Daily Fantasy Golf Preview – Safeway Open

The Course

  • Silverado Country Club – North Course
  • Napa, California
  • Par 72
  • 7,166 – 7,203 yards
  • Poa annua greens

Course Characteristics:

  • par 5’s – 4
  • par 4’s – 10
  • par 3’s – 4
  • Short course
  • Undulation in fairways and greens
  • Quick greens
  • Bunkers around greens and in landing zones for tee shots
  • Some trees but fairly open
  • Rough isn’t very penalizing

Key Stats

  • SG: tee to green
    • SG: off the tee
    • SG: approaching the green
  • Birdie or better
  • Par 4 scoring: 450 yards and shorter
  • Par 5 scoring
  • Proximity: 150 yards and shorter

The Field

Only two players in this field are in the top 50, Phil Mickelson and Patrick Cantlay, outside of that this is virtually the beginning of the preseason for the 2019 season.

Big Dogs ($9,000 and up on DK)

  • Solid (Cash)
    • Patrick Cantlay ($11,600 DK) – Cantlay is the best golfer right now out of this field and that is made obvious by the price tag. He’s the only one to have made it through to the Tour Championship other than Phil from this lot. His price might make it hard to budget for the rest of your lineup but in a field this depleted there will be plenty of bargains.
    • Emiliano Grillo ($10,000 DK) – Grillo was better the first half of this year than the second but still showed some flash late with a T7 at the Dell Technologies Championship. He also has a good track record here with a win 3 years ago and back to back years placing inside the top 30 after that.
  • Risky (GPP)
    • Phil Mickelson ($10,900 DK) – a lot of people might be turned off of Phil from his last place finish in the Tour Championship (only 30 player field) and poor showing at the Ryder Cup. But he was T3 here last year and T8 the year before so it just goes to show the cream will rise to the top. I also saw a video of him at the RC last week kicking a bottle off the top of some random guys head with a Chuck Norris roundhouse so I’m totally still in on Phil.
    • Adam Hadwin ($9,400 DK) – Hadwin didn’t make it to the final round of the FedEx Cup Playoffs but he also didn’t finish outside of 21st in the first three events so I would expect him to carry that momentum forward (even with a mediocre record at Silverado North).

Value ($7,200 – $8,900 on DK)

  • Solid (Cash)
    • Chris Kirk ($8,600 DK) – Kirk has made 21 out of his last 25 cuts and two years ago he was T8 at the Safeway Open. His ownership could be quite high this week but that’s why I like him more for cash plays.
    • Harold Varner III ($8,300 DK) – Varner barely snuck into the playoffs and his T40 wasn’t enough to get him into the second round. He has yet to break through but the last few months of the PGA season he has been playing better than he ever has with a 5th place at the Greenbrier and 6th at the John Deere.
    • Jamie Lovemark ($7,700 DK) – Lovemark has made 18 of his last 24 cuts and he is 3 out of his last 3 at Silverado North. He struggles to reach the top ten but seems to have a high enough floor to get into the weekend especially in this field.
  • Risky (GPP)
    • Luke List ($8,800 DK) – List has shown consistency over the last year, at this course, and in his current form, so if you match that with his distance off the tee he should be able to get aggressive with even the toughest pin placements to give himself a shot at the top 25.
    • Andrew Landry ($7,700 DK) – last year at the Safeway Open Landry finished T7. He’s made five straight cuts and that includes making it to the 3rd round of the playoffs.
    • Chez Reavie ($7,600 DK) – Reavie in his last 3 years here hasn’t finished worse than 22nd. He slipped up part way through the season but finished strong with a 12th place finish at the PGA Championship and 20th place after that in the 1st round of the playoffs at the Northern Trust.

Sleepers ($7,100 and under on DK)

  • Risky (GPP)
    • Sam Burns ($7,100 DK) – Burns is a young guy that we got to see brief glimpses of throughout the year in 2018. In just 11 events on tour last season he notched 3 top 20’s and only missed the cut 3 times.
    • Joel Dahmen ($7,100 DK) – before missing the cut at each of the first 2 rounds of the playoffs, Dahmen was in the top 10 in each of his last 3 events.
    • Mackenzie Hughes ($7,100 DK) – Hughes was T13 here two years ago and is actually coming off quite a good stretch of golf. He’s made his last 4 cuts and finished inside 16th place in 3 of those.
    • J.J. Spaun ($6,800 DK) – J.J. has been pretty average here and throughout his career but he’s made 4 straight cuts, 3 of those being in the playoffs and one at the PGA Championship so I’d rather go with his résumé than that of another one of these chumps in the $6,000’s.

 

Click Here to see Mark’s odds and projections for the Safeway Open.

Mark Lee

Written by 

Detroit sports fan, also sufferer of seasonal depression. Avid golfer and former college baseball player. Would've been in the league if it weren't for my lack of ability. Accountant by day, fantasy golf guru by night.

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