Paul previews today’s game action and shares his top Draft Kings plays for August 13th.
Today we have 9 games on the MLB schedule starting at 12:10 pm. As always, be sure to check the weather report before game time, but there doesn’t appear to be any potential issues with today’s contests. Also, be sure to check your lineup for any last-minute scratches. Good luck!
I’m taking over Jim’s spot today in our DFS lineup, as he is going to cover for me and handle this week’s Sunday Funday contest. Between Jim, Neil, and I, we have yet to miss a day doing these DFS columns entering into the season’s stretch run. It’s safe to say that we’re hooked on it and enjoy bringing this coverage to Fantasy Assembly. Today Draft Kings has no all-day affairs, so I’m going to focus on the 5 night games and enter the $100K moonshot contest. Sometimes these lineups are really too easy, and today is one of those days. I’ve got an ace, a solid, cheap SP2, and I was able to roster most of the hitters I wanted. Here are my [winning] picks:
1. Stephen Strasburg, SP, Washington Nationals ($10,900) Strasburg came back off the DL with a vengeance last week, going 7 innings, allowing just 1 run with 12 strikeouts and 0 walks. Over his past four starts he has a 1.19 ERA, striking out 30 while just allowing 4 walks in 22.2 innings. I’d say he’s back. Today he goes up against the Giants whom he has yet to lose to and has a 2.76 career ERA. The Giants are a good hitting club against RHP, ranking 6th overall, but they’ve slowed down a bit of late, ranking 19th overall in the past week. Vegas has the Nats as -125 favorites with just 7 runs scored in the contest.
2. Mat Latos, SP, Los Angeles Dodgers ($7,200) Latos had a rough start in Pittsburgh last week, but should bounce back nicely against one of his favorite opponents today. Against the Reds in his career, Latos has a 2.70 ERA, allowing just 9 hits in 20 innings of work. The Reds as a team are the 5th worst hitting club over the past week and are striking out 23.9% over that time. For the year, they’re middle of the pack, but I’m hoping recent trends prevail. Vegas has the Dodgers as -185 favorites with just 7 runs as the over/under.
3. Adrian Gonzalez, 1B, Los Angeles Dodgers ($5,000) Gonzalez goes up against Keyvius Sampson, holding a .294/.376/.543 vs right-handers for the season. Since the All-Star break, A-Gon has heated back up, hitting .341/.426/.527. Now, Sampson has done pretty well in his limited appearances, allowing just 4 runs in 11 innings as a starter. His .194 BABIP allowed obviously screams luck, and ZiPS forecasts a 5.93 ERA the rest of the way. If someone is going to foil Sampson’s good fortune today, it’s going to be Gonzalez. I’m counting on it.
4. Carlos Santana, 3B, Cleveland Indians ($3,800) Santana goes up against Yankees RHP Nathan Eovaldi today in Cleveland. Eovaldi struggles mightily against LH, hitting 341/.395/.453 over 238 plate appearances against the Yankees RHP. Santana has never faced Eovaldi, but he has hit all 12 of his home runs this year from the left side. Santana is also a little better at home, while Eovaldi is even worse on the road with a 4.80 ERA.
5. Kole Calhoun, OF, Los Angeles Angels ($4,100) Calhoun goes up against Jeremy Guthrie today, who has the 3rd worst ERA in baseball and the 4th worst K%-BB%. While Calhoun has done a nice job against LHP this year, he is still much better against RHP, hitting .281/.328/.452. He’s been heating up in the second half with a .292/.358/.521 line with 6 home runs already since the break. He’s also 4-7 lifetime against Guthrie with a double and 2 home runs.
6. Bryce Harper, OF, Washington Nationals ($5,200) Harper has just 3 home runs since the All-Star break, but today is a good day to change all of that. His opponent on the mound is Ryan Vogelsong who gives up a ton of power to LH hitters, allowing 13 home runs in just 187 at bats. LH hitters have a .262/.337/.532 line against him for the year, and in his first start in nearly a month last week he allowed 6 hits and 3 runs over just 4 innings. This could be just what the Nats need to wake up their bats.
7. Neil Walker, 2B, Pittsburgh Pirates ($3,200) Neil Walker draws a tough opponent today in Lance Lynn, but he’s had a lot of success against him in the past. In 37 at bats, he has a .351/.432/.730 line with 3 doubles, a triple, and 3 home runs. As far as BvR numbers go, I’d call that pretty significant. Walker enjoys RHP, with 33 of his 37 extra base hits coming from the left-side. He has already hit 4 HR in the second half, and he’s just one of many Pirates that have hit Lynn well in the past. Vegas has this as the lowest scoring game of the day, but I may try a second lineup with a Pirates stack as I try to win today’s moonshot contest.
For my complete lineup, follow me on twitter @fantasyassembly
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