Baseball season is just around the corner, but we’re still full steam ahead with NBA. This is a smaller Friday night slate than what we typically see, but it still has six games and there are some excellent contests on Draftkings. As I’ve stressed a lot lately, make sure you watch lineup news right up to lock, because there is a lot going on this time of year. Let’s get to my core plays.
PG: DeAaron Fox – Sacramento Kings
This night is shaping up like a balanced night for me. I think there are handful of great plays in the $5,000-$6,000 range. Fox is simply too cheap for the minutes and matchup. He played 34 and 35 minutes in his last two and now faces a depleted Golden State team. That’s good news for a reduced blowout risk. In 35ish minutes at just $5,400, Fox is one of the better plays on the slate. For what it’s worth, he’s averaged 0.93 Draftkings points per minutes in two games against the Warriors.
SG/SF: Wayne Ellington – Miami Heat
Ellington is seeing extra opportunity due to an an injury riddled roster. With Dwyane Wade already ruled out and Josh Richardson doubtful, Ellington should see around 30 minutes. In his last game, he shot 17 three pointers. Let that sink in. If he shoots anywhere near that again, he should easily pay off his $4,400 salary.
SF/PF: Kyle Kuzma – Los Angeles Lakers
Kuzma sat the last game out due to a sprained ankle. He’s now had three full days off, and I have a feeling that he’ll be good to go. He returned to the game he sprained his ankle in on Monday, so I think getting their last game off on Wednesday was just precautionary to give him a little extra time off of it. Assuming we get word that he’s going to play, I like him a lot. He’s another mid-range play with a big ceiling. He’s been playing nearly 40 minutes a game, averaging 39.3 over his last five. With that many minutes, he’s just too cheap, considering he’s averaged 0.95 DK points per minute on the season. If we get word before lineup lock that Kuzma is out again, I will probably lock in Isaiah Thomas. If we don’t have any news, unfortunately I think we’ll have to pass on him unless you’re playing a lot of lineups and want to take the chance.
PF/C: Julius Randle – Los Angeles Lakers
I continue to roll out Randle nearly every night. His price has finally crossed the $8,000 plateau that I predicted months ago, but it’s not keeping me from playing him. He’s not too expensive, but he’s now priced appropriately. Hassan Whiteside has sat out the last three games for the Heat, and big men have excelled in the last two. Last time out for the Lakers, it was Brook Lopez who had the better game, and I think more people will gravitate to him at the cheaper price. He’s an okay play, but Randle was in foul trouble in that last game, and I just have a feeling that his minutes trend back up and he has the big outing against Miami.
C: Jonas Valanciunas – Toronto Raptors
Full disclosure: I’m get Big Val wrong almost every time out. He may be one of the most undervalued fantasy assets in the NBA. The problem is his minutes are all over the place. This game is on the back end of the back to back, so it comes with plenty of risk. However, he only played 27 minutes Thursday, so there’s no reason he couldn’t play 25-27 again on Friday. With that many minutes against this Dallas Mavericks front court, he could feast! I’m tired of missing out on these huge games from him because I’m scared of his minutes. If he burns me here so be it. But he fits perfectly in the balanced build I keep referring to.
That’s it for today. Be sure to follow me on Twitter at @mrclutchdfs so you can stay up to date on any changes to my plays based on late information.
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