DFS July 27 – A Magical Day

DFS Baseball LogoNeil previews today’s game action and shares his top Draft Kings plays for July 27th.

Today we have 9 games on the MLB schedule kicking off with Atlanta at Baltimore at 7:05. Be sure to check the weather forecasts before game times as always as there may be issues in the Braves/Orioles, Red Sox/White Sox and Cardinals/Reds games.

Make sure to check your lineups before game times for late scratches!

Alright folks, I just got back from what was a tremendous day for me at Cooperstown.  It was a real honor to see the greats of the game on stage and a privilege to cheer on Pedro Martinez one last time as he entered the Hall of Fame.  I spent time with some good friends, made some new friends and had an altogether wonderful weekend.

On the DFS side, today is another interesting day.  I don’t love the pitching match-ups, but there are some platoon splits that I would like to take advantage of.  I am feeling optimistic about my line-up today, but I am relying on some inconsistent pitchers, so let’s see how it goes.  This is more of a GPP lineup as opposed to a cash game lineup.

1. Edinson Volquez, SP, Kansas City Royals ($8,600)

Volquez has been a bit of a road warrior this season, with an xFIP over a run lower on the road and his K/9 over 1.00 higher away from Kaufman Stadium.  Even more pertinent is the success that Volquez has had against the current Indians lineup, holding them to a .222/.350/.255 career line.  Edinson is not always the most consistent performer, but he could have a stellar outing against Cleveland today.

2. John Danks, SP, Chicago White Sox ($6,100)

Danks has been one of my favorite whipping boys all season long, but things are about to change.  Danks has actually been solid in the last month with a 2.25 ERA in July and he has not allowed a run in 2 starts since the all-star break, spanning 12.2 innings.  Today, he faces off against the Red Sox who are the 2nd worst hitting team in the American League against left-handed pitching with a .668 OPS.  I may regret this but I am rolling with Danks today.

3. Paul Goldschmidt, 1B, Arizona Diamondbacks ($6,000)

Goldschmidt faces off against lefty Mike Montgomery today and that is bad news for the Mariners.  Montgomery has actually been reasonably successful against righties this year, but he has not yet faced a righty like Goldschmidt.  Goldie is hitting .382/.460/.684 against southpaws this year with a .482 wOBA and a 210 wRC+.  I took the savings that I used on Danks and applied it to get the most expensive hitter on the board on my squad.

4. Rougned Odor, 2B, Texas Rangers ($3,800)

This might be a really popular pick as Odor has been as hot as a pistol recently and is still being listed at this bargain basement price.  Young Rougned is hitting .348/.373/.710 in July (after a scorching hot June as well) and has hit a solid .290/.352/.496 versus right-handers.  And that number includes Odor’s rough start to the beginning of the year.  I think Rougned will be able to rough up Ivan Nova today.  I am loving Odor at $3,800.

5. Nelson Cruz, OF, Seattle Mariners ($5,000)

There are few better hitters than the aforementioned Paul Goldschmidt against left-handed hurlers, but one will be across the field from him today.  Nelson Cruz faces off against young lefty Robbie Ray and he is no doubt licking his chops.  Cruz has an almost unbelievable line of .387/.465/.747 with a .502 wOBA against opposite handed pitching.  At home versus southpaws it is even better at .406/.500/.813.  Ray’s been a nice pitcher this year but he may be in for a rude awakening against Nellie.

6. Jay Bruce, OF, Cincinnati Reds ($3,900)

Bruce has gotten better and better as the season has rolled along.  This is evidenced in his OPS by month which has gone up each month of the year.  It was .713 in April, .754 in May, .840 in June and .928 in July.  While Lance Lynn is the best pitcher on the board today, Jay Bruce loves facing the big Cardinals right-hander.  He has had 30 plate appearances against Lynn and has hit .500/.516/.1.000 with 3 homers and 6 extra-base hits.  Many may shy away from Bruce because of this tough match-up but I think he will do really well.

7. A.J. Pierzynski, C, Atlanta Braves ($3,000)

Over his long career, AJ Pierzynski has had many plate appearances in many different parks.  Of all the parks, his favorite is Camden Yards where he has a career .335/.362/.486 line.  Pierzynski’s .848 OPS in Camden is his highest in any park where he has at least 100 career plate appearances.  On top of that AJ has gotten hot in July with a .345/.387/.517 line.  Truth be told, I probably should take more Braves players against the very hittable Kevin Gausman, but I’ll stick with just their fine hitting catcher for now.

Now that’s refreshing!
For my complete lineup, follow me on twitter @nschnurbach

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Neil
Neil has been an avid fantasy sports player since 1991 and a profitable low stakes DFS grinder since 2014. Neil is ranked in the top 20% of DFS players in 3 sports and in the top 10% of DFS players for his stakes per RotoGrinders rankings. As a native Montrealer Neil hopes to get a Major League Baseball team back to his hometown some day soon.