I hope everyone had a profitable Week 12. Hopefully you found your way onto the right combination of plays. I ended up finding my way onto a Falcons stack, that included both Coleman and Julio, paired with Matt Ryan. Ryan didn’t perform the best fantasy wise, but the together the three of them posted a combined 83 FanDuel points. You may remember that I did not write them up on here, but by Sunday morning I was fully on board. I did tweet this out, so if you haven’t followed me on Twitter, I encourage you to here: MrClutchDFS. I always do my best to post an update in this article, but sometimes there is not time. Therefore I always try to provide an update on Twitter.
With that said, we’ve got a lot of potential plays for this week, so let’s jump into them. Same as last week, these plays will be the overall best plays that I like for Week 13. If a particular play is specific to DriftKings or FanDuel, I will make a note. I’m going to go position by position with a few different options.
Carson Wentz – Philadelphia Eagles
This is obviously FanDuel only, as the Eagles play in the Sunday night game. You know I’m a sucker for the late game hammer. Wentz is the guy I’m finding in all of my early week builds. His MVP season rolls on and he’s scored 18+ FanDuel points in every single one of his past seven games. The crazy thing about that is he has only thrown for over 300 yards once during that span and in five of those game, he’s had 227 games or less. Where he’s scored his fantasy points is via touchdowns, throwing for 22 during that span. This game against the Seahawks has the makings of a potential high scoring affair, and I want Wentz in that type of game. This is the type of game where he will need to shine to close out his MVP season, and I think he will.
Josh McCown – New York Jets (DraftKings Only)
Say what you want about McCown, but he has performed above and beyond what anyone expected this season. This week he gets the Kansas City Chiefs, who are far from a juggernaut on defense. They’ve looked better on paper lately, but that was because they only played one top 15 fantasy quarterback the past four weeks. I can’t touch McCown on FanDuel, because I’ll just find the extra $300 and roster Wentz. McCown has some weapons he can trust and I think there is definitely a chance that he ends up finding his way to 300 yards and/or 2-3 TDs.
Trevor Siemian – Denver Broncos
I know this is ugly, but he’s cheap. I also think Siemian has nothing to lose at this point and should be able to play without a short leash that sometimes limits quarterbacks or messes with their psyche. I know, I know, that’s not really something tangible, so let me try to convince you to give him a shot. At only $4,800 on DriftKings and $6,200 on FanDuel, he provides quite a bit of salary relief to roster better skill players. I don’t think Siemian is a good quarterback by any means, but in his seven starts earlier in the season, he did post 20+ DK points in three of those. Granted, all three were at home. To offset being on the road, Siemian gets to face the Dolphins, who have seriously been atrocious. Over the past four weeks, they’re allowing the most fantasy points to quarterbacks at 22.93 FD points. Regardless of how bad Siemian is, the path to two touchdowns is fairly possible. At his price, we’ll take that with a couple hundred yards passing.
Brett Hundley – Green Bay Packers
*Added 12/1 – 11:00 pm*
As the week has rolled on, Hundley has continued to climb the interest ladder for me. He checks a few different boxes. First, I think he’s priced as a value on both sites. There is room for him to pay off his salary and show off a ceiling. Next, he’s playing a really bad defense. The Buccaneers have allowed the most passing yards of any team over the past four weeks. I am also really high on one of his targets, Davante Adams (see below). Due to those factors, he seems to make sense. He’s beginning to seem more comfortable in game after looking like a deer in the headlights his first few games. I’ll see where I end up on Sunday, but Hundley is right there with Wentz as the favorite to end up in my main FanDuel lineup.
Leonard Fournette – Jacksonville Jaguars
I think if paying up at running back, Fournette is the play for me. He’s facing the Colts, who have allowed the sixth most fantasy points to opposing running backs on the season. This game seems to set up for Fournette to have 22-25 carries, and possibly a couple receptions. If he gets that type of volume, I think we see him over 100 yards and he’s a good bet to find the end zone.
Rex Burkhead/Dion Lewis – New England Patriots
Call me crazy, but I’m strongly considering playing these two together. My early week FanDuel builds has both of them in there. The downside is that my upside is limited just a bit at the position. However, I still think there is upside and a really safe floor for the two. Bill Belicheck is the best in the league at (well everything) exploiting his opponent’s weakness. The Bills weakness is rush defense, as they’ve allowed the most fantasy points to running backs the past four weeks. I’ve touched on it here in recent weeks, when they traded Marcell Dareus, they lost their ability to stop the run. You might have noticed that they held Kareem Hunt to 17 yards on 11 carries last week, but don’t let that deter you. The Bills did everything they could to sell out and stop the run in that game. Couple that with the fact that the Hunt and the Chiefs in general have been really bad in general the past few weeks. They won’t be able to sell out to stop the run in this one, as Tom Brady is playing quarterback and he will throw for 450 yards if they just focus on the run. On the contrary, they’ll likely dedicate more personnel to pass coverage for that reason alone. This will leave the running lanes open for Burkhead and Lewis.
I think between the two of these guys, you can expect somewhere between 30-35 touches between their rushes and receptions. They could turn those touches into 3-4 touchdowns and 150+ yards. If they do that, you’ll be happy to have them both. Before you completely write off the possibility of playing both, don’t forget that just a couple of weeks back, the play was to play both Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara together, and at a higher price.
Jordan Howard – Chicago Bears
You should be willing to forgive Howard after last week’s seven carries for six yards. That was against the league’s best rush defense and in a game where the Bears had to abandon the run early. Now he get’s to face the 49ers, who have the worst rush defense in the league. I fully expect this to be a game where the Bears give Howard as many carries as he can handle and he tops 100 yards rushing. If he finds his way into the end zone, he’ll pay off his salary and make fantasy owners happy. At home this season, he’s averaged 17.6 carries per game for 85.67 yards. Three of his four touchdowns have also came at home.
Kenyan Drake – Miami Dolphins
Drake is the last man standing in this backfield. While I don’t necessarily love him, he is cheap and a true workhorse back. He should see 15+ carries and I think he soaks up most of the targets that Damien Williams saw, as well as his own targets. That could be 5-7 targets. People still see the Denver Broncos and want to stay away from opposing offensive players. I’ve got news for you, this Broncos defense isn’t what it has been over the past handful of years. Over the last four weeks, they have allowed the second most fantasy points to opposing running backs, just one point per game behind the Bills, allowing 32.45 FD points. For reference, the third worst team over that span has allowed 27.27 FD points per game. The volume will be there for Drake to have himself a solid day.
*RB plays below were added 12/1 – 11:00 pm*
Duke Johnson Jr. – Cleveland Browns
There are a lot of running backs in this price range that I’m finding myself on. I think the game script will set up perfectly for Duke here. He’s seen five or more targets in every game except one this season.
Christian McCaffrey – Carolina Panthers
McCaffrey is growing on me on Draftkings. The Saints have been susceptible to opposing receiving backs. McCaffrey has nine catches for 101 yards against this Saints team earlier in the season. The other receiving back performances include: James White (8-85-0), Todd Gurley (4-54-0), and Chris Thompson (1-16-1, left game w/injury). McCaffrey could be very sneaky, as I don’t think anyone will be playing him.
There are so many solid receiver spots this week. I’m going to list a handful of guys that I am high on this week, but unfortunately, we can only play three on FanDuel and four on DraftKings. I’ll just touch on them all and narrow them down by Sunday, so be sure to check Twitter if you want to know where I end up.
DeAndre Hopkins – Houston Texans
Hopkins is matchup proof. It doesn’t matter who he’s playing, or who is throwing him the ball, he’s going to get around 10 targets and he’s going rack up 100 yards and/or a touchdown (he’s done that eight straight weeks). After racking up 125 yards against the Ravens, who are a super tough matchup, he now gets to face the Titans, who he has owned in his career. The Titans have allowed the seventh most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers on the season and sixth most the last four weeks. He is going to produce here, so give me all the Hopkins this week.
Michael Thomas – New Orleans Saints
This is my gut play of the week. Thomas has seen his price dip below $7,000 for the first time all year on DraftKings, and I love him there. His touchdown regression is coming and I think it happens this week against the Panthers. For what it’s worth, Thomas posted 7-87-1 against the Panthers earlier in the season. On the season, the Panthers have allowed the 12th most fantasy points to wide receivers, but the second most over the past four weeks. In a game that I expect to be competitive, I think we could see Thomas top 100 yards and find the end zone.
Davante Adams – Green Bay Packers & Mike Evans – Tampa Bay Bucaneers
I’m just going to list these two guys together, because I love stacking them together. Both these team’s secondary’s are really bad right now and this could turn into a shoot out. With Jameis Winston back, I think Evans sees his ceiling rise. Against the Packers, push that ceiling even higher. The Packers have allowed the third most fantasy points the past four weeks and one of those four games was against the anemic Ravens pass offense. The Packers just don’t have anyone to cover Evans and I fully expect him to score a touchdown.
Davante Adams is a great play on both sites, but especially FanDuel. He is the favorite target of Brett Hundley, seeing nine targets per game over the last four games. He’s getting the targets, he’s scoring touchdowns, and he has big play ability. So what about the matchup. Well, the matchup is the cherry on top. As bad as the Packers secondary has been, the Bucs have been even worse. They have given up 50.19 DraftKings points per game to opposing receivers over the past four weeks, which is the most in the league by nearly three points (six points more than the Packers in third). If these teams march up and down the field on each other like they should, you’re be glad you rostered both as you watch the fireworks on Sunday.
Robby Anderson – New York Jets
Robby Anderson has emerged as a viable WR1, with touchdowns in five straight games after two last week. If I end up playing McCown, I’ll make sure to have Anderson paired with him. This Chiefs secondary has been bad as outlined above and I don’t think they have any chance to keep Anderson in check. There is a lot of upside in the McCown/Anderson stack as we saw last week. My whole concern with playing either of them is whether or not the Chiefs can actually score points. If the Chiefs aren’t able to move the ball and put points on the board, the Jets are a team that could play grind it out football without slinging it around too much.
Adam Thielen/Stefon Diggs – Minnesota Vikings
I wanted to make sure I mentioned Thielen this week, as he is one of the most consistent WR’s in football. He’s averaged 11.17 targets per game over the last six and he’s paid that off with plenty of fantasy production. I don’t see any reason that the Falcons should be able to slow him down here, so you should be able to expect that consistent floor with a decent ceiling. If Desmond Trufant ends up being ruled out, I think Diggs becomes a solid play. We know this guy has all the talent in the world, he’s just become the second favorite target of Case Keenum. Keenum is better suited to target his slot receiver and that’s what he does more often. But if Trufant is out, Diggs should be able to get open quite a bit and Keenum can hit him when that happens. For that reason, Keenum could also become a solid play stacked with both receivers.
Jared Cook – Oakland Raiders
On paper, Cook is the no brainer play of the week in Week 13. The Giants are horrible against tight ends. Bad enough that you could plug and play their opponents tight end every week the first ten weeks of the season and you would have yourself a touchdown. Not only does Cook have a great matchup, but the Raiders top two receivers, Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree won’t be playing. This is a tight end funnel defense facing a team that should funnel a ton of targets to the tight end. My gut says to not over analyze here. However, there are a couple of things that make this play scary this week. Last week, Cook had a good matchup and posted one catch for one yard. Also, the Giants, who have been a tight end door mat, held Thanksgiving chalk Vernon Davis to zero catches. I think both occurrences were fluky. There is nothing that truly points to Cook being a bad play this week. For what it’s worth, I like him better on FanDuel, due to the discount you can get on my next guy on DraftKings.
Hunter Henry – San Diego Chargers
Henry bounced back from his mini-slump on Thanksgiving, catching five balls for 76 yards and a touchdown. He also faces a defense this week that we love to target tight ends against, the Cleveland Browns. The Browns have given up a touchdown to a tight end in four straight weeks. In a game where we expect the Chargers to score a lot of points, there is a good chance that Henry gets in on the action. He’s been boom or bust this season, but after Week 1, he’s been mostly boom against defenses that struggle against tight ends: Giants (3-42-1), Raiders (5-90-0), Broncos (4-73-0), and the Cowboys (5-76-1). Those four defenses are all bottom 10 against tight ends. In his other five games since Week 1, he’s only posted 7-59-1 combined. I think there is a glaring trend there, as these other five teams are all in the top 20 of fewest fantasy points allowed to TE’s.
Delanie Walker – Tennessee Titans
Walker also has an excellent matchup this week and he’s averaged double-digit fantasy points over his last four games as he becomes more healthy. Despite having some exciting young weapons, he remains a safety valve and favorite target of Marcus Mariota. Walker faces a defense that has been very susceptible to tight ends and their defensive performances against the position have been dependent upon the caliber of their opponents tight end. If we leave out the first time the Titans faced the Texans earlier in the year, here are the splits for the Texans defense against good tight ends vs average to bad tight ends. Against the Jaguars, Bengals, Browns, Rams, Ravens, and Cardinals, the Texans have allowed an average of 3-34.2-0.5. Against Gronk, Kelce, Graham, and Doyle, they’ve allowed an average line of 9.25-95.75-0.25. Walker fits in much more with the latter group. For what it’s worth, he had 3-51-0 against the Texans in Week 4. He’s a lot healthier now and the Texans defense is a lot worse. He should have a solid day!
The Jags are in play every week. They’ve posted double-digit fantasy points in eight of 11 games this season and have went over 20 in four of those games. This week, they face the Indianapolis Colts, who struggle with giving up sacks. The Jags excel at sacking the quarterback. Jacoby Brissett should be under constant pressure in this one and with pressure comes turnovers. With turnovers, defenses have the opportunity to score touchdowns.
Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers save a little money from the Jags and might be the best play. Over the past five weeks, they have averaged 17 FanDuel points per game, and have forced 13 turnovers and scored four touchdowns. Now they get the best matchup available. The Browns have allowed more fantasy points to opposing defenses than any other team. With the two best edge rushers in the NFL, the Chargers should get plenty of pressure on Deshone Kizer, which will allow their excellent pass defenders to make plays when he does get rid of the ball.
That’s it for this week. Because of new information and a better gauge of ownership, I may add updates here through the weekend, so be sure to follow me on Twitter at @mrclutchdfs so you don’t miss any additional recommendations.
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