It is that time of the year. Everyone is getting ready for their drafts and testing out what strategies might work in mock drafts.
We completed a slow mock draft via email so from start to finish there were a few things that would have changed had things been done in a two-hour period. The draft consists of writers Tommy Landseadel, Joe Mica and (me) Andy Germani as well as some fantasy football fanatics Joe recruited from the SportsHoopla message board.
5 Bench spots
All touchdowns 6 points
25 yards per point passing
10 yards per point rushing/receiving
- Joe Mica – F.A.
- Andy Germani – F.A.
- Tommy Landseadel – F.A.
The draft was done over about a week and by the time it was over a few players got injured. I will make a note of them as they come up as well as share my thoughts on how each round went. Here we go!
|5||LeSean McCoy||Joe Mica|
|8||Antonio Brown||Andy Germani|
|10||Jeremy Hill||Tommy Landseadel|
The first four picks were not a surprise. The big surprise was Le’Veon Bell falling all the way to number seven. A lot of people view Bell as the number one overall pick, but the suspension scared a few people off in this draft. I have Bell ranked as the number five player on my board.
I like the pick of Rob Gronkowski at six overall. After the top five running backs, Peterson, Charles, Lacy, Lynch and Bell, I think there is a steep dropoff in drafts. At the sixth pick is where I would look to draft either Gronkowski or Antonio Brown.
Joe Mica’s thoughts on McCoy over Bell: “He’s a pick based on the system because I see the way that Rex Ryan operates. Ryan’s a run-first guy in a pass-happy era. No other NFL team averaged more rushing attempts per game than the Rex Ryan teams. McCoy also has a decent career YPC so even a meager 200 touches will get him close to 1000 yards. And if Rex feeds him close to 300 attempts, McCoy could be over 1300 yards. And this doesn’t even consider any receiving yards.
I’m not superstitious, and I don’t have time to look up statistical proof, but more often than not, the RB that finishes first (LeVeon Bell), doesn’t always finish first in the next season. Plus Bell has a suspension, and is coming off a knee injury.”
Like I said after the first five picks I would settle for Gronkowksi or Brown and with one of them falling down to me at number eight it made my decision easier.
|15||Odell Beckham Jr.||Tommy Landseadel|
|17||Jordy Nelson||Andy Germani|
|20||Lamar Miller||Joe Mica|
This year round two is loaded with wide receivers and this draft was no different. The surprise of this round was DeMarco Murray falling to the last pick of round two. A lot of people are down on him after he had so many touches last year, but at that point he is a great value even if he only plays 12 games.
Ugh. I was very excited about this pick at the time, but Jordy Nelson’s injury Sunday means it is most likely a wasted pick. Had I known about the injury prior to the pick I would have taken A.J. Green.
|29||T.Y. Hilton||Joe Mica|
|32||Alfred Morris||Andy Germani|
|34||DeAndre Hopkins||Tommy Landseadel|
The third round is usually where people will venture off a bit and possibly reach a round or two for a player. A notable player selected in this round was Kelvin Benjamin but this was prior to his ACL tear. I probably wouldn’t have taken Frank Gore and Melvin Gordon until round four, but if those teams really liked those players they had to select them because there is a good chance they weren’t going to make it back in round four.
Barlilko took his third wide receiver in this round, and while I have no problems with Jordan Matthews I don’t like putting myself in a spot where in the next handful of rounds it would hurt my team to draft a wide receiver, essentially narrowing my focus to the other positions.
There were a few players I was hoping would fall to me. I like Alfred Morris a lot and being able to get him in the third round is great value. He won’t go and win me a league, but he is going to be one of the better rushers (when it comes to fantasy points) in the NFL. He doesn’t do a lot in the passing game and that tends to scare people off. Had I not had the Nelson injury I would be loving my team right now.
|39||Andre Johnson||Tommy Landseadel|
|41||Peyton Manning||Andy Germani|
|44||Keenan Allen||Joe Mica|
This was the “hype” players round. I think Amari Cooper, Ameer Abdullah, Martavis Bryant and Travis Kelce all should have been drafted later. Each player could be good and provide value, but when they get taken this early it erases all of the potential profit. Bryant and Copper went over receivers like DeSean Jackson and Julian Edelman while Abdullah (who might not even be the starting running back on his own team) got taken over starters like T.J. Yeldon and Carlos Hyde.
There were different opinions on some of these players.
Fuzzy liked the Abdullah pick saying that “he seems like he is the real deal even though it is a small sample size“.
Many people seemed to agree on Amari Cooper going a bit too early. Joe Mica said “with Cooper in one of the worst offenses in the NFL he didn’t like the pick“.
I do like how Barilko came back in this round and drafted, what I expect, to be a good running back to support an elite wide receiving group.
This is the part of the draft that I hate. No one jumps out to me and it seems like a dead zone. I didn’t want to reach for a running back I feel that I could get in the next round. At this point if Gore or Randle aren’t available I usually settle for Peyton Manning. There are a lot of concerns with Kubiak coming to Denver, but a teams don’t change their offense to use one of their strengths less. Think of it this way: if Rex Ryan went to Indianapolis, do you think he would take the ball out of Andrew Luck’s hands to run a ball control running offense?
|53||T.J. Yeldon||Joe Mica|
|56||Carlos Hyde||Andy Germani|
|58||Russell Wilson||Tommy Landseadel|
Kevin White, like Benjamin, was selected before the news came out he was likely done for a while if not the season entirely.
Others agreed that White went too early even if it was before he was looking to be out for a while. Tommy Landseadel said that “it was a massive reach and we knew at the time he was at least already a little dinged up“.
This round is one of the reasons I am fine with waiting on a running back, especially in a league where you can only start two. Jonathan Stewart, Yeldon, Hyde, Andre Ellington and Chris Ivory were all taken in this round and can be solid players to a team with elite players elsewhere.
I wanted one of Stewart, Yeldon, Hyde or Ellington to fall. Going receiver with my first two picks put me a little behind at running back, but I was able to put two top five receivers with two solid running back twos and a top five quarterback.
Not everyone agreed with me though on Hyde. Harold said “he sees a bust in Hyde because he didn’t look good last year and the 49ers had turnover on their offensive line“.
|63||Todd Gurley||Tommy Landseadel|
|65||Julian Edelman||Andy Germani|
|68||Steve Smith||Joe Mica|
Todd Gurley can be a steal at this point. His season status isn’t known at this point, but his points per game will far surpass his draft value. The key is to get Tre Mason to cover for him until Gurley can get back.
I was surprised to see Tony Romo get selected. Not because he isn’t good, but because Drew Brees was still on the board.
Harold thinks “Brees is going to be in a run first offense with a worse receiving group, and Brees’s age is going to be problems; while Romo should be passing more with Murray gone. The offensive line will give Romo time to throw and that Dez Bryant is going to be a stud this season“.
In his last two seasons as a starter in New England, Julian Edelman has 197 catches and 2,028 yards with 10 touchdowns. His per season output (had he played a full 16 games last year) would be 105 catches with 1,082 yards and five touchdowns. Not amazing numbers, but great for a number three receiver.
|77||Martellus Bennett||Joe Mica|
|80||Isaiah Crowell||Andy Germani|
|82||Tre Mason||Tommy Landseadel|
I am big on not drafting a defense until the very end of the draft and seeing the Seahawks go before Charles Johnson, Isiah Crowell and Matt Ryan (among others) makes me even happier to wait on a defense.
I like Tommy’s selection of Mason to back up Gurley essentially locking up his running back two spot.
Greg Olsen could turn out to be a steal for Bandit going in round six, especially after Benjamin’s injury.
At the time, I was happy with my wide receiving group and my quarterback so this is the point where I like to load up on high upside running backs. With my receiving group I never see myself sitting one unless of an injury (again ugh) so I didn’t want to use a pick on a player I would only use in a worst case scenario. I went with Isaiah Crowell because I think when all is said and done in Cleveland he wins the job. He has a lot more skill than Terrance West and Duke Johnson has yet to get on the field.
|87||David Cobb||Tommy Landseadel|
|89||Ryan Mathews||Andy Germani|
|92||Buffalo Bills||Joe Mica|
This is what I had written before the Nelson injury: “Davante Adams was selected a little earlier than normal but I actually like the pick. Receivers in the Packers’ offense are great fantasy options and if something happens to Nelson or Cobb, Adams is a top 15 option and he could potentially be a solid wide receiver three even with the top two targets healthy”.
Remember Cobb was actually the third receiver in his 2012 breakout season where he had 80 catches and lead the team with 954 yards and Nelson only missed four games. After the injury, this pick is a steal. I stand by my thought on Adams as a top-15 receiver this season.
I kept my stockpiling of upside running backs going with Ryan Mathews. If DeMarco Murray gets injured then Mathews vaults up to a top 15 running back. Murray has had his injuries in the past and he is coming off of a season where he had 497 touches. Mathews could even be a viable bye week or injury fill in while Murray is healthy.
This is the point in the draft where I don’t think you can necessarily have a bad pick so I am going to lump these rounds together and point out some of my favorites.
|ROUND 9||ROUND 10|
|97||Chris Polk||Chef||109||Ryan Tannehill||Trudem|
|98||Eric Decker||TKO||110||Houston Texans||Barilko|
|99||Shane Vereen||Monkey||111||Delanie Walker||Tommy Landseadel|
|100||Andre Williams||Harold||112||St. Louis Rams||Bandit|
|101||Matthew Stafford||Joe Mica||113||Cody Latimer||Andy Germani|
|102||Charles Sims||Broncosmitty||114||Jason Witten||Fuzzy|
|103||Terrance Williams||Fuzzy||115||DeVante Parker||Broncosmitty|
|104||Joique Bell||Andy Germani||116||Marques Colston||Joe Mica|
|105||Cam Newton||Bandit||117||Marvin Jones||Harold|
|106||Arian Foster||Tommy Landseadel||118||Larry Fitzgerald||Monkey|
|107||Tom Brady||Barilko||119||Brandon Coleman||TKO|
|108||Zach Ertz||Trudem||120||Darren Sproles||Chef|
|ROUND 11||ROUND 12|
|121||DeAngelo Williams||Chef||133||Tyler Eifert||Trudem|
|122||Devin Funchess||TKO||134||Dwayne Allen||Barilko|
|123||Roy Helu||Monkey||135||Miami Dolphins||Tommy Landseadel|
|124||Matt Jones||Harold||136||Duke Johnson||Bandit|
|125||Devonta Freeman||Joe Mica||137||Jordan Cameron||Andy Germani|
|126||Stephen Gostkowski||Broncosmitty||138||Kenny Stills||Fuzzy|
|127||Denver Broncos||Fuzzy||139||Detroit Lions||Broncosmitty|
|128||Eddie Royal||Andy Germani||140||Joe Flacco||Joe Mica|
|129||Mike Wallace||Bandit||141||Kyle Rudolph||Harold|
|130||Markus Wheaton||Tommy Landseadel||142||Charles Clay||Monkey|
|131||Owen Daniels||Barilko||143||Lorenzo Taliaferro||TKO|
|132||Philip Rivers||Trudem||144||Minnesota Vikings||CHEF|
|ROUND 13||ROUND 14|
|145||Jerick McKinnon||Chef||157||Justin Tucker||Trudem|
|146||New York Jets||TKO||158||Mason Crosby||Barilko|
|147||Philadelphia Eagles||Monkey||159||Stevie Johnson||Tommy Landseadel|
|148||Michael Floyd||Harold||160||Steven Hauschka||Bandit|
|149||Brandon LaFell||Joe Mica||161||Dan Bailey||Andy Germani|
|150||Sam Bradford||Broncosmitty||162||Connor Barth||Fuzzy|
|151||Teddy Bridgewater||Fuzzy||163||Zach Zenner||Broncosmitty|
|152||New England Patriots||Andy Germani||164||Matt Bryant||Joe Mica|
|153||Victor Cruz||Bandit||165||Blair Walsh||Harold|
|154||Adam Vinatieri||Tommy Landseadel||166||Matt Prater||Monkey|
|155||Carson Palmer||Barilko||167||Nick Novak||TKO|
|156||Baltimore Ravens||Trudem||168||Dan Carpenter||Chef|
I like Terrance Williams as I think Romo will have to go somewhere other than Dez Bryant. I got burned on Williams last year, but I think he has a nice bounce back season.
Even after Benjamin’s injury, I think Cam Newton is steal at pick 105.
I love Tommy’s pick of Arian Foster. Once he comes back he will be a top running back option, and getting four or five weeks of a top five running back with pick 106 is a great return.
I love the Owen Daniels selection. I usually end up with him when I don’t get a tight end early. He is a high upside play this late in the draft and if it turns out he flops after two weeks there will be plenty of available tight ends on the wire.
I think some people forget that Joique Bell is still the starter in Detroit when healthy. I think Abdullah is the better player and will take over the job at some point, but for now Bell is the guy.
This is where I usually get Davante Adams in my mocks. I had to settle for Cody Latimer who I like almost as much as Adams. I like Adams a touch more because he actually showed something on the field last season.
Even before Kevin White went down I liked Eddie Royal as a “keep an eye on” type sleeper. Not a guy I would draft, but someone to look at after a week or two in the regular season. After the White injury he becomes a great option as a number five receiver.
I finally took my tight end in Jordan Cameron. I have him at fifth in my tight end rankings so I was happy to see him still around at this point.
Below is what everyone’s final roster looks like. What were your favorite picks? Least favorite? Whose team do you like? Discuss it in the comment section below.
|RB||Adrian Peterson||RB||Jamaal Charles||RB||Eddie Lacy|
|RB||DeMarco Murray||QB||Andrew Luck||WR||Alshon Jeffery|
|WR||Mike Evans||TE||Jimmy Graham||RB||Frank Gore|
|TE||Travis Kelce||WR||Martavis Bryant||WR||Jeremy Maclin|
|QB||Ben Roethlisberger||RB||Jonathan Stewart||WR||Jarvis Landry|
|WR||Nelson Agholor||RB||LeGarrette Blount||WR||Vincent Jackson|
|WR||Anquan Boldin||WR||John Brown||QB||Drew Brees|
|WR||Brian Quick||RB||Jonas Gray||RB||Danny Woodhead|
|RB||Chris Polk||WR||Eric Decker||RB||Shane Vereen|
|RB||Darren Sproles||WR||Brandon Coleman||WR||Larry Fitzgerald|
|RB||DeAngelo Williams||WR||Devin Funchess||RB||Roy Helu|
|D||Minnesota Vikings||RB||Lorenzo Taliaferro||TE||Charles Clay|
|RB||Jerick McKinnon||D||New York Jets||D||Philadelphia Eagles|
|K||Dan Carpenter||K||Nick Novak||K||Matt Prater|
|Harold||Joe – F.A.||Broncosmitty|
|RB||Marshawn Lynch||RB||LeSean McCoy||TE||Rob Gronkowski|
|WR||Randall Cobb||RB||Lamar Miller||QB||Aaron Rodgers|
|RB||Mark Ingram||WR||T.Y. Hilton||RB||Melvin Gordon|
|WR||Sammy Watkins||WR||Keenan Allen||RB||Ameer Abdullah|
|WR||Kevin White||RB||T.J. Yeldon||WR||Golden Tate|
|QB||Tony Romo||WR||Steve Smith||WR||Brandon Marshall|
|D||Seattle Seahawks||TE||Martellus Bennett||WR||Charles Johnson|
|WR||Breshad Perriman||D||Buffalo Bills||WR||Torrey Smith|
|RB||Andre Williams||QB||Matthew Stafford||RB||Charles Sims|
|WR||Marvin Jones||WR||Marques Colston||WR||DeVante Parker|
|RB||Matt Jones||RB||Devonta Freeman||K||Stephen Gostkowski|
|TE||Kyle Rudolph||QB||Joe Flacco||D||Detroit Lions|
|WR||Michael Floyd||WR||Brandon LaFell||QB||Sam Bradford|
|K||Blair Walsh||K||Matt Bryant||RB||Zach Zenner|
|Fuzzy||Andy – F.A.||Bandit|
|RB||Le’Veon Bell||WR||Antonio Brown||RB||Matt Forte|
|WR||A.J. Green||WR||Jordy Nelson||WR||Calvin Johnson|
|RB||Justin Forsett||RB||Alfred Morris||WR||Emmanuel Sanders|
|WR||Amari Cooper||QB||Peyton Manning||RB||Latavius Murray|
|WR||DeSean Jackson||RB||Carlos Hyde||RB||Andre Ellington|
|RB||Rashad Jennings||WR||Julian Edelman||TE||Greg Olsen|
|QB||Matt Ryan||RB||Isaiah Crowell||QB||Eli Manning|
|RB||Tevin Coleman||RB||Ryan Mathews||WR||Roddy White|
|WR||Terrance Williams||RB||Joique Bell||QB||Cam Newton|
|TE||Jason Witten||WR||Cody Latimer||D||St. Louis Rams|
|D||Denver Broncos||WR||Eddie Royal||WR||Mike Wallace|
|WR||Kenny Stills||TE||Jordan Cameron||RB||Duke Johnson|
|QB||Teddy Bridgewater||D||New England Patriots||WR||Victor Cruz|
|K||Connor Barth||K||Dan Bailey||K||Steven Hauschka|
|Tommy – F.A.||Barilko||Trudem|
|RB||Jeremy Hill||WR||Dez Bryant||RB||C.J. Anderson|
|WR||Odell Beckham Jr.||WR||Julio Jones||WR||Demaryius Thomas|
|WR||DeAndre Hopkins||WR||Jordan Matthews||WR||Kelvin Benjamin|
|WR||Andre Johnson||RB||Joseph Randle||WR||Brandin Cooks|
|QB||Russell Wilson||RB||Giovani Bernard||RB||Chris Ivory|
|RB||Todd Gurley||RB||Darren McFadden||RB||Doug Martin|
|RB||Tre Mason||RB||Alfred Blue||RB||C.J. Spiller|
|RB||David Cobb||WR||Davante Adams||WR||Allen Robinson|
|RB||Arian Foster||QB||Tom Brady||TE||Zach Ertz|
|TE||Delanie Walker||D||Houston Texans||QB||Ryan Tannehill|
|WR||Markus Wheaton||TE||Owen Daniels||QB||Philip Rivers|
|D||Miami Dolphins||TE||Dwayne Allen||TE||Tyler Eifert|
|K||Adam Vinatieri||QB||Carson Palmer||D||Baltimore Ravens|
|WR||Stevie Johnson||K||Mason Crosby||K||Justin Tucker|
Need more draft analysis, position battles, injury news, waiver wire pick-ups, etc.., head on over to Fantasy Rundown. And don’t forget the rankings page with positional breakdowns from the top sites on the web.
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