DFS August 12 – Some Early Picks

DFS Baseball LogoNeil previews today’s game action and shares his top Draft Kings plays for August 12th.

Today we have a full 15 games on the MLB schedule kicking off at 3:40 p.m. As always, make sure to check your lineup prior to game time for any last minute scratches, and be sure to check the weather forecast which could result in a potential cancellation.  There doesn’t appear to be any rain in the forecast for today’s contests.

Well guys, after a really nice first half where I enjoyed a solid ROI, I have slumped thus far in the 2nd half.  Overall, my season numbers still look good, but August has been far and away my worst DFS month of the year.  In fact, I set a limit for myself to never lose more than $50 in any given month and I am on the verge of hitting that number for August even though we are early in the month.  But, even the best prognosticators hit rough patches and I am going to keep doing what I do.  A winning streak is on its way.

Today I have only set my lineup for the early slate which features less elite pitching and better hitting.  I am playing min-stacks on the Red Sox and Phillies early on.  Here are today’s slump busting picks:

1. James Shields, SP, San Diego Padres ($10,900)

Post all-star break, the Cincinnati Reds have been the 7th most strikeout prone team in the majors.  This is good news for James Shields, who has let up his fair share of gopher balls this year, but has still been a prolific strikeout producer.  On the season, Shields has 160 Ks which is good for 3rd in the National League.  Shields is the most expensive pitcher in the early slate, but he is certainly the safest as he should strike out at least 8 and has a good chance to win the game.

2. Eduardo Rodriguez, SP, Boston Red Sox ($9,900)

The Miami Marlins have taken over for the Phillies as the worst team in the majors.  Much of that can be attributed to their abysmal 2nd half hitting where they have the 2nd worst team OPS at .630 and the lowest runs scored at 70.  Eduardo Rodriguez has been up and down, but he has good strikeout potential and should be able to handle the line-up of the JV Marlins.  Worth the price of admission today.

3. Chris Davis, 1B, Baltimore Orioles ($4,300)

Davis has been a machine in the 2nd half and he has begun to resemble the MVP candidate from the 2013 season.  Since the all-star break Davis has a .474 wOBA and 209 wRC+.  He has also liked to face Hisashi Iwakuma in his career, as he is 3/8 with 2 extra-base hits including a homer.  Despite playing at Safeco, I like Davis to have a good performance today.

4. Xander Bogaerts, SS/3B, Boston Red Sox ($4,300)

The Red Sox are playing the very marginal southpaw Adam Conley today, and I think that Xander will take advantage.  Quietly, Bogaerts has become one of the best hitters in the majors against lefties with a .390/.429/.505 line on the season.  Xander was able to handle Justin Nicolino last night, and I feel that he will be even better against Conley today.

5. Hanley Ramirez, SS/OF, Boston Red Sox ($4,200)

Hanley is returning to the Red Sox line-up just in time for this favorable match-up.  Against lefties on the road this year, Han-Ram has a .309/.356/.545 line.  Marlins Park is not the best place to hit homers, but Ramirez should be able to find some gaps, and maybe even the seats against his old squad.

6. Preston Tucker, OF, Houston Astros ($3,100)

Chris Heston has struggled recently and I think that Preston Tucker is the right guy to take advantage.  One of my favorite platoon split players, Tucker has a .547 slugging percentage as well as a .380 wOBA and 145 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this year.  AT&T Park is tough on hitters, but Tucker should still be able to mash.

7. Chase Utley, 2B, Philadelphia Phillies ($3,100)

It has been a lost season for poor Chase, but Utley has been able to pick things up in the 2nd half.  The erstwhile top 2nd baseman in the majors has a .973 2nd half OPS and gets to face off against Chase Anderson.  For some reason, I feel like there will be fireworks when Chase Utley faces Chase Anderson at Chase Field.  I may be chasing points on this one, but it should be fun.

For my complete lineup, follow me on twitter @nschnurbach

 

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Neil
Neil has been an avid fantasy sports player since 1991 and a profitable low stakes DFS grinder since 2014. Neil is ranked in the top 20% of DFS players in 3 sports and in the top 10% of DFS players for his stakes per RotoGrinders rankings. As a native Montrealer Neil hopes to get a Major League Baseball team back to his hometown some day soon.