Happy New Year everyone! Glad to be back in the saddle after the holidays. I hope you’re enjoying the new site layout. We’re going to jump back into NBA with a big ten game slate on Friday night.
PG: Goran Dragic – Miami Heat
Dragic has been on fire over his last two games, scoring 51.25 and 48 DraftKings points. His minutes are up also. He looks like he’s finally playing at full health and now is the time to jump on his depressed price. For $6,600, we’re getting a guy who has 50 point upside and is going to be playing 36-38 minutes. The matchup is also there, as the Knicks aren’t a team that we worry about defensively, especially at the point guard position.
SG/SF: Wes Matthews – Dallas Mavericks
Matthews is the prototypical tournament play, as his floor is pretty low, but he can return really good value at his price. He has been pretty hot lately, scoring over 25 DK points in three of his last four games. His opponent, the Chicago Bulls, are bottom ten this season in fantasy points allowed to opposing shooting guards. They’ve been even worse lately, allowing the fourth most DK points to SG’s over the past four weeks and second most over the last week. He makes a solid play at just $4,700. You’ll be hard pressed to find value at that price with an expected 35+ minutes.
SF: Kawhi Leonard – San Antonio Spurs
Leonard reached 30 minutes for the first time of the season last game and had 49 DK points to show for it. Leonard is a $9,000+ player, but is still priced at just $7,600. I’m hoping the minutes limit will keep some people off of him. In all reality he’s priced perfectly for the amount of minutes he’s going to be playing. Last season, he averaged 1.28 DK points per minute. If he gets the expected 30 minutes, that would put him just over 5X value. Throw in the fact that the matchup against the Suns is as good as we could ask for, along with the chance that he ends up playing more than 30 minutes, and we’ve got a really good spot.
C: Boban Marjanovic – Detroit Pistons
If you missed out on min-priced Boban when he started for Andre Drummond in his last game, I’m sorry. His price came way up to $4,600, but if Drummond is out and Boban is starting, I will be playing him again. He is a point per minute beast. He put up 32 DK points in 22 minutes on Wednesday, and we could expect similar numbers tonight, which is still very solid for his price. If the DFS gods shine upon us and give Boban another start, do yourself a favor and roster him.
SF/PF: Michael Beasley – New York Knicks
Another solid tournament play here. Beasley has taken on a heavy offensive role lately, and that has shown in his fantasy outputs. In his last four, he’s scored more than 34 DK points or more three times. One of those games topped 50 DK points. Kristaps Porzingis admitted after the Knicks last game that he is tired, which lends some credence to why Beasley has been able to shine of late. I think the Knicks continue to let Beasley loose on the offensive end and he’s a very high upside play at a fair price.
SF/PF: T.J. Warren – Phoenix Suns
I’ve continued to preach it throughout the season, but Warren is a much better player with Devin Booker on the floor. He seems to thrive as a secondary offensive option, as opposed to having to carry the load himself. He’s priced down due to a matchup with the Spurs, but I still like his chances to get to 6X value. At $6,100, Warren has the upside to score 40 DK points, which is the kind of price point I like to try and exploit. The matchup isn’t easy, but the price is too good for me to pass up.
PG/SG: Kris Dunn – Chicago Bulls
I think this game will turn into a shootout, and I like the mini-stack with Matthews, who I recommended above. Dunn has a lot of upside and I think he has a good shot to realize that upside tonight. If you haven’t been paying attention lately, the Mavericks games have been very high scoring. Over their last three games, the fewest total points scored has been 129, with the other two games going over 145 points. There should be plenty of fantasy goodness in this one and Dunn is the player who I expect to be the highest scoring fantasy player among both teams.
That’s it for today. Be sure to follow me on Twitter at @mrclutchdfs so you can stay up to date on any changes to my plays based on late information.
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