DFS September 18 – Only Advice

DFS Baseball LogoNeil previews today’s game action and shares his top Draft Kings plays for September 18th.

Today we have 15 games on the MLB schedule kicking off at 2:20 p.m. As always, make sure to check your lineup prior to game time for any last-minute scratches, and be sure to check the weather forecast for any potential cancellations.

 

I’m gonna be honest with you guys – as of this moment I do not actually plan on entering any DraftKings baseball contests today.  I am in 2 very tight playoff match-ups in two of my season-long dynasty leagues (including one against Paul where he is barely beating me), and I am focusing solely on season long today.  But that doesn’t mean that I can’t give you some rocking DFS advice anyway.  Here we go:

Starting Pitchers

Studs: Zach Greinke, Los Angeles Dodgers ($12,300), Chris Sale, Chicago White Sox ($12,200)

  • Greinke is the MAN and this is a pretty low price for him.  Has a 1.41 ERA at home this season.
  • Sale has a 2.55 ERA and a 7.33 K/BB ratio against the Tribe this year.  Beware of Ryan Raburn as he hits Sale well, but Sale can handle the other Indians.

Bang for Your Buck: Steven Matz, New York Mets ($8,200), Johnny Cueto, Kansas City Royals ($7,700)

  • Great price for a pretty darn good pitcher.  Matz has a 1.88 ERA and 8.25 K/9 on the year.
  • Cueto may be struggling recently but he has been solid in his 4 starts against Detroit this year with a 2.96 ERA and 0.915 WHIP.  Great value play.

Hail Mary: Yovanni Gallardo, Texas Rangers ($5,900), Adam Morgan, Philadelphia Phillies ($4,600)

  • I don’t understand this price.  Gallardo has a 2-1 record with a 1.56 ERA against the Mariners this year.
  • Anyone for this price against the Braves is a bargain.  Atlanta has a .652 post all-star break OPS, last in MLB.

Catcher

Studs: Kyle Schwarber, Chicago Cubs ($4,400)

.353 ISO and 180 wRC+ against right-handed hurlers on the season.

Bang for your buck: Salvador Perez, Kansas City Royals ($3,300)

20/41 with 9 extra-base hits in his career against Verlander.

Hail Mary: John Jaso, Tampa Bay Rays ($2,500)

Tampa’s lead-off hitter versus righties.  Jaso has a .353 wOBA versus righties.

First Base

Studs: Joey Votto, Cincinnati Reds ($5,700)

Crazy .506 wOBA and 226 wRC+ in the 2nd half of the season.

Bang for your buck: Evan Gattis, Houston Astros ($3,800)

Starting to show his power with 8 homers since August.

Hail Mary: Ben Paulsen, Colorado Rockies ($3,100)

Good start if he plays.  .288/.345/.506 at home versus right-handed pitching.

Second Base

Studs: Jose Altuve, Houston Astros ($4,700)

Altuve has a .375 batting average and a .407 wOBA against lefties on the year.  Favorable match-up against Felix Doubront.

Bang for your buck: DJ Lemahieu, Colorado Rockies ($4,200)

10/25 with 6 extra-base hits in his career against Ian Kennedy.

Hail Mary: Cory Spangenberg, San Diego Padres ($3,000)

He’ll probably play in a game at Coors Field and his price is right.  That’s good enough for me.

Shortstop

Studs: Carlos Correa, Houston Astros ($5,000)

.390 wOBA and 151 wRC+ versus lefties.  Should be able to tee off on Felix Doubront.

Bang for your buck: Corey Seager, Los Angeles Dodgers ($3,400)

Great price for the rookie who continues to rake.  .491 wOBA and 221 wRC+ since his call-up.

Hail Mary: Starlin Castro, Chicago Cubs ($2,800)

.343/.361/.543 slash line in September.

Third Base

Studs: Miguel Sano, Minnesota Twins ($4,700)

Crazy 57.1% hard hit rate against lefties.  .486 wOBA and 215 wRC+ at home.

Bank for your buck: Jedd Gyorko, San Diego Padres ($3,400)

Coors Field factor.  Plus Gyorko has been playing well with 11 homers in 55 2nd half games.

Hail Mary: Adonis Garcia, Atlanta Braves ($3,100)

.413 wOBA and 164 wRC+ versus lefties.

Outfield

Studs: Matt Kemp, San Diego Padres ($5,200), Mike Trout, Los Angeles Angels ($4,900),  Charlie Blackmon, Colorado Rockies ($4,500)

  • After a slow start, Kemp has been a beast.  .290/.346/.543 line in the 2nd half.
  • We have all been waiting for Trout to heat up.  As I write this he has 2 homers and 5 RBI in the 4th inning and I feel like he’ll stay hot until the end of the year.
  • .350/.403/.505 slash line versus righties at home.

Bang for your buck: George Springer, Houston Astros ($4,400),  Aaron Hicks, Minnesota Twins ($3,600), Josh Reddick, Oakland A’s ($3,300) 

  • Solid .383 wOBA and 145 wRC+ versus lefties.
  • Hicks has a .333/.396/.552 slash line against southpaws.
  • Great price for Reddick who hits righties at a .295/.350/.483 clip.

Hail Mary: Seth Smith, Seattle Mariners ($3,000), Ryan Raburn, Cleveland Indians ($2,100), Alejandro De Aza ($2,700)

  • Solid versus righties with a .344 wOBA and 122 wRC+.
  • Raburn has a .317/.396/.583 line versus lefties and is 10/33 with 4 homers against Sale.
  • De Aza is good against righties with a .343 wOBA and 116 wRC+.

For my complete lineup, follow me on twitter @nschnurbach

 

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Neil
Neil has been an avid fantasy sports player since 1991 and a profitable low stakes DFS grinder since 2014. Neil is ranked in the top 20% of DFS players in 3 sports and in the top 10% of DFS players for his stakes per RotoGrinders rankings. As a native Montrealer Neil hopes to get a Major League Baseball team back to his hometown some day soon.