggled against the Rams. Lacy has only scored double digits once and that was back in week one against the Bears. This week was the first that he struggled in terms of yards per carry. He is in one of the best offenses in the NFL and should have a lot of chances throughout the season to kill the clock and get goal line carries. Trade a borderline top 15 receiver and you might be able to get Lacy from a fed up owner.
Potential buy low offer: Emmanual Sanders for Lacy
WR – Donte Moncrief – Colts
Moncrief performed well with Luck at quarterback and hasn’t put up great numbers since Luck went down with an injury. Andre Johnson got his revenge game against Houston, I expect Moncrief to settle back into the number two receiver role and produce when Luck returns. Most teams should have Moncrief as a luxury they added early in the season. You could try to get him for a top 30 running back that has a good role in his offense.
Potential buy low offer: Isaiah Crowell for Moncrief
WR – Calvin Johnson – Lions
Receivers do not fall off a cliff like this, at least not normally. He isn’t the guy people were selecting in the top five a few years ago but he is better than what he has done to this point. I think the big issue is something is wrong with Matt Stafford and it is holding Johnson back. I expect Johnson to bounce back to a top 15 receiver, at the worst top 20. You could get him for a top 20 level running back.
Potential buy low offer: DeMarco Murray for Johnson
WR – Randall Cobb – Packers
Another Packer who has struggled in the past couple weeks Cobb is destined to bounce back. He is a big part of the offense that likes to pass a lot. Cobb is locked in with the elite group of receivers, not every week will be 100 yards and a touchdown.You could snag him for a high-end running back two.
Potential buy low offer: Cobb for Mark Ingram
From last week: I am still buying low on Andrew Luck, Latavius Murray and Travis Kelce. Arian Foster and John Brown saw an uptick in value although I am still buying them. Jordan Matthews I am no longer buying.
QB – Drew Brees – Saints
He isn’t the same Drew Brees and this isn’t the same Saints offense from the past few seasons. Brees accumulated most of his points in garbage time this week and his stat line was saved by the kicker missing an extra point that sent the game to overtime last week. Brees still has big name value and has put up decent enough points that he can be sold for a decent return. You should be able to a capable quarterback plus a solid second receiver in return.
Potential sell high offer: Brees for Allen Robinson and Eli Manning
RB – Doug Martin – Buccaneers
I don’t see too many cases where Martin will get 20 plus carries and they will throw under 20 passes. The typical game flow for the Buccaneers doesn’t favor Martin, it actually favors Charles Sims who gets most of the passing downs work. I think you can get a mid level second receiver from a team looking for a running back.
Potential sell high offer: Martin for T.Y. Hilton
RB – Devonta Freeman – Falcons
This is one that is tough to put in here because of the tear he has been on. He won’t continue to score like this every week, I think. I have gotten a lot of questions and seen a lot of trade where people are getting first round type talent that has actually been performing well this season. Based on what I have seen you can get a top 10 receiver.
Potential sell high offer: Freeman for A.J. Green
WR – Brandin Cooks – Saints
He finally had a big week this week. Like I said with Brees this isn’t the same Saints offense. His touchdown came with no time left on the clock with the Saints down 39-10. This isn’t Cooks turning his season around. If you have someone in your league who was high on Cooks preseason and sees this as a sign of a turnaround you could get a solid running back two in return.
Potential sell high offer: Cooks for Giovani Bernard
WR – Larry Fitzgerald – Cardinals
The Cardinals offense has a lot of weapons. Fitzgerald will lead that group most weeks but what he has done to this point in the season is the very high-end. He is more of a top 15 receiver than the top five he has been this season. You could get a high end running back for Fitzgerald.
Potential sell high offer: Fitzgerald for Eddie Lacy
From last week: I am still selling T.J. Yeldon, Jeremy Maclin and Jeremy Hill. Andy Dalton is really looking like a legitimate top quarterback option and should be a hold at this point.
WR – Allen Hurns – Jaguars
The Jaguars have a competent offense this season, I know it sounds weird. Hurns is in the middle of a hot stretch of games right now but I expect him to keep up a similar pace in this offense. The defense is still bad so this team will need to keep putting up points and airing it out on offense. Hurns could provide top 20 receiver value rest of season.
I would take him over: Jordan Matthews, Golden Tate, Terrance Williams
TE – Jimmy Graham – Seahawks
They don’t look at him at all in the passing game. He had one big catch this week and it came with under a minute in the first half where the defense was playing prevent. His name carries more value than his stats at this point.
I would sell him for: Charles Clay, Greg Olsen, Travis Kelce, Tyler Eifert Martellus Bennett.
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