Advanced Analytics 101: Applying IPP in fantasy hockey

We’ve already discussed adding Corsi and PDO to our fantasy team, and this week’s topic is IPP. Only a handful of sites include this stat, and I have taken the numbers from

IPP stands for individual points percentage. It is a great stat to find out which players are most involved in their respective team’s offence. To find out if a player’s IPP is above or below expectations, we have to look at other stats and factors such as seeing if his line deployment has changed, what his shooting percentage is, and checking out the player’s past IPP numbers.

So how good is the player for the team? You need to compare it to the team for an overall picture. To get a sense of the different ranges of IPP, let’s check out this season’s top 20 scorers.

Team Player Position GP TOI Goals Assists Points IPP
COL Mikko Rantanen R 27 564.12 11 34 45 83.3
COL Nathan MacKinnon C 27 595.23 19 24 43 78.2
T.B Nikita Kucherov R 28 515.98 12 30 42 85.7
TOR Mitchell Marner R 27 522.00 6 32 38 73.1
T.B Brayden Point C 28 496.25 20 17 37 72.6
EDM Connor McDavid C 26 588.10 14 21 35 83.3
WPG Blake Wheeler R 26 560.05 4 30 34 72.3
WSH Nicklas Backstrom C 26 535.28 10 23 33 70.2
OTT Matt Duchene C 27 518.80 12 21 33 66.0
WSH Alex Ovechkin L 26 550.23 19 13 32 61.5
WPG Mark Scheifele C 26 590.27 16 16 32 60.4
BUF Jack Eichel C 28 560.77 5 27 32 69.6
CGY Johnny Gaudreau L 27 546.95 10 21 31 72.1
OTT Thomas Chabot D 27 648.03 7 24 31 53.5
PIT Evgeni Malkin C 25 473.12 9 21 30 88.2
PHI Claude Giroux C 25 517.75 9 21 30 76.9
CHI Patrick Kane R 27 591.15 13 17 30 83.3
TOR John Tavares C 27 517.75 17 13 30 62.5
COL Gabriel Landeskog L 27 569.65 16 14 30 56.6
EDM Leon Draisaitl C 27 573.43 13 17 30 75.0

You may have thought that most of the top scorers would have a very high IPP and that is true to some degree. Offensive teams like Tampa Bay and Toronto have multiple scoring lines and the IPP for their players will be much lower compared to a low scoring team like Chicago, where Patrick Kane IS the offence.

Two interesting players are Thomas Chabot and Gabriel Landeskog. Chabot is the lone defenceman in the top 20 with an IPP of 53.5. Landeskog is the lowest amongst the forwards with an IPP of 56.6.

In Landeskog’s case, he plays on one of the best lines in hockey, but the puck does not move through him on the power-play. It’s hard for Landeskog to accumulate points when he is parked in front of the net. His linemate, Mikko Rantanen, is the one to set up his teammates and leads the league in assists.

To see how good Chabot’s IPP is, we will have to compare it amongst the defencemen.

Based on the charts, forwards tend to have a higher IPP than the defencemen. The average forward has 10.2 points with a 57.7 IPP. The average defenceman has 6.1 points with a 32.5 IPP.

Now back to Chabot. He is clearly way above the average defenceman, but is it sustainable? Well last season, John Carlson led all blueliners with 68 points and had an IPP of 53.5. Ottawa isn’t Washington, but his power-play time is set as he leads the Senators with 3:07 with the man advantage and plays 57.5% of it. It may surprise you that Ottawa also ranks 6th in goals per game, but time will tell if they can keep it up. Overall, it’s hard to expect Chabot to finish first amongst defencemen, but depending on how his other stats look, the points may keep on coming.

IPP is not a stat that is useful by itself. When looking at other factors we can see how well that player is producing offensively. Comparing their IPP to the rest of the team is the best way to use it and it will tell us how valuable that player is offensively to the team.

Jordan Lyn

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Watching one hockey game after another until the night is over.

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