NFL WAIVER WIRE: WEEK 1

By now, you have probably read all the waiver wire columns and are well aware who the hot commodities are from Week 1. Here are the players I think may be worth an add and useful in the weeks ahead. I am not going to tell you to pick up TJ Yeldon unless you are the Fournette owner because he has been the bellcow before and has underperformed. And when Fournette comes back, you have to drop him. These are a few players that you can stash on your bench and they may perform favorably all season.

RYAN FITZPATRICK, QB TAMPA BAY BUCS (53 FANTASY POINTS) 
21 – 28, 417 Yards, 4 TD

I think maybe, just maybe that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are tired of Jameis Winston’s shit and are about ready to move on (I have no evidence of this whatsoever). Dirk Koetter wouldn’t commit to Winston as the Week 4 starter during training camp and this Buccaneers offense came out firing led by Ryan Fitzpatrick’s 417 Yard 4 Touchdown outburst. His average depth of target (ADOT) of 12.9 on Sunday ranked 4th in the NFL, which means these aren’t little dump passes.

We all know that Winston will most likely get the job back, but when. If you are desperate at QB, he will have 0 more games like this, but could get consistent production every week. Dirk Koetter favors the pass (62% pass 2017: 3rd in NFL) and there is no confidence in Tampa Bay’s backfield, so Fitz could get a lot of opportunities for points.

PS: The Bucs ranked 3rd in passing attempts (605), 4th in completions (378), 4th in yards (4,366), 4th in yards per game (272) in 2017.  This is Dirk Koetter’s 3rd season as Head Coach.

CASE KEENUM, QB DEN (30 FANTASY POINTS)
25 – 35, 329 Yards, 3 TD, 3 INT

New home, new weapons. Emmanual Sanders (10 – 135 – 1) was lined up for 33 of his 64 snaps (51%) in the slot position. Everyone forgets that Sanders had a 1400 yard season in 2014 and could pose matchup problems for opposing slot corners. If Demaryius Thomas (6 – 63 – 1) could reinvent himself this season, this offense could be decent. If you need help at QB, he may be worth an add and could play at a consistent level all season.

PHILLIP LINDSAY, RB DENVER BRONCOS (17 FANTASY POINTS)
15 RUSH – 71 YARDS / 3 TAR – 2 REC – 31 YARDS – 1 TD

Royce Freeman had a stacked box, or 8 men in the box on 66.6% of his rushes on Sunday. Why do you think that is? Because defenses know he is not a shifty, bounce it outside runner and more of a North South type. Phillip Lindsay is that shifty, bounce it outside runner who could inherit a Danny Woodhead like role. Lindsay had 17 total touches on Sunday, which accounted for 47% of the total running back touches. Royce Freeman had 15 of the 36 total running back touches, which was 41%. Freeman is the bellcow in Denver (29 snaps), but Lindsay Phillip Lindsay (26 snaps) could become a weekly flex play with a little opportunity.

CHRIS GODWIN, WR TAMPA BAY BUCS (11 FANTASY POINTS):

Chris Godwin was the talk of Bucs camp in the preseason and was referred to as Receiver 1A, next to Receiver 1, who is Mike Evans. With Desean Jackson’s status unclear due to a concussion, this might be the week to grab him to see what he can do. He impressed last week in a small sample size, hauling in 3 catches on 4 targets for 41 yards and a touchdown. He played 46 of the 66 total snaps (70%) and may see his workload increase significantly in the coming weeks. Take a flier on him.

PS: Desean Jackson played 20 of the 66 total snaps (30%) = 5 Rec 146 Yards 2 TD (30 Fantasy Points)

Don’t worry about Jackson cutting into anyone’s time. And don’t pick up Jackson because these are clearly fluky numbers.

GERONIMO ALLISON, WR GREEN BAY PACKERS (14 FANTASY POINTS)
8 TAR – 5 REC – 69 YARDS – 1 TD

Allison is another guy who was being highly praised by his coaching staff and teammates during the preseason and was pegged as a sleeper by some. Allison was on the field for 70% of the offensive snaps on Sunday and appears to be cemented in this wide receiving core. Randall Cobb ran 42 of his 52 snaps out of the slot on Sunday (80.7%), while Allison was wide on 36 of his 42 snaps (85.7%).  Using Cobb in the slot could create more outside opportunities for Allison to develop.  He could be good.

JONNU SMITH, TE TENNESSEE TITANS

With the loss of Delanie Walker for the season to a broken ankle and ligament damage, Jonnu Smith’s workload is about to significantly increase. The Titans have averaged 158 targets per season to the Tight End position, including 201 targets in 2015. His raw athleticism can bode well in the Red Zone and may become Marcus Mariotta’s favorite target by season’s end. This kid may have TE 1 potential, so get him before he’s gone.

 

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Matt Bishop

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Matt Bishop is a graduate of Rider University and currently works as a Project Manager for an Electrical Supply Distributor. He lives in North NJ with his wife and 2 children and is a die-hard Philadelphia Eagles and Philadelphia Phillies fan. He has been playing Fantasy Football since 1997 and Fantasy Baseball since 2003. He recently discovered Fangraphs and his obsession for baseball metrics and how they can be used to draft a championship caliber team.

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