DFS September 25 – Almost at the Finish Line

DFS Baseball LogoNeil previews today’s game action and shares his top Draft Kings plays for September 25th.

Today we have 15 games on the MLB schedule kicking off at 2:20 p.m with the Cubs and Pirates. As always, make sure to check your lineup prior to game time for any last-minute scratches, and be sure to check the weather forecast for any potential cancellations.

 

I am in the semi-finals of one season-long league, the finals of another and am leading yet another rotisserie league.  I almost just want to pick guys who are on those teams because that is who I will be rooting for, but that won’t be doing you any favors – so I’ll tell you who I like today.:

Starting Pitchers

Studs: Jose Fernandez, Miami Marlins ($12,700), Carlos Carrasco, Cleveland Indians ($10,300)

  • The Braves can’t hit and Fernandez sure can pitch.  The Atlanta lineup has a collective .184/.216/.280 line against the dynamic right-hander.
  • Carrasco has stymied the Royals this year as he is 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 10.4 K/9.

Bang for Your Buck: Scott Kazmir, Houston Astros ($7,900), Jordan Zimmermann, Washington Nationals ($8,600)

  • Kazmir is 2-1 with a 1.60 ERA and a 0.802 WHIP in 5 starts against the Rangers this year.
  • Zimmermann is 8-3 with a 2.50 ERA at home this year.

Hail Mary: Rubby de la Rosa, Arizona Diamondbacks ($7,400), Vidal Nuno, Seattle Mariners ($5,900)

  • Rubby is 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 1.00 WHIP versus the Padres this year.
  • Angels are 2nd worst in the American League with a .660 OPS versus lefties.  Nuno has been reasonably effective recently.

Catcher

Studs: Chris Gimenez, Texas Rangers ($3,500)

.457 wOBA and 191 wRC+ against lefties this year.  2/7 with a homer and 2 walks against Kazmir.

Bang for your buck: John Jaso, Tampa Bay Rays ($3,000)

Jaso should be leading off against Dickey tonight.  3/7 with 2 XBH in his career versus the knuckleballer.

Hail Mary: Jason Castro, Houston Astros ($2,800)

7/20 with 3 extra-base hits, 3 walks and a homer against Yovani Gallardo.

First Base

Studs: Paul Goldschmidt, Arizona Diamondbacks ($5,200)

Goldschmidt is a centerpiece on both my team where I am in the semi-finals and the finals.  Because of that, I know he has gotten hot again, going 7/16 with 5 runs, 3 homers and 3 walks this week.  And when Goldie gets hot, he gets HOT.  Ride him while you can.

Bang for your buck: Justin Morneau, Colorado Rockies ($3,900)

Great price for Morneau at Coors versus a righty.  He has hit an amazing .411/.441/.607 at home versus opposite handed pitchers.

Hail Mary: Logan Morrison, Seattle Mariners ($2,900)

3 extra base hits including a homer to go along with 3 walks in 18 plate appearances against Garrett Richards.

Second Base

Studs: Dustin Pedroia, Boston Red Sox ($4,600)

Pedroia is hitting .353/.415/.500 at home on the season.

Bang for your buck: Robinson Cano, Seattle Mariners ($4,000)

Remember when Robinson Cano was supposed to be done?  Has hit .326 with 13 homers and 38 RBI in the 2nd half of the season.  Also 7/22 with 3 extra-base hits in his career against Garrett Richards.

Hail Mary: Gordon Beckham, Chicago White Sox ($2,000)

10/23 in his career with a homer against CC Sabathia.

Shortstop

Studs: Francisco Lindor, Cleveland

Lindor has been amazing in the 2nd half with a .401 wOBA and 159 wRC+ since the all-star break.

Bang for your buck: Asdrubal Cabrera, Tampa Bay Rays ($3,400)

Batter versus pitcher stats against a knuckleballer are very meaningful – either you can hit it or you can’t.  Cabrera is 6/16 with 4 extra-base hits including 2 homers against RA Dickey.

Hail Mary: JJ Hardy, Baltimore Orioles ($2,800)

Hardy is 4/10 in his career against Red Sox lefty Rich Hill.

Third Base

Studs: Nolan Arenado, Colorado Rockies ($4,900)

.315/.348/.549 line at home.  Pretty decent price for the Rockies hot corner-man.

Bank for your buck: Jed Lowrie, Houston Astros ($3,300)

Getting hot at the right time.  .927 OPS over his last 10 games.

Hail Mary: Cody Asche, Philadelphia Phillies ($2,600)

6/15 including a homer against Jordan Zimmermann.

Outfield

Studs: Bryce Harper, Washington Nationals ($6,100), Mookie Betts, Boston Red Sox ($4,800), Carlos Gonzalez, Colorado Rockies ($4,500)

  • Jared Eickhoff has been impressive thus far but he certainly doesn’t want to see Harper.  Young Bryce has a .352/.505/.753 line at home versus righties.
  • Betts is rolling over the last 10 days with a .380/.448/.505 line over that time
  • Cargo has a .321/.388/.716 line at home versus righties.  Ridiculously cheap price.

Bang for your buck: Mike Trout, Los Angeles Angels ($4,400), Aaron Hicks, Minnesota Twins ($4,100), David Peralta, Arizona Diamondbacks ($3,900)

  • Great price for Trout who has 5 homers and a 1.302 OPS over his last 10 games.
  • Hicks has a .388 wOBA and 148 wRC+ against lefties and gets to face Detroit’s Matt Boyd.
  • .391 wOBA and 145 wRC+ versus righties on the season.

Hail Mary: Colby Rasmus, Houston Astros ($3,200), Anthony Gose, Detroit Tigers ($3,100), Chris Young, New York Yankees ($2,700)

  • 7/22 with 4 extra-base hits including 2 homers and has added 7 walks against Yovani Gallardo.
  • 5/12 with 2 extra-base hits against Mike Pelfrey.
  • .409 wOBA and 163 wRC+ versus lefties.  Faces off against Carlos Rodon.

For my complete lineup, follow me on twitter @nschnurbach

 

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Neil
Neil has been an avid fantasy sports player since 1991 and a profitable low stakes DFS grinder since 2014. Neil is ranked in the top 20% of DFS players in 3 sports and in the top 10% of DFS players for his stakes per RotoGrinders rankings. As a native Montrealer Neil hopes to get a Major League Baseball team back to his hometown some day soon.