Y’know, it’s really sad when most of the time, any themed subtitle I can come up with involves the negative side of the column. After all the TJS, now the baseball gods have deemed fit to curse the young hitting prospects. Grumble along with me, but take heart in the fact that there are always new hot streak bats to pick up during the week.
Stocks on the Rise
Jon Singleton – Well, he’s been promoted and already has a guaranteed contract, so good for him. What’s good for you in your redraft leagues is if he’s still available in your FA pool. Power production is a certainty if he can avoid falling apart in his first year like some touted prospects.
Josh Willingham – He headed to the DL with a wrist injury, which can make me worry about a hitter’s power. However, since being back he’s hit four HR, so if he stays hot, he may make a push for 20+ HR production again. Regardless, ride the streak now.
Tommy La Stella – He got the promotion and has hit well early on. He won’t give you power, but he could be a good source for BA, R, and SB in roto leagues.
Michael Bourn – He’s been on a tear — finally. He may not top 25 SB this season, but if he can maintain a high BA and produce some runs as well, he may come cheap — and he may even be in the FA pool.
Brady Aiken – This is a nod to the Amateur Draft coming up this weekend and starting tonight. Aiken is being projected as the top pick by many teams. I wish he’d fall to my Cubs, but if your keeper league with a minors system allows you to pick up players as soon as they’re drafted, then get ready to use a waiver claim on this (hopefully) future ace SP.
Stocks on the Decline
Jurickson Profar – It’s highly likely that he won’t play this year, so you might as well clear the DL slot in redraft leagues. Odds are his keeper value is pretty rotten right now, too. Lucky for me, in the only league where I own Profar, I don’t have to promote him from the minors until I want to, regardless of his MLB service time.
Wil Myers – It’s 5-6 weeks for just the cast, and then Myers has to rehab. I’m regretting making him one of my four MLB keepers in one roto league, but it was better than keeping a player I wasn’t excited about, and at least I’m still competing and in third place despite his struggles.
A.J. Pollock – He wasn’t going to be a star, but he had the chance to be a great #3 or #4 OF for your team. Now he’s got a broken hand and will miss significant time.
Robinson Cano – I didn’t expect his HR total to drop much this year based on his average HR distance. However, he’s simply hitting fewer fly balls (with a career high GB rate of 53%), and his HR/FB is anemic. Is it the lack of lineup protection? Probably not, because he’s walking less than last year. Maybe he’s putting extra pressure on himself. The point is that despite the typically high BA and good R and RBI, Cano isn’t as elite without 20 HR. Either he’s going to bust out and have a crazy month during the summer, or we’ll simply see him be an average 2B value for the rest of the season. For redraft leagues, I’d be tempted to sell to someone who has faith he’ll break out, but don’t just give him away.
Lonnie Chisenhall – Man, the guy is raking, but Carlos Santana should be back this weekend, and presumably he’ll be taking over at 3B again. What’s more, Swisher is making his way back as well. However, the Indians have been trying to keep Chisenhall in the lineup, and there’s even been talk of possibly trying him in the OF, so even a part-time hitter who’s hot is still worth rostering in daily leagues. In weekly leagues it’s a tougher call; I am still keeping him active in a 16-team deep league.