NBA DFS Draftkings Plays 1/12

It’s my favorite slate of the week, FRIDAY! Some of my best nights have come on Friday night and there’s no better feeling than enjoying the start of the weekend watching your team(s) climb the leaderboards. I hope you got in on some of Wednesday’s plays, especially Andre Drummond, who put up over 60 DK points in just three quarters. Hopefully you avoided the Bobby Portis dud though. Man was he a bad play. But you could still cash in tournaments with him in your lineup because he was so highly owned. I ended up slightly better than a min-cash, so I’m not going to complain too much. But what a night it could have been. Let’s jump into Friday’s slate of nine games. Keep in mind that there will likely be value open up throughout the day, so keep an eye on that. As always, you can ask me questions on twitter before lock to get my final thoughts.

PG: Kemba Walker – Charlotte Hornets

Walker has really turned it on of late, scoring no fewer than 38 DraftKings points in his last five games, and as many as 59.75 in his last outing. He’s at home, where we prefer to roster him, and he’s getting a price discount because of his matchup against the Utah Jazz. I’ve mentioned it here before, and it’s no secret, but the Jazz aren’t the same team without Rudy Gobert manning the paint. They go from one of the top overall defenses with him on the floor to average or below without him from a fantasy perspective. High caliber point guards like Walker, have excelled against them lately. John Wall just dropped 66 DK points two days ago. Over their last ten games or so before that, Jamal Murray scored 36.5 and 40.5 in two games, Russell Westbrook topped 56 DK points twice, Jrue Holiday had 39.5, Chris Paul had 52.25 (with Harden), Kyrie Irving scored 47, and Kris Dunn scored 40 DK points. Hopefully you get the trend. Good point guards against the Jazz are putting up big fantasy numbers. 

SG: Eric Gordon – Houston Rockets

Gordon is another player on a tear right now. Since Harden has been out, he’s been really good. His price is rising fast, but I still don’t think he’s priced appropriately to the level he’s playing. Over his last four games, he’s had 44.75 or more DK points three times. One of my favorite positions to target against in the entire league is shooting guards against the Suns. This should definitely be a game where Gordon tops 40 again and at $7,400, which is 5.4X value. Anything above that is icing on the cake.

SF/PF: TJ Warren – Phoenix Suns

I love running it back with Warren in the same game as Gordon. I’ve preached it all season, but with Devin Booker as the focus of the offense, Warren performs his best. His price is down to $6,200, but he’s scored over 30 DK points in each of his last five games and nine of his last ten. In all reality, he’s probably the best dollar for dollar play on the slate. In a number of those last ten, he played in the low 30’s in minutes because of blowouts. When the game stays close, he typically plays in the upper 30’s in minutes. Vegas expects this game (in Phoenix) to stay close, as it opened with a seven point spread and a healthy 225 total. He a solid candidate for 7X on this slate. 

PG/SG: Jamal Murray – Denver Nuggets

Speaking of Murray, he’s another excellent guard play on this slate. While his fantasy performances have left a little be desired over his last three, the minutes are there. He’s played 35 or more minutes in six of his last eight games. Typically it takes a blowout or foul trouble to keep him below that range. Memphis is another team that we typically shy away from with opposing players, but they’re also allowing some big performances to opposing point guards lately. Murray is priced at $5,800 and we know he has 50+ point upside. This is another really solid high floor/high ceiling play. 

C: Marcin Gortat – Washington Wizards

This is a price play for me. At just $4,900, there is upside for Gortat in a really good matchup against the Orlando Magic. Gortat’s minutes were really volatile through December, but they’ve now steadied out, with him seeing between 25 and 33 minutes in each of his last five games. He’s also scored 33 or more DK points in two of his last four. I would definitely be happy with that output at his price. Again, this isn’t the most exciting play, and I would possibly go a different route if value opens up, but as things stand now, he’s looking enticing. 

SF/PF: Dragan Bender – Phoenix Suns

One more possible play from this game. I wish Bender’s price would have stayed below $4,000, but this is the hand we’re dealt. At the time of writing this, value is hard to come by. Bender came in the last game when Marquese Chriss went down to injury, and he lit it up, scoring 43.5 DK points. He has already been announced the starter in this game. I don’t think his usage will be very high, but in a fast paced game, with the chance to play 30+ minutes, it will just take a handful of rebounds and a few threes along with a few extra peripherals to make value. Again, maybe better value will open up, but if not, he might be the play.

*****

That’s it for today. Be sure to follow me on Twitter at @mrclutchdfs so you can stay up to date on any changes to my plays based on late information.

 

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Eric S

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Eric is the creator of DFSdigest.com and has played fantasy football for nearly 20 years now and is primarily a GPP player in DFS. He estimates he enters lineups in either football, basketball, baseball or golf roughly 350 days a year. Eric is ranked inside the top 7% in RotoGrinders overall player ranking. His favorite teams include the Detroit Lions, Oklahoma City Thunder, Oklahoma State Cowboys, and the Atlanta Braves.

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