Written by: Greg Bunch – AKA the Daily Fantasy Hitman
Adam Silver sent me an email today. And he told it to me up front.
“Dear Gregory, Tonight we tip off the 73rd season of the NBA.”
“Thank you Adam. Can you put an extra coat of wax on that head today for me?”
LOL. I didn’t actually reply to him, but oh boy you know I was thinking it.
Today we have but only two games to analyze for our DFS lineups. This means a lot of people are going to be running the exact same players so you need to be different – so different that maybe you fade the entire Warriors Team. Okay, maybe not that different, but you get the idea.
I do not want to be picking every big-ticket guy and hoping no one else takes him, because they will. From my experience I am predicting players like Kevin Durant, Stephen Curry, Dennis Schroder, Paul George, Ben Simmons, Joel Embiid all to be over 50% ownership in lineups at least. You can flex around this by taking the likes of Klay Thompson, Draymond Green, Jason Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Dario Saric, Robert Covington, who are all viable options especially at their price points.
Now before I make my lineup and tell you who I will be rolling with we need to paint the picture for each game.
PHI @ BOS
This is the best game tonight by far. Philadelphia comes into this one after being knocked out of the playoffs by the Celtics last year. They will be out for blood tonight in The Garden. Markelle Fultz is starting tonight for Brett Brown instead of J.J. Reddick, who will be starting the second half according to Brown. He basically wants to see which lineup is better, but this also means Fultz will probably not receive a starter’s allotment of minutes. Other news from PHI is that Wilson Chandler (SF) & Mike Muscala (PF) will be out tonight. This means more minutes for Robert Covington (SF), Dario Saric (PF) and possibly Amir Johnson (PF) off the bench. I love Dario Saric tonight, especially after he carved up this same Celtics team last year in the playoffs.
On the Celtics side you have a team who was extremely close to making the finals last season. Now they get back two all-stars who weren’t even playing during that playoff run. WOW. Kyrie Irving (PG) and Gordon Hayward (SF) will be returning to the Celtics lineup tonight and they will be starting. There isn’t any injury news from the Celtics side meaning their bench rotation is still intact. Look for Terry Rozier, Marcus Smart, Aaron Baynes & Marcus Morris all to see around 20 minutes of playing time.
OKC @ GS
This game will be over by the end of the 3rd quarter. The Thunder need Russell Westbrook like the Packers need Aaron Rodgers; it’s like a law I think. Well, when you take Russell Westbrook out of the equation you also have no identity for your team. Who will the Thunder be without Westbrook? Will Paul George put the team on his back and attempt 40 shots? Will Dennis Schroder step up at the Starting PG and make Stephen Curry look stupid? Will Steven Adams even Play? A lot of question marks coming out of the OKC side. And they face the reigning NBA Champions. Good luck. Now I am speculating here, but with Andre Roberson out for OKC I think they will start Hamidou Diallo at SG. Other starters are Patrick Patterson, who inspires no hope on any DFS lineup. Look for Dennis Schroder & Paul George to be the only fantasy options for OKC, with Diallo & Adams being very close if they start.
On the Warriors side we have basically the same team that won the NBA Championship last year minus JaVale McGee (Lakers). This means it will be the same story. Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Kevin Durant & Draymond Green all being great fantasy options. They also have a new Starting Center in Damian Jones. But if you know anything about the Warriors it is that they love to play a lot of small ball, meaning Jones may only get 10-15 minutes which limits his fantasy value a lot. My picks from the Warriors are Green and Thompson because I want to avoid the high ownership of Curry and Durant in a game where they may not play in the 4th quarter.
Two game slate.
Two Hitman Lineups.
It is time for the DFS Hitman to take on the NBA Tip-Off.
Lineup for DraftKings
PG: K. Irving $7,600
SG: K. Thompson $5,900
SF: P. George $8,000
PF: D. Saric $5,500
C: D. Green $7,300
G: J. Brown $5,300
F: R. Covington $4,700
UTIL: J. Tatum $5,600
Projected: 265.8 Points
Lineup for FanDuel
PG: M. Fultz $5,700
PG: K. Irving $8,400
SG: A. Iguodala $4,300
SG: D. Schroder $6,100
SF: R. Covington $6,500
SF: P. George $9,000
PF: D. Saric $6,400
PF: D. Green $8,000
C: J. Bell $5,400
Projected: 273.1 Points
Let me know how great my lineups are on Twitter @DailyHitman