Many owners are probably starting to evaluate their prospects and their stats and determining what to do. Whether that means you are looking at a prospect you weren’t very excited about and their struggles have you thinking about dropping them, or adding a prospect with little pedigree and a hot start.
Owners will typically churn the bottom of their major league rosters, but I feel like it doesn’t happen nearly as much with minor league players.
The bottom of a minor league roster more often than not isn’t going to be a big impact player. If you can keep shuffling guys through hoping that one player’s hot start is the start of a prospect breakout I would take that chance. The same goes for guys with big time tools, whether that means a pitching prospect with a great fastball or a big power prospect.
.339/.419/.750, 13 HR, 5 2B, BB% 10.9, K% 20.9, 0 SB
He has been on fire putting up almost video game like numbers in the past week. In a five game stretch he hit eight homers with three of those games being multi homer games. Reyes is far from a big time prospect, he didn’t even crack the top-30 prospects for the Padres from MLB.com’s list.
He hasn’t really done any eye-popping things, sure he hit 25 homers last year but it didn’t come with a great average. He has big time raw power so the 25 homer type season should be expected. In the PCL he gets to play up that power even more. As long as he continues to make contact he is going to put up some pretty nice numbers. Even at AAA he has very little chance of making a 2018 impact. The Padres have a crowded outfield even with Wil Myers on the DL, there is no real reason to force Reyes in there as anything more than a bench bat.
Reyes is kind of my classic, add him and let his numbers do work for you midseason when you want to make a move play. So many fantasy players are numbers or top-100 scouts. Reyes won’t make a top-100 list this summer, but this early season surge is enough to elevate his numbers for the next month plus.
.388/.492/.857, 6 HR, 3 2B, BB% 16.9, K% 6.8, 0 SB
Soto continues to dominate the minors. The big-time breakout is happening now. If you have any chance to jump in do it before it is too late. At this time next year, we are going to be talking about Soto like we are talking about guys Vlad Guerrero Jr. now.
If you are in sell mode already I think Soto is a big enough get that I would be fine with him being the only prospect return you got. Typically I want multiple dart throws, lets be honest most prospects are just dart throws, but with Soto I am willing to take one shot if it means I can get him.
10 IP, 0.00 ERA, 0.70 WHIP, K% 44.4, BB% 2.8
Paddack is back from Tommy John Surgery and pitching well through two starts. Just like pre-surgery Paddack is piling up the strikeouts, 16 through 10 innings.
It is nice to see the walk numbers have stayed down, just one so far this season. Not that command and walks are a direct correlation, but many say that the last thing to come along post-surgery is the command. If Paddack continues to do well I wouldn’t be surprised if he crept into the back of my top-100 come July, where he as before he had surgery.
29 1/3 IP, 1.53 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, K% 27.4, BB% 8.8
Reid-Foley is repeating AA after a disastrous 2017 season where his ERA was above 5 and he had a WHIP of 1.49. His issue for the most part has been his control. He has bounced back in a big way so far this season.
The upside isn’t as high as some guys that have had issues with walks, someone like Sean Newcomb comes to mind, but in deeper leagues I think he is a worthy dart throw. I tend to stay away from guys with walks issues if I can, I was never a fan of Newcomb and it may start to bite me now. For the amount of guys that figure it out it just feels as though there are many more that don’t or take too long.
31 2/3 IP, 4.55 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, K% 25.4, BB% 7.5
Burnes doesn’t have crazy upside that should get anyone super excited. There is decent stuff, but not exceptional and his future home is going to be Miller Park. The good news is Burnes gets a taste of a bad pitchers park by pitching in Colorado Springs in AAA. His ability to control all his pitches well is probably his best asset.
Burnes should be up to contribute to fantasy rosters at some point this season and for sure in only formats will be worth an add, and probably in leagues of 15 teams or more. He should be streamable in shallower formats but far from a must add. He profiles more of a back of the rotation guy.
34 2/3 IP, 1.30 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, K% 31.5, BB% 9.7
Gonsalves is another arm that should be able to help the big league roster sooner rather than later. The Twins rotation is an easy rotation to crack and Gonsalves at 6’5” and a lefty should provide plenty of intrigue. He doesn’t throw overly hard, but he does have a great changeup that can help him against right handed hitters in the majors.
32 1/3 IP, 1.95 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, K% 32.1, BB% 10.7
Cease has walked more than you would want from a young arm, but in his last two starts he has just two walks and 18 strikeouts.
I feel like I have written a lot about Cease in recent years. I might be higher on him than most, but I really like his potential.
If it all works out he really has the upside to be a fantasy number two. He just needs to stay healthy.
I was a big fan of Anderson’s coming out of the draft and he is just another arm that is in a stacked Braves system. He already has three plus pitches at just 20 years old in high-A.
The bad news for Anderson is the great depth for Atlanta might take the slow road rather than try to rush him up at some point next season. A more likely ETA is Anderson joining the rotation at some point in 2020 as he would join, an expected, young and loaded Braves rotation.
I think Anderson does have the upside to be a lock on fantasy rosters for years to come, but I don’t think he has ace upside even if everything works out. His upside is closer to a fantasy three.