Welcome to the 8th and final week of the dynasty divisional outlooks! This week we take a look at the NFC East before finally moving on to the regular season. Since we have moved closer to the season at this point we finally have some preseason and training camp film and reports to incorporate into our valuations. But how important should they be? Does the preseason matter at all?
We should be careful not to overreact, but yes, it does matter. Don’t flip your values on their heads because of one big quarter against second stringers, but stay as tuned in as possible. When somebody who just barely made the roster thanks to a big preseason week 4 starts seeing a handful of snaps in a regular season game you can be the first owner in your league to take notice. With that in mind, here is the final divisional outlook…
Undervalued – Michael Gallup, WR
Gallup was one of the few receivers who really jumped out to me on film before the draft, and landing with a young QB like Dak Prescott on a sparse WR depth chart is perfect for him. He has already looked good in preseason and camp so far this summer as well. Gallup has the potential to develop into Dak’s #1 receiver for a long time.
Overvalued – Ezekiel Elliott, RB
I actually feel like the Dallas offense is pretty undervalued as a whole so Zeke is getting punished a bit for maintaining his elite status. But it is worth mentioning that Zeke has had several off-field incidents and they don’t ever seem to be brought up in regard to his dynasty value. He could even end up suspended indefinitely if he gets into trouble for domestic violence again. Now obviously, I’m not predicting anything like that to happen, but it is worth noting as one of the few flaws on Zeke from a fantasy football point of view.
Deep Sleeper – Rico Gathers, TE
Gathers can’t seem to get on Jason Garrett and Jerry Jones good side so his long running sleeper hype is a bit exhausting, but he does have the size and athleticism to be a dominant TE, and with Jason Witten retired he now has the opportunity on the depth chart.
New York Giants
Undervalued – Sterling Shephard, WR
On one hand Sterling Shepard has to fight off Odell Beckham Jr., Saquon Barkley, and Evan Engram for targets, but he also will fit perfectly into the slot for the Giants while defenses key on those other weapons. Shepard is averaging over 700 yards a year through his first 2 seasons and is now playing for a coach who has had a lot of success with slot receivers in an offense that should be far more successful than the last two Giants offenses.
Overvalued – Saquon Barkley, RB
I love Barkley, and I do think he’s the best RB prospect since at least Adrian Peterson. There’s really nothing negative that I can say about him, but still…no prospect is guaranteed of anything. I would be ecstatic to start building my team around him, but I wouldn’t trade multiple elite assets for him like I have seen some owners do.
Deep Sleeper – Kyle Lauletta, QB
If you play in a 2QB league Lauletta may be worth a stash. Eli Manning is on his last legs and Davis Webb has been up and down in the limited preseason action he has. The Giants also didn’t like Webb enough based off what they saw last year to stop them from drafting Lauletta, and the Giants do have a lot of young weapons who should still be in place whenever Eli moves on.
Undervalued – Dallas Goedert, TE
Goedert is overlooked because the Eagles already have one good young TE in Zach Ertz, but Goedert is another young player showing a lot of promise this summer. Doug Pederson is one of the best coaches and offensive minds in the league, and if Goedert is good, Pederson will design touches for him. And remember, Goedert is a natural receiver that the Eagles traded up to take in the 2nd round this past spring.
Overvalued – Carson Wentz, QB
As I wrote in January during my offseason QB dynasty rankings,
“Wentz broke out this year with 33 TDs before tearing his ACL. I’m knocking him down a bit for a combination of factors, however
- he’s older than some people realize (25)
- his rookie year wasn’t as good as it was hyped up to be (79.3 passer rating and a horrific 5.09 ANY/A)
- his TD rate screams regression
That said, Wentz still had a fantastic season and is capable of the kind of jaw dropping plays that make it easy to envision him as the best QB in the league someday.”
All that still stands true – Wentz is an awesome asset, but he is still overrated.
Deep Sleeper – Mike Wallace, WR
It’s been a long time since Wallace was a true #1 receiver for anybody in the NFL, but he still has wheels. In a creative offense with a big armed quarterback Wallace might haul in enough long catches and touchdowns to be a boom or bust bye week fill in.
Undervalued – Derrius Guice, RB
Guice was a common selection for dynasty owners with the 1.02 pick of rookie picks this summer based on college film and landing spot. Unfortunately, because the Redskins aren’t allowed to have nice things, he tore his ACL in preseason week 1 and will miss the entire season. This has caused his value to take quite a hit in dynasty leagues, but I think the drop has gone too far. For starters, a lot of rookie backs are having early troubles. Secondly, Guice is still a highly talented prospect. Most people thought he was the 2nd most talented back in the class and that doesn’t change just because he will miss the season. Patient owners will be rewarded for buying low on Guice now to have when he returns to dominate the Redskins backfield next year.
Overvalued – Chris Thompson, RB
Chris Thompson had a bit of a mini-breakout last season before breaking his leg, but his efficiency is unlikely to continue this season even with Guice out for the year. The Redskins simply will not give Thompson a full workload – he’s still recovering from his broken leg, and Thompson was forced into a hyper efficient red zone role last season due to injuries across the Washington offense. Thompson is a nice cheap bench option in PPR leagues, but I wouldn’t expect the weekly borderline RB1 status he provided last season.
Deep Sleeper – Cam Sims, WR
Sims is likely too deep a sleeper to roster in most situations, but he has stood out for the Redskins in preseason and camp looking fluid and thriving in contested catch situations at 6’5” and 214 pounds. It’s possible Sims doesn’t even make the roster, but with his size and preseason I will definitely be keeping an eye on him.