2018 Outfield Rankings: Top 75

We wrap up each week of positional coverage with our 2018 rankings. In addition to the rankings we will pose a number of questions to our panel covering topics such as reaches and targets, players to avoid and late round impact players. Taking part in our rankings will be Kevin Jebens, Jim Finch, Kenny Garvey, Josh Coleman, Dan Marcus, Mike Sheehan and Mike (the cop) Levin. Our seven “experts” each ranked their top 75 outfielders for the 2018 season.

Players marked N/R were not ranked inside the top 75 by that particular person. We used a 10 games started minimum requirement for eligibility, so if you don’t see someone they either do not qualify or were not worthy (or everyone missed him – it happens). If you feel we overlooked someone or would like to debate a player’s ranking, feel free to do so in the comment section below.

Rank Player Team Jim Kevin Josh Mike S Dan Kenny Mike L
1 Mike Trout Angels 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2 Charlie Blackmon Rockies 3 2 4 4 3 4 2
3 Mookie Betts Red Sox 2 4 2 2 2 7 4
4 Giancarlo Stanton Yankees 4 5 5 5 5 2 5
5 Bryce Harper Nationals 6 7 3 3 4 6 3
6 Aaron Judge Yankees 5 6 7 7 6 5 7
7 J.D. Martinez Free Agent 9 3 6 8 9 3 6
8 George Springer Astros 7 10 8 15 7 8 8
9 Cody Bellinger Dodgers 8 9 9 6 10 11 11
10 Andrew Benintendi Red Sox 10 11 12 20 12 12 12
11 Christian Yelich Brewers 11 8 17 22 11 10 13
12 Justin Upton Angels 12 20 15 17 8 13 16
13 Marcell Ozuna Cardinals 19 14 21 16 16 9 9
14 A.J. Pollock Diamondbacks 13 13 11 10 18 24 17
15 Starling Marte Pirates 14 18 10 14 13 26 18
16 Dee Gordon Mariners 18 16 13 13 17 27 15
17 Khris Davis Athletics 16 15 14 18 15 23 30
18 Rhys Hoskins Phillies 17 19 25 9 23 29 10
19 Yoenis Cespedes Mets 21 30 16 19 20 14 24
20 Billy Hamilton Reds 23 17 20 12 19 35 20
21 Andrew McCutchen Giants 20 23 18 26 25 15 22
22 Lorenzo Cain Brewers 25 24 19 27 21 19 23
23 Tommy Pham Cardinals 32 12 42 11 30 34 14
24 Ryan Braun Brewers 15 22 22 25 37 38 28
25 Byron Buxton Twins 22 25 26 23 14 59 19




Who is your top outfield target regardless of round?

Kevin: Give me someone who hits for high BA. I’ll pass on Judge and Stanton for a profile like JD Martinez or Blackmon.

Jim: I tend to go infield early, missing out on the big names up top. Because of this I will aim for 5-category guys outside the top-10 like A.J. Pollock, Byron Buxton, and old reliable Ryan Braun. If I were to target someone early it would be Mookie Betts or Springer near the end of round two/beginning of round three.

Kenny: It’s hard not to go with Mike Trout as anyone’s top OF target, but for the sake of me NOT having the #1 pick in the draft I’ll go with someone else. I think my top OF target this year would have to be George Springer. He was dynamite in the World Series and I think that’s only a glimpse of the player he can become in the future. Lock him down!

Dan: Mookie Betts is an early target and my top priority. Kevin Kiermaier is another player I plan on owning plenty of stock in.

Josh: It goes without saying that Trout is everyone’s poster boy. I too would follow the sheep. I’m all in on Mookie as well, if 2017 was a “down season” I’m beyond pleased of the disappointment. If 100% of my teams feature either/both Starling Marte and AJ Pollock it’ll be a good draft season. Both have Top 15 upside and either could serve as an outfield anchor.

Mike S: I mean it’s Trout, but everyone knows that.  I’ll stay in a similarly obvious neighborhood, though, and say Mookie Betts.  It’s hard to say that someone is underrated when he’s a consensus first  rounder.  That said, he had an unlucky 2017.   I think that was his floor and he will perform closer to 2016 standards this year.

Rank Player Team Jim Kevin Josh Mike S Dan Kenny Mike L
26 Adam Jones Orioles 24 29 37 33 24 16 32
27 Domingo Santana Brewers 34 55 24 31 22 20 21
28 Yasiel Puig Dodgers 33 33 34 24 28 33 29
29 Nomar Mazara Rangers 27 35 48 35 29 17 35
30 Nick Castellanos Tigers 42 43 28 36 31 25 25
31 Adam Eaton Nationals 29 42 29 21 45 22 46
32 Ian Desmond Rockies 30 38 27 37 27 51 34
33 Ender Enciarte Braves 35 36 32 34 36 28 47
34 Jay Bruce Mets 31 72 35 30 50 18 31
35 Manuel Margot Padres 38 40 46 48 38 39 36
36 Gregory Polanco Pirates 36 62 23 32 26 58 64
37 Adam Duvall Reds 41 44 41 43 32 42 60
38 Kevin Kaermaier Rays 53 31 33 53 33 62 53
39 Joey Gallo Rangers 26 64 30 39 39 21 N/R
40 Whit Merrifield Royals 59 27 51 29 34 30 N/R
41 Trey Mancini Orioles 50 47 45 73 49 37 33
42 Eddie Rosario Twins 45 32 43 63 70 40 44
43 Odubel Herrera Phillies 44 41 44 65 52 54 52
44 Ronald Acuna Braves 28 26 49 N/R 46 68 39
45 Matt Olson Athletics 67 68 36 28 57 45 58
46 Corey Dickerson Rays 51 53 59 44 56 43 61
T47 Chris Taylor Dodgers N/R 28 N/R 40 51 31 26
T47 Michael Conforto Mets 40 N/R 38 45 67 48 38
49 Brett Gardner Yankees 55 39 50 41 44 N/R 49
50 Kyle Schwarber Cubs 52 56 31 64 53 60 66

Which outfielder(s) do you plan on avoiding in the draft?

Kevin: Despite SB being rare, I can’t buy on Hamilton and his lack of BA/OBP. Also don’t love empty power like Olson, Trumbo, Gallo. Do you sense a theme in my answers?

Jim: Most of my avoids would come after my top-30 are off the board – I can’t see me avoiding any of my top guys (except maybe speed or bust Hamilton). I’m probably avoiding Pham (breakout at age 29), Domingo Santana (too many red flags), and Schwarber (was never a big fan).

Kenny: One guy I’m for sure going to avoid this year is Andrew McCutchen. He’s on the downside of his career and the move to San Francisco doesn’t do anything to help his fantasy value. Mitch Haniger might be another one to shy away from. He came out hot last year, but injuries slowed the rest of his success and that’s always something to keep an eye on.

Dan: Chris Taylor is not guaranteed a starting role and I’m skeptical of his 2017 breakout. Ryan Braun saw a decline in average and is at an age where the loss of speed and injuries need to be considered. Tommy Pham had what I believe to be a career year so no thank you.

Josh: Marcel Ozuna has been a serviceable 3rd-4th OF for years, the Top-Shelf 2017 featured a favorable batted ball profile without much growth as a hitter. Rhys Hoskins has plenty to like – the ADP is not among them. Late season K totals don’t concern me as much as high fly ball rate benefitted by huge HR/FB rate. Fewer balls going out will eat away at the AVG; you’ll be left with a .260/25 player with 150 Runs + RBI or see (Marcel Ozuna).

Mike S: Staying at the top, I will not be drafting Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton at their projected ADP.  I’ve been annoying my fellow Yankee fans with this attitude, but I believe both just had their career years.  They are frequently going in front of names like Betts, Bryant, Machado, Votto, Rizzo, and Kershaw.  I won’t be able to do that given Stanton’s injury history and Judge’s K rate.  

Rank Player Team Jim Kevin Josh Mike S Dan Kenny Mike L
51 Steven Souza Rays 54 34 74 42 40 73 67
52 Michael Brantley Indians 43 46 58 49 66 71 56
53 Mitch Haniger Mariners 58 58 70 60 61 32 51
54 Bradley Zimmer Indians 37 48 N/R 62 42 63 54
55 Ian Happ Cubs 46 63 72 46 59 65 62
56 Dexter Fowler Cardinals 74 52 52 72 69 55 40
57 Mark Trumbo Orioles 64 71 47 67 54 52 74
58 Chris Owings Diamondbacks N/R 37 56 61 35 75 69
59 Eric Thames Brewers 56 61 39 68 N/R 36 75
60 Delino DeShields Rangers 57 51 61 66 47 N/R 55
61 Carlos Gonzalez Free Agent 66 65 53 50 60 70 N/R
62 Scott Schebler Reds 70 59 67 38 65 69 N/R
63 Willie Calhoun Rangers 39 50 69 N/R 55 N/R 57
64 Shin-Soo Choo Rangers 73 73 68 69 64 N/R 41
65 Avisail Garcia White Sox N/R 45 63 N/R N/R 47 37
66 Stephen Piscotty Athletics 62 N/R 57 47 62 66 N/R
67 Marwin Gonzalez Astros N/R N/R 54 N/R 73 44 27
68 Matt Kemp Braves 61 N/R 64 70 N/R 53 59
69 David Peralta Diamondbacks N/R 49 N/R 56 63 N/R 42
70 Hunter Renfroe Padres 49 54 55 N/R N/R 57 N/R
71 David Dahl Rockies 47 70 73 55 75 N/R N/R
72 Michael Taylor Nationals 60 60 N/R 74 N/R 61 68
73 Melky Cabrera Free Agent 75 75 65 75 N/R N/R 45
74 Eduardo Nunez Free Agent N/R N/R 40 N/R 48 N/R 48
75 Kole Calhoun Angels 69 57 62 N/R N/R 50 N/R

Favorite underrated outfielder based on current ADP?

Kevin: Gardner is going to help in 2018 despite not being a sexy option. Kiermaier needs health but has nice HR/SB potential, has gone as late as 254.

Jim: Adam Jones is another year older, another few spots down the ranking, and yet he keeps putting up similar numbers. Michael Brantley is another of my favorites – his ADP makes him a nice gamble if he can recover some of that lost power. Finally, Bradley Zimmer could be one of the cheapest potential 20/20 player in the draft.

Kenny: I like Ian Happ with a current ADP of 140. He’s still a bit on the “raw” side, but his ceiling is high. He hit 24 homers and knocked in 68 in just over 400 at-bats last year. I’m not saying he’ll land more AB’s than that, but the chances are there to land an every-day role, which leaves him to hit 30+ and knock in near 100. I can’t pass up that potential value in the 14th round!

Dan:  I like Randal Grichuk more than most and am willing to gamble on a batting average bounce back.

Josh: If you took a poll of butt-hurt owners last season I’d surmise Kyle Schwarber provided much of that disappointment. HR with no AVG isn’t as palatable as it once was. Lack of contact is a problem, but at the heart my support for him is not found in numbers. I’ll chalk last seasons troubles up to a year away from the game. I wouldn’t set his expected AVG above .250, but I sure expect it to be closer to that than the Mendoza line. .240/30 fells like the low-end moving forward with the potential for a Khris Davis type season with a better AVG.

Mike S: Billy Hamilton and Dee Gordon register here for me.  60-80 steal potential in the current steals environment is way more valuable than how it is drafted.  Hamilton isn’t a particularly good real world player, but he is an amazing fantasy option.  If you get Hamilton or Gordon  then you don’t have to stress about speed much for the rest of your draft.

Outside Looking In
Player Team Jim Kevin Josh Mike S Dan Kenny Mike L
Jackie Bradley Jr Red Sox N/R 69 N/R 52 N/R 49 N/R
Aaron Hicks Yankees N/R 67 75 58 N/R 72 71
Yasmany Tomas Diamondbacks 68 74 66 N/R 58 N/R N/R
Aaron Altherr Phillies N/R N/R N/R 51 N/R 41 50
Lewis Brinson Marlins 48 21 N/R N/R 74 N/R N/R
Josh Reddick Astros N/R N/R N/R 54 68 N/R 43
Max Kepler Twins 71 N/R N/R 57 N/R N/R 72
Honorable MentionsR.Grichuk, C.Gomez, N.Williams, J.Pederson, G.Parra (2 of 7 lists) – J.Kipnis, J.Bautista, Dustin Fowler, J.Martinez, J.Heyward, V.Robles, J.Winker, K.Pillar, J.Pirela, H.Pence (1 of 7)

Late round pick(s) that could make an impact?

Kevin: Yasmany Tomas lost 2017 to injury, and his ADP is down because of it. If he’s healthy (a big if), then you could get 25+ HR and .260 BA in round 21 of a 15-team league.

Jim: David Dahl was once all the talk – now he’s a footnote barely cracking the top 60 in ADP. With Cargo gone and Blackmon soon to follow the playing time will be there. Mark Trumbo has slipped after a down year, and Stephen Piscotty fell apart due to injuries and personal issues. Both could bounce back and be had for a song.

Kenny: I like the opportunities for Stephen Piscotty in Oakland this year. There’s something to be said about being home that makes for an easier, more successful season. I don’t even have Lewis Brinson cracking my top 75, but he’s another late-round talent that could finally assert himself as an everyday outfielder now that he’ll have a chance to play in Miami.

Dan: Bradley Zimmer started strong when promoted by quickly faded. Strikeouts will always be an issue, but his power and speed will play even with a .240 average.

Josh: Carlos Gonzalez is barely among the top 300. Solid OBP skills and GB tilt should provide a solid AVG return. .285/20 with 170 Run+RBI is possible. Stephen Piscotty lost close to 40 points in AVG and around a dozen HR from 2016. From the ashes a Phoenix arises? Lost in last season was his gains in approach 13% BB rate without a real adverse effect on K%. ground ball approach will cap power but I’ve got to believe if the plate growth holds .285 can be in play.

Mike S: Outfield is rife with potential.  I basically want one top 10-15-ish outfielder as a foundation and will fill out the rest chasing upside and bounce backs.  I’ll pick Margot because of the enormous speed potential. It’s worth mentioning guys like Brantley, Bautista, Haniger, Castellanos, and Mazara just to name a few, though. 

*****

2018 RANKINGS
CatcherFirst BaseSecond BaseThird BaseShortstopStarting PitcherRelieversTop 250

 

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The Fantasy Assembly Team

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