Week 7 NFL DFS Sleepers

Here are my value picks for week 7. If you are looking for the best plays regardless of price you may want to check out Eric’s (@mrclutchdfs) DFS Plays of the Week.

QUARTERBACK

Mitch Tribusky ($5,600 DK – $7,500 FD)

New England has only held one team to under 20 points this year and that was the Dolphins in week 4 at home. The Pats seem to be a completely different team on the road where they are 0-2 this year losing to the Lions and the Jaguars by a combined 27 points. The game will be in the windy city and in his last two games Tribusky has thrown for over 300 yards each game with a combined 9 touchdowns and only 1 interception.

 Joe Flacco ($5,400 DK – $7,500 FD)

New Orleans gives up a league low 3.1 yards per carry so Alex Collins could be held in check which forces Flacco to toss the pigskin. Baltimore averages 293 yards per game in the air and the Saints give up 297 yards at a 71.1% completion rate. The over/under on this game is 50 and as good as these two teams are at stopping the run I could see this turning into a shootout.

Drew Brees ($5,700 DK – $8,600 FD)

Brees is facing a tough match up this week against Baltimore’s defense on the road but I don’t think we will likely see his price tag drop this low again on the season (on DraftKings anyways). For a quarterback that averages just over 330 yards passing a game he might be worth taking even on a bad match up at this discount.

RUNNING BACK

Tarik Cohen ($5,100 DK – $6,600 FD)

With lead back Jordan Howard only averaging 54 yards per game it seems as if the Bears are leaning more heavily on the explosive play making ability of Cohen. In the last two games he has averaged 16 touches, 147.5 total yards, and a touchdown. This year Cohen has only averaged 10.6 touches per game but as the offense keeps rolling expect that number to grow.

Javorius Allen ($4,500 DK – $5,500 FD)

In tightly contested games Buck Allen seems to see more snaps but when the Ravens are ahead the snaps lean towards Collins. Facing the high-octane offense of Drew Brees and the Saints this feels like it is going to be a Buck Allen game. Allen is 2nd only to Collins in touchdowns this year for Baltimore so with New Orleans only giving up 3.1 yards per carry I see the Ravens favoring the versatility of Allen when they get into the red zone.

Peyton Barber ($3,800 DK – $6,100 FD)

The Buccaneers’ run game has been nonexistent since the early days of Doug Martin but last week Peyton Barber reestablished himself as the clear number 1 with 82 yards on the ground, 24 in the air, and a touchdown. This week they face Cleveland who lets up 138.2 yards rushing per game at 4.7 yards a clip so if there’s a big rushing game script for Barber this season, look no further.

WIDE RECEIVER

Michael Crabtree ($5,100 DK – $6,600 FD)

The year the Saints have been tougher on a team’s number 1 wide receiver than their number 2. Sterling Shepard out performed OBJ and Calvin Ridley did the same to Julio Jones against New Orleans. Now I am banking on John Brown as the bigger deep threat to be treated as the number 1 and this game to hit the over, so maybe I’m just crazy.

Keke Coutee ($4,300 DK – $5,600 FD)

I know what you are thinking right away, Houston plays Jacksonville so why would I target any of their wideouts? Even though the Jaguars give up the least amount of yards through the air every game they still have a weakness at covering the slot. Last week that was clearly exposed when Cole Beasley scorched them for 101 yards on 9 catches with two touchdowns. With Hopkins and Fuller on lock down look for Keke Coutee to have another big game.

Jermaine Kearse ($4,100 DK – $5,000 FD)

With Enunwa out Jermaine Kearse saw the biggest up tick in terms of targets with a team high 10. The Vikings haven’t looked as sharp on defense this year but they are good at two things, stopping the run and covering a team’s best receiver. If it’s a quiet day for Crowell and Powell in the backfield as well as play maker Robby Anderson then Kearse could be the breakout star for this Jets team.

TIGHT END

David Njoku ($4,200 DK – $5,700 FD)

Njoku lead the team in targets for a second straight week and finally found that illusive end zone. Tampa Bay is arguably the worst team at stopping the pass in the NFL and almost certainly the worst at covering tight ends. The only real downside I see to Njoku this week is that he might be extremely chalky.

Austin Hooper ($4,200 DK – $5,600 FD)

Atlanta has struggled to run the ball this year with a banged up Devonta Freeman and their defense is awful so they have to resort to throwing the ball more than they would like. Austin Hooper has seen double-digit targets in the past two games where he hauled in 18 of those passes for 148 yards and a touchdown. His match up isn’t as friendly this week but he has become Matt Ryan’s favorite red zone target.

 

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Mark Lee

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Detroit sports fan, also sufferer of seasonal depression. Avid golfer and former college baseball player. Would've been in the league if it weren't for my lack of ability. Accountant by day, fantasy golf guru by night.

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