Howdy boys and girls! We are back with another strong field event at the Memorial which is played at the beautiful Muirfield Village golf club in Ohio. Jack Nicklaus designed this par 72 course which plays at around 7,400 yards. Weather may be a factor here as there is rain in the forecast for Thursday and possibly Friday so the course will likely be softer. This week I focused on par 4 scoring, scoring average, proximity, driving accuracy, strokes gained tee to green and (as always) strokes gained total. I also looked at recent form and course history. Away we go!!
If you have any questions – don’t hesitate to hit me up on Twitter at @AssemblyNeil.
Jordan Spieth ($9,800 DraftKings/$11,800 FanDuel) – Year after year, Jordan Spieth is usually one of the most reliable putters on tour, but somehow this year his flat stick has let him down. That having been said, his iron game has been on point. I have a feeling that the lightning fast greens, like those at Augusta will get Spieth back on track with the putter. And if that is the case, watch out. Spieth is 5th in the field in par 4 scoring, 8th in scoring average, 1st in proximity and 2nd in strokes gained tee to green. Spieth’s course history is fairly solid with 3 top 20s in his last 4 years, including a 3rd place finish in 2015. I think he will be great this week.
Justin Rose ($10,600 DraftKings/$12,600 FanDuel) – My only concern about this pick is that it will be chalky after Rose ran away with the victory at the Fort Worth last week. Rose’s numbers are so good that I am willing to eat the chalk as he ranks 2nd in par 5 scoring, 3rd in scoring average, 7th in strokes gained tee to green and 3rd in strokes gained total. On top of that, Rose’s course history is sparkling with 5 top 10s among his last 8 trips to Muirfield, including a win in 2010 and runner-up finishes in 2008 and in his most recent visit to this event in 2015. I am firing up more Rose this week.
Upper Middle Class
Henrik Stenson ($9,200 DraftKings/$11,700 FanDuel) – Stenson is my play of the week this week as I think he can win this tournament. King Henrik ranks 1st in par 4 scoring and driving accuracy, 5th in strokes gained tee to green, 6th in scoring average and 6th in strokes gained total. He is one of only 3 players who rank in the top 50 in all 6 of my stat categories of the week. All in all, this is a week where Henrik is ripe to play well. Stenson has not played this event since 2013 and when he did play, he wasn’t all that great. No matter to me as I hope his ownership will be down as a result. I am all over Stenson this week.
Tiger Woods ($9,400 DraftKings/$11,300 FanDuel) – I just loving picking Tiger but there are many reasons why he is a great play this week. For one, Tiger has won this event 5 times and has not missed the cut in 15 appearances. But even more importantly than that, Woods is 13th in scoring average, 15th in strokes gained tee to green and 10th in strokes gained total. He has also been money in less than driver courses this year, and Muirfield is a course that sometimes takes the big club out of a golfer’s hand. I like for Woods to contend.
Emiliano Grillo ($8,400 DraftKings/$10,400 FanDuel) – This is another play that will likely be chalky and could be best suited for cash games. Grillo has been in great recent form and his price is right on both major sites, so the masses will likely run to him. I will not stay away as Grillo is one of three players to rank in the top 50 in all 6 of my stats of the week. Most impressively, he is 13th in par 4 scoring and 9th in strokes gained total. This course seems tailor made for the young Argentine and I will join the party.
Chesson Hadley ($7,900 DraftKings/$9,700 FanDuel) – There are a lot of good players in this price range, so I am hoping that people forget about Hadley. This guy is having a resurgent season and is ranked 3rd in proximity, 12th in par 4 scoring and 13th in strokes gained total. Hadley does not have much history at this course but he has finished in the top 20 at his last 6 events. I think he will make it 7 in a row this week.
Bang for your Buck
Ryan Moore ($7,500 DraftKings/$9,300 FanDuel) – After a forgettable 2017 season, Moore is back to being a rock solid player this year. And this is a course that should suit him just fine as he ranks 9th in driving accuracy, 15th in strokes gained tee to green and 19th in scoring average. Moore also has a good course history here as he has 7 top 25s among his last 11 appearances at Muirfield. I am loving me some Moore!
Chris Kirk ($7,400 DraftKings/$9,200 FanDuel) – Kirk is quietly having a really nice season this year as he has 3 top 20 finishes among his last 6 starts. And this course sets up beautifully for Kirk as he ranks 20th in proximity, 29th in strokes gained tee to green and 30th in scoring average. And while Kirk has missed his last two cuts at Muirfield, he does have a 4th place finish at this tournament in 2014. I think Kirk will be near the top of the leaderboard again this week.
Pat Perez ($7,100 DraftKings/$9,400 FanDuel) – After a great start to the year, Perez has been floundering recently as he has no finishes higher than 42nd place in the last 3 months. Instead of using that as a deterrent, I will be using a lot of Perez in GPPs at anticipated low ownership. Perez is 20th on Tour in par 4 scoring, 11th in driving accuracy and 17th in proximity. He profiles as someone who can win this event like Jason Dufner and William McGirt the last two years. Perez’s course history is also quite solid as he has made 8 straight cuts with 6 of those being top 30 finishes.
Kevin Streelman ($7,000 DraftKings/$8,300 FanDuel) – Despite this course’s length, some short hitters have done pretty well in recent years. That bodes well for Streelman who is a consistent hitter. Streelman ranks 12th on Tour in par 4 scoring and 18th in driving accuracy. Moreover, he has top 20 finishes at this event in his last 3 appearances. I like Streelman as a low cost option this week.
Good luck to all of you this week!
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