Ball Street: The Roto Exchange – Broken Pitcher Edition

Like the stock market, player values go up and down frequently in fantasy baseball, with news about injuries, position battles, and promotions. If you’re a business junkie, you can tune into CNBC and CNN Money. For fantasy baseball addicts, this series will look at five players whose stocks are on the rise, as well as five players who have taken hits in value. There will plenty of value changes in the next week, so let’s get started.

Stocks on the Rise

Hisashi Iwakuma – He’ll still start on the DL, but getting the splint off and being on schedule is a good thing. The less time he misses, the better for the Mariners and your fantasy team. They may not want to rush him back, but it seems he’s on quicker side of the recovery time.

Mike Olt – The Cubs don’t have many (good) options at third base until Kris Bryant is ready for the job. Mike Olt is far better than Luis Valbuena or Donnie Murphy, so if he’s healthy, he’s worth a waiver wire pickup even in redraft leagues. He was a top prospect before he had visions issues, and though he’s more likely to hit .240 than .270 due to his strikeouts, it wouldn’t surprise me if he hit 20+ HR in a full season.

Yordano Ventura – Ventura won the final spot in the Royals rotation this week. He has top-of-the-rotation potential in his future, and though it may not be here yet, I have no reservations about using him in redraft leagues that have rather deep pitching staffs. On the high end, I could see an ERA near 3.50 with a pretty strong K/9. Don’t expect a Jose Fernandez impression, but he’s much better than the endgame SP people were picking in early offseason drafts.

Matt Adams – There was always a chance that Oscar Taveras would impress everyone in spring training, prompting the Cardinals to keep Craig in the infield so that they could fit in the prospect OF. But Taveras keeps struggling with injuries, and the Cards optioned him to Triple-A. That’s great news for fantasy managers who gambled on taking Adams in early drafts, or those who had him (or traded for him) in keeper leagues. Adams should have a good chance to post 20+ HR and a strong BA in 2014.

Nick Castellanos – I’m not just adding Castellanos here because I traded him to Paul in one of our leagues, and I want to make Paul feel good about himself. He’s been a top-10 prospect for a reason. Yes, spring training stats don’t mean anything, but after the Tigers declared him the starter at 3B, you’d still rather see him hit well in March than struggle mightily and have the team second-guess the decision.

 

Stocks on the Decline

This article was called the “Broken Pitcher Edition” for a reason. You’ll see an obvious theme in the declining stocks, because four of the pitchers are projected to be out for all of 2014 with TJS. Only Beachy’s fate is still up in the air, but I’m not holding out any hope for him. These were all promising young starters who could have greatly helped out our fantasy teams, and now we’re left scrambling to fill the holes they’ve left. I was extremely high on Corbin’s future, and I liked Medlen a lot as well. I had them both on one team, and at least one of the SP on this list on every other team. If you’re in rebuilding mode for a deep keeper league, you may want to pick up some of these guys as a cheap stash — though I’m more wary of the guys who are having their second TJS. That leaves Corbin (my offseason man-crush) as the best one to target.

  • Kris Medlen
  • Patrick Corbin
  • Jarrod Parker
  • Cory Luebke
  • Brandon Beachy
Kevin Jebens

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Fantasy baseball player since 2000; winning leagues ranging from 12-team H2H to 18-team experts 5x5. Has written for various baseball blogs, including the 2013 Bleed Cubbie Blue Annual.

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