I hope everyone had a good week. I’m looking forward to a Friday night sweat where we are all congregating at the top of the leaderboards! I don’t have a lot of time to go in-depth today with my write ups, but as always, the research process is the same. I just wanted to get something up for our readers. This seems like a balanced night for me. I would love to lock in Demarcus Cousins again against his former team, but at his price, I think we can safely pass this time around. He could still go bonkers, but unless he crosses well into the 70’s, I think we’ll be okay. Even if he does that, we still can realize more upside with a balanced lineup. These are the plays that I’ll be focusing on for tonight:
PG: Elfrid Payton – Orlando Magic
This is by far my favorite game stack of the night. Both teams are hemorrhaging fantasy points to opposing guards. Payton is priced the highest he’s been in his last 10 games, but for good reason. This is the type of matchup he should excel in. Denver has allowed the fourth most fantasy points over the past four weeks. Payton has 50 point upside, and this would be the type of matchup he realizes that ceiling.
PG/SG: Jamal Murray – Denver Nuggets
Back to this game. The only team allowing more fantasy points to opposing point guards than Denver the past four weeks? The Orlando Magic. This game should shoot out and Murray is primed for a big game. He had 40 DK points in his previous matchup with the Magic.
SG: Gary Harris & SG/SF: Will Barton – Denver Nuggets
Right back to this game. Both Harris and Barton are in prime spots as well. The Magic are allowing the most DK points to opposing shooting guards over the past four weeks. Harris didn’t play in their matchup earlier in the year, but Barton had 50 DK points. I think both guys will end up playing 34+ minutes and should have enormous games.
C: Nikola Vucevic – Orlando Magic
I promise this is my last play from this game. Evan Fournier is out for this game and many people might end up going with the other Magic wings in his spot. It’s not a horrible idea, but I think that just funnels more usage Vucevic’s way. His DK points per minute goes from 1.18 with Fournier to 1.44 without him. He’s topped 59 DK points in two of his last three games. The Nuggets allow the ninth most fantasy points to opposing centers over the past four weeks, but over the last week, without Nikola Jokic, they’ve allowed the second most.
SF/PF: Rudy Gay – San Antonio Spurs
Hopefully you’ve been playing Gay his past couple games with Kyle Anderson out. Gay is in line for another increased opportunity game at a depressed price. He should top 30 minutes again, and at over one DK point per minute on the season, he should top 30 fantasy points again too. Kawhi Leonard is targeting a Saturday return, so I think Popovich will be more inclined to let Gay play more minutes on the front end of the back to back, knowing that Leonard will be playing Saturday and lighten Gay’s load. This is probably your last chance to jump on him, so take advantage.
PF/C: Zach Randolph & SF/PF: JaKarr Sampson – Sacramento Kings
Randolph has been on a tear without Willy Cauley-Stein and I don’t see it stopping anytime soon. You can lock and load him at this price. There’s a lot of upside in him being priced under $6k. He’s putt up 48 DK points in two of his last three games. Sampson on the other hand is your salary saver. He has played a lot of minutes in his last two and has the athleticism to compete against the Pelicans front court. Foul trouble is always a worry, but at $3,400, he should be able to flirt with 6X value.
SG/SF: Buddy Hield – Sacramento Kings
Hield is another Kings player I’m interested in tonight. Over the past two games, he’s seen more minutes than any other games in his last 10. He produced in both of those, scoring 34 and 36 DK points. This is a revenge game for him, returning to New Orleans for the first time since the Pelicans traded him. I think he’ll want to put on a show, so he’ll be chucking it. If his shot is falling, look out!
PG/SG: J.J. Barea – Dallas Mavericks
Dennis Smith Jr. is questionable for this game. If he’s out, you have to look Barea’s way. He’s been consistent as they come lately and that was coming off the bench. His minutes and usage would be up with Smith Jr. out, so he’s a plug and play if that happens.
That’s it for today. Be sure to follow me on Twitter at @mrclutchdfs so you can stay up to date on any changes to my plays based on late information.
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