Daily Fantasy Golf Preview – Wyndham Championship

The Course

Founded in 1938, The Wyndham Championship has been held at several courses but since 2008 it has been played at Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, North Carolina. Petey Pablo what’s good? Sedgefield is a 7,127 yard par 70 Donald Ross design that plays roughly 200 yards shorter than Bellerive did last week. It is the only Donald Ross designed course that is regularly played on in the PGA Tour. The greens and fairways are both bermuda grass that lend themselves to a lot of scoring opportunities.

Since 2018 the average winning score at this tournament has been just better than -18 so golfers that shoot birdies or better with consistency will have a chance to climb the leader board. Looking at bogey avoidance will also help you find a reasonable floor for each golfer while making picks.

This isn’t a long course so getting into the greens and sticking approach shots close will be more important than getting off the tee. Henrik Stenson won here last year with -22 and was always using 3-wood off the tee if that tells you anything. There are twelve par 4’s at Sedgefield with most of those being under 470 yards so par 4 scoring is going to be crucial this week as well as wedge play and shorter iron shots.

Key Stats

  • Birdie or Better
  • Par 4 Scoring
  • SG: Approaching the Green
    • Proximity Approaching the Green
  • Bogey Avoidance

The Field

Several former winners of this event will be in the field including Henrik Stenson, Webb Simpson, Sergio Garcia, Si Woo Kim, Ryan Moore, and Brandt Snedeker. This is also the last PGA Tour event before the start of the FedEx Cup Playoffs so guys will be making a last-ditch effort to stay on tour and qualify for the playoffs.

Big Dogs ($9,000 and up on DK)

  • Solid
    • Webb Simpson ($11,600) – Webb won here in 2011 and since then has had 4 finishes in the top 11 including a 3rd place last year. He’s T15 at par 4 scoring and 6th at bogey avoidance so his top dollar price tag comes with the highest floor in the field.
    • Henrik Stenson ($11,000) – Stenson lost over 3.5 strokes putting against the field last week causing him to miss his first cut in a long time. The reigning champ definitely has the tools to win again but he’ll have to figure out the flat stick.
    • Rafa Cabrera Bello ($10,100) – his last time here was a 5th place finish two years ago and he is coming off a 17th and 10th place in his last two weeks. With one of the best approach games on tour (12th SG: approaching the green) Rafa should have the opportunity to snag another top 10.
    • Joaquin Niemann ($9,700) – Niemann has made five consecutive cuts with three of those being 23rd or better. He’s shaping up to be one of the greatest young golfers in the game and is in the top 5 in birdie or better, par 4 scoring, and SG: approaching the green.
    • Russell Henley ($9,400) – the only thing that scares me about Russell is how high his salary has climbed since carding a 50th place last week, is he really that much better of a fit for this course? But before missing the cut at The Open he was very steady with four straight finishes of 29th or better.
  • Risky
    • Brandt Snedeker ($10,400) – in his last four tournaments Sneds has two top 10’s and in two of his last three here he has 2 top 5’s. He clearly likes playing here and has recently shown glimpses of brilliance so it wouldn’t be surprising to see him do it again.
    • Shane Lowry ($10,000) – last year at Sedgefield Sugar Shane was T7 and in his last two starts he has finished in 12th place so it seems that the stars are aligning for Lowry to go low.
    • Daniel Berger ($9,300) – he’s coming of a T12 last week at the PGA Championship and has made 19 out of his last 22 cuts.

Value ($8,900 – $7,500 on DK)

  • Solid
    • Harold Varner III ($8,900) – HVIII has made three straight cuts here with two top 25’s and has now made four consecutive cuts which include two finishes in the top 13.
    • Julian Suri ($8,700) – he’s only missed one of his last six cuts and the rest of those have been finishes in the top 30.
    • Steve Stricker ($8,300) – Stricker hasn’t golfed here recently but should be suited to play well on this track. In a depleted field the likelihood of him finishing in the top 25 is pushing 40%.
    • Chris Kirk ($7,500) – for a guy that is top 15 in par 4 scoring, bogey avoidance, and SG: approaching the green, to be priced at $7,500 seems like a pretty big steal to me.
  • Risky
    • Ollie Schniederjans (8,600) – Ollie has been pretty good at finding birdies this year (T29 at birdie or better) and was 2nd here last year at -21 but hasn’t seen the top 25 in over seven tournaments.
    • C.T. Pan ($7,800) – Pan has made four of his last five cuts with four finishes 39th or better, in this field he should be able to flirt with another top 25.
    • Johnson Wagner ($7,500) – his last two starts here have been 5th and 24th while his recent form has also looked good coming off two consecutive finishes in the top 30. Wagner is also 5th in bogey avoidance and 21st at par 4 scoring on tour this year.

Sleepers ($7,400 and below on DK)

  • Risky
    • Rory Sabbatini ($7,400) – his last two times playing in this event have been a 4th and 8th place finish and he is also coming off a 12th place at the Canadian Open so Rory seems to be piecing it back together.
    • Keith Mitchell ($7,400) – Mitchell has made three straight cuts with a top 10 squeezed in the middle of those three. He is also 14th at birdie or better this year.
    • Jhonattan Vegas ($7,200) – Jhonny Vegas has made three consecutive cuts in the last three weeks and has an 8th place finish at Sedgefield. He’s a guy that can give you big upside for the cheap price.
    • Ryan Blaum ($7,200) – Blaum has made five out of his last six cuts and four of those have been 23rd or better.
    • Brian Gay ($7,100) – in his last seven tournaments Brian has averaged roughly 40th place with the highest being T8, which for this price isn’t all that bad.
    • Nick Watney ($7,100) – he’s T30 at par 4 scoring alongside Sabbatini and Steve Stricker in this field. Watney makes a lot of cuts but don’t expect him to finish too close to the top of the leader board.
    • Mackenzie Hughes ($6,800) – Hughes has three straight finishes of T16 or better, which dollar for dollar is about as good as you can get in terms of recent form.
    • Alex Cejka ($6,700) – Cejka has finished 40th or better in four of his last five tournaments and he’s also 29th at bogey avoidance on tour.

Click Here to see Mark’s Odds and Projections for the Wyndham Championship.

 

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Mark Lee

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Detroit sports fan, also sufferer of seasonal depression. Avid golfer and former college baseball player. Would've been in the league if it weren't for my lack of ability. Accountant by day, fantasy golf guru by night.

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