Jameis Winston ($6,000 DK – $7,800 FD)
For me this is going to be the game that I focus most of my stacks on this week. Both Tampa Bay and Cincinnati give up 300+ yards passing each game. The over/under is set at 54.5 right now with the Bengals a 4 point favorite. I am predicting a shootout for this one where the winning team has to score close to 40.
Baker Mayfield ($5,700 DK – $7,200 FD)
The major thing that’s scary with this one is the amount of times Cleveland gets sacked each game (4.4 times – league high) and Pittsburgh is very good at getting pressure on the quarterback. I’m assuming that will have a lot of people looking elsewhere for a QB. But what could make this interesting for Baker is that teams that play Pittsburgh average over 40 passing attempts and 2.5 touchdowns per game. I might consider a Mayfield – Landry – Njoku stack.
Chris Carson ($4,300 DK – $6,300 FD)
Both Seattle and Detroit seem to be trying to re-brand this year as more run heavy offenses. Both defenses are better against the pass than they are the run so I expect this one to hit the under (49). Detroit gives up a league high 5.3 yards per carry so if Carson as the lead back can get going early, he’s going to get fed.
Jalen Richard ($4,200 DK – $5,700 FD)
Oakland traded away Amari Cooper and Beast Mode was just placed on IR. They play Indy this week, who loves to throw the ball, so if the Raiders can’t get things going early they will have to turn to the passing game. Doug Martin will almost certainly underwhelm taking over for Marshawn so look for Jalen Richard to see his highest snap count of the season.
Kenjon Barner ($3,500 DK – $4,500 FD)
Sony Michel is doubtful which opens the door for Kenjon Barner to have another double-digit carry game. They play Derek Anderson and the Buffalo Bills at home so it would be shocking to me if they don’t take a big lead early and lean on Barner heavy to eat some clock.
Trenton Cannon ($3,400 DK – $5,200 FD)
Bilal Powell is out for the year with a neck injury leaving Isaiah Crowell the clear-cut number one and Trenton Cannon a change of pace back. They play the Bears in Chicago and the Bears have that scary D-line that allows under 90 yards per game on the ground and zero, ZERO, rushing touchdowns this year. Cannon can catch out of the backfield so look for the Jets to slide him into Powell’s role, especially in the red zone.
Stefon Diggs ($6,700 DK – $7,600 FD)
It’s tough to call Stefon Diggs a “sleeper” but the way Adam Thielen has played this year makes it a little easier. The New Orleans Saints have tightened up on D recently but still have a tough time covering a team’s WR2 (probably why they went and got Eli Apple). I’m assuming, and I was wrong about this last week, that they will treat Thielen like the WR1 and try to shut him down which will free up Diggs to have a monster day.
Tyler Boyd ($6,700 DK – $6,800 FD)
My favorite stack this week is Dalton – Green – Uzomah. After getting smacked Sunday night at Arrowhead I believe the Bengals are going to come out fired up. A nice contrarian play to that would be to use Boyd because he has the same amount of catches this year as Green and one less touchdown. He may not have the yardage or red zone target upside but he’s a nice discount and this whole offense could go off.
Chester Rogers ($4,200 DK – $5,600 FD)
Oakland has a very cushy defense so Andrew Luck and his entire arsenal should be in attack mode. Most people are going to take T.Y. and Ebron for their upside but right behind them in both targets per game and red zone targets per game is Chester Rogers. If Ryan Grant misses another week then Rogers should at the very least have a solid floor for his price.
Seth Roberts ($3,400 DK – $4,700 FD)
Guessing who’s going to get targets for the Raiders is a total crapshoot so I don’t hate taking a chance on Jordy, Martavis, or Jared Cook. But I’m going to lean towards the guy who has been Derek Carr’s favorite receiver over their last two weeks, Seth Roberts. Like I said, you could go with any of these guys (or stay away completely if you’re smarter than I am) but Oakland will probably need to throw to keep up with Indy and someone has to fill Amari’s shoes.
O.J. Howard ($3.900 DK – $5,800 FD)
In his last two games O.J. has had 9 catches for 127 yards and a touchdown. He has a good match up this week with the Bengals and there should be plenty of yards and points to go around.
C.J. Uzomah ($3,500 DK – $5,400 FD)
The Bucs give up half a millions points per game this year, real stat no need to look it up, so Uzomah should be able to at least match his season high in targets. He didn’t do much last week (neither did the rest of the team) but C.J. caught the only touchdown of the game for the Bengals and reeled in six catches the week before.
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