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DFS – October 4 – You’re a Good One Mr. Finch

DFS Baseball LogoPaul previews today’s game action and shares his top Draft Kings plays for October 4th.

Today we have 15 games on the MLB schedule starting at 3:05 pm.  As always, double-check your lineup prior to the start of each contest for any late scratches and be sure to check the weather report before game time for potential delays or cancellations. Currently it doesn’t look too bad for weather across the nation.

 

This is it; the final day of the baseball season! I’d like to thank you for visiting Fantasy Assembly for not only your DFS tips every day, but for our complete baseball coverage this year. That coverage does not stop todayas we break into dynasty rankings next week starting with the catcher position. Spend your baseball off-season with us as we prepare you for 2016 and beyond.  Tommy, Kevin, Andy, Will, James, Michael, Neil, Ron and I will be here every day along with our fearless leader Jim.

Jim Finch gets a special “thank you” today. Jim wasn’t only providing DFS picks and waiver recommendations for us this season, he was instrumental in every single piece that was published here. Jim is our editor, image creator, recruiter, and team leader. We had a great season here at FantasyAssembly.com and none of it would have been possible without Jim. Thanks for everything buddy!

Here are this year’s final DFS players of interest:

POS Player Opponent Price Rank
 SP Danny Salazar
Red Sox
$10,200  ★★★
Salazar allowed just 1 run over 7 strong innings vs Red Sox on 8/17. Opponents hitting just .215 against him in 2nd half.
 SP Lance McCullers Diamondbacks $8,700  ★★★
This is a tough match-up in Arizona against a hot-hitting ball club, but he hasn’t allowed more than 3 ER in 7 starts with a K/IP.
 SP James Shields
Dodgers $9,300  ★★★
Shields has pitched well vs the Dodgers this year with a 3.39 ERA and 25 K in 25 innings. Dodgers likely will have B lineup.
 SP Garrett Richards
Rangers $8,500 ★★★
The Angels need a miracle today and Richards has held the Rangers to a .204 AVG over 3 starts this year. He’s on short rest. 
 SP Lance Lynn, Michael Pineda, J.A. Happ
Braves, Orioles, Reds
$7,700 – 8,400
I like these match-ups just fine, but I can’t imagine these SP will be allowed to go deep enough to score many PTS.
 SP Clayton Kershaw, Jacob deGrom Padres, Nationals $11,400 – 15,000  
Avoid these top two arms today. They may do well but won’t go deep enough to cover their costs.
 SP Cole Hamels
Angels
$9,800 ★★★★
The Rangers need to win this game, and Hamels was brought in just for this reason, not for 2016.
SP Dan Haren Brewers $6,900 ★★★★
Haren is 3-1 with a 2.43 ERA lifetime vs the Brewers and has a 2.34 ERA over his past 5 GS.
 C J.T. Realmuto
David Buchanan
$3,300 ★★★
Right-handed hitters are batting .348 against Buchanan this year. Realmuto is batting .329 since Sept 1.
 C Buster Posey Christian Bergman
$4,000  ★★★★★
RHH kill Bergman while he holds his own vs LHH. Posey is 4-8 with a HR against him.
 C Russell Martin Matt Moore
$3,800  ★★★★
Martin has crushed LHP all year long and has 3 HR in his past 6 games started. He’s also 3-5 lifetime with 2 HR vs Moore.
1B Greg Bird Chris Tillman
$4,300 ★★★
Tillman is coming apart at the seams while Bird has hit 9 HR in his past 26 games.
1B Darin Ruf Adam Conley
$2,800 ★★★★★
Whether at 1B or in the OF, plug Ruf in today. He’s hitting .376 with a 1.122 OPS vs LHP this year.
1B Justin Bour David Buchanan
$3,800  ★★
Bour has 23 HR vs RHP this year, including a 2-4 effort with a HR against Buchanan
1B Carlos Santana
Rick Porcello
$3,900 ★★
Santana has absolutely owned Porcello in the past, going 12/37 with 3 HR.
2B  Kolten Wong Matt Wisler
$3,500  ★★
Wong is a much better hitter vs RHP and has turned things on lately. Wisler is allowing a .434 wOBA vs LHH.
2B Rougned Odor Garrett Richards
$3,200  ★★★
Odor went 2-4 yesterday with a HR and now has 11 HR vs RHP this year, and 12 total in the second half.
2B Jose Altuve
Robbie Ray
$4,900  ★★★★ 
Altuve just keeps hitting and mashing LHP in particular, hitting .368 with a .937 OPS.
3B Manny Machado
Michael Pineda
$4,900  ★★★★
Machado is on fire, hitting his 34th and 35th HRs yesterday. He’s 5-11 against Pineda.
3B Alex Rodriguez
Chris Tillman
$4,200 ★★★★ 
Rodriguez has hit Tillman very well in the past, going 6-12 with 4 HR (including 1-2 with 1 HR this year)
3B Pedro Alvarez
Josh Smith
$3,100 ★★★★
Left-handed hitters have a .473 wOBA vs Smith this year, while Alvarez has 23 HR and a .792 OPS vs RHP.
SS Stephen Drew, Didi Gregorius
Chris Tillman
$2,800-3,000 ★★★
Nice cheap options at SS today against Tillman. Both have had success against him in the past (8-12 combined)
SS Marcus Semien Vidal Nuno
$3,400 ★★★
A great price against a LHP for Semien who is hitting .327 against southpaws this year. Was 2-3 vs Nuno last year.
SS Corey Seager
Robbie Ray
$4,300 ★★★★
It looks like a discounted price against a LHP for Seager, but he’s holding his own that way, hitting .308/.400/.487
OF Shin-soo Choo Garrett Richards
$4,200 ★★★
Choo is hitting .396 since the start of September. He’s got his OPS up to .921 vs RHP for the year.
OF Dustin Ackley Chris Tillman $2,300 ★★★
I love this price for Ackley, who’s hitting .310 with 4 HR in the past month.
OF Jason Heyward Matt Wisler
$4,200 ★★★★ 
Heyward hit .316 for the second half of the season with as many walks as strikeouts. Lefties hit Wisler ridiculously well.
OF Christian Yelich David Buchanan
$3,900 ★★ 
Not that I mean to pick on Buchanan, but I’m going to pick on Buchanan.
OF Gregory Polanco Josh Smith
$3,700 ★★★ 
Polanco has hit RHP pretty well this year, going .273/.338/.408. Smith has let LHH hit .359/.500/.635 against him.
OF Corey Dickerson
Matt Cain
$3,500 ★★★
Dickerson is hitting .323 with 9 HR in just 161 AB vs RHP this year. Don’t forget about him next year!
OF J.D. Martinez
Frankie Montas
$5,300 ★★★ 
The Tigers lit up Montas in his last start, scoring 6 runs (2 driven in by JD) in just 3 innings.
OF George Springer Robbie Ray
$4,900 ★★★★
Springer is on fire, hitting .345 over the past 10 days with 2 HR. He has a .902 OPS vs LHP.

For my complete lineup, follow me on twitter @fantasyassembly

 

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Paul Hartman
Fantasy Baseball player since 1987. Creator of Fantasy Assembly, yet just fortunate enough to be a part of it.
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3 comments on “DFS – October 4 – You’re a Good One Mr. Finch

  1. Just a heads up…Drew is concussed and Garces, not Shields, is listed as starting for the Pads (not sure what’s going on there).

    So now that I’ve dropped some negativity your way, let me try and make it up to you…

    I’ve played DFS nearly every day this baseball season. I do my own research, but I also check out many of the free sites for information/affirmation/second opinion.

    FANTASY ASSEMBLY PROVIDES THE BEST AND MOST CONSISTENTLY ACCURATE DFS CONTENT on the web, at least among the free sites. I’ll be sending a donation, and I encourage anyone else who had profited from Fantasy Assembly’s advice to do the same.

    Well done, Fantasy Assembly, can’t wait for baseball DFS 2016!

  2. At the time of this writing Shields was listed on DraftKings as the starter. Whether he was scratched before or after the fact doesn’t erase the fact that the final weekend of the season is full of landmines. Pitchers are constantly being shuffled, and unfortunately all sites don’t update things simultaneously.

    There have been a number of pitching changes over the past few days along with a good number of regular hitters getting the day off. It’s a crap shoot for DFS and a lesson for season long H2H leagues. It might be time for those in regular season leagues to alter their playoff rounds (if possible) and have your championship week the week prior to the end of the season.

    As for DFS leagues, if you’re not playing for real money ($5 and under), the last 3 days (which is really just today), take some chances on a few unknown bats playing against weak pitching. It’s April all over again and those unknown little used players have a tendency to come up big near in these last few days.

    Thanks for the kind words Paul, and we appreciate you reading and spreading the word about us Chris. While donations are appreciated, spreading the word about our site is equally (if not more) important to me so the more people you can help bring to us the better.

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