Welcome back from the long weekend. We jump back into NBA DFS with a less than enticing slate, but there are still some opportunities to put a solid lineup together with some of the value that has opened up. There are a lot of injury concerns to wade through on this slate, so I’m going to take a different approach today and discuss those teams in general. I’ll still go through a few specific plays outside of those teams, outlining who will be on my short list this evening. The plays mentioned are for both sites, unless I bring up a site specific play due to price.
I listed the entire team here, because there are going to be some solid plays available. I wouldn’t touch the Houston Rockets, as I see no way possible that this game isn’t over after two and a half quarters. Rondae Hollis-Jefferson and Allen Crabbe have already been ruled out, and DeMarre Carroll is listed as questionable. If he doesn’t play, this roster will be very thin and will force some cheap guys into big minutes. My favorite target on the Nets is Joe Harris. Harris has already been getting solid minutes and he’ll likely play 35+ on both sides. Harris has averaged just over 0.8 DK points per minute, so he makes for a solid cheap play.
I also like Caris Levert. Levert has averaged nearly 0.9 DK points per minute on the season, and he should play every bit of 30 minutes as well. Someone has to do the scoring on this team, and Spencer Dinwiddie can’t do it all. Because of the price and nearly certain blowout, I will not be rostering Dinwiddie. He’ll likely be the first person to the bench in the blowout.
The last Nets player I’ll be considering is Trevor Booker. Booker should get plenty of usage, especially if Carroll is out. If Carroll sits, my interest in Booker increases quite a bit. He could join Dinwiddie as one of the first to the bench in the blowout, but he’s been over a fantasy point per minute producer, so I think he could still pay off his salary, seeing roughly 30 minutes.
Victor Oladipo or Lance Stephenson – Indiana Pacers
If Oladipo plays, I’m going right back to the well with him against the Magic. In a revenge game last week, he went for 60+ DK points. I think he has another good game against his former team at home. If we get word that he is playing and has no limitations, I’ll be all over him.
If Oladipo doesn’t play, you have to lock in Stephenson. Stephenson took on a huge roll with Oladipo out on Saturday, and played over 36 minutes, and scored over 30 fantasy points. He’s still really cheap, so this is a perfect spot to jump on again if the injury news falls in his favor.
Nikola Vucevic – Orlando Magic
On the other side of the same game, Vucevic is an excellent play. He also had a monster game last week against his opponent tonight. The Pacers struggle against starting centers and Vuc saw his highest usage rate of the year in that game last week. I think that shows that the Magic are making it a point to exploit their opponent’s weakness.
Lebron James – Cleveland Cavaliers
Lebron is the one stud that I want to pay up for tonight. Against this young and exciting 76ers team, I think Lebron will have some extra motivation to show out against them. This is still his league right now and I think we see one of his biggest games of the season tonight. This game has the second highest total on the night at 224, and the Cavs are 2.5 point underdogs. Vegas expects this to be a close, high scoring game, which is excellent to target for fantasy purposes.
On the other side of the ball, there are some injury concerns to monitor. The guy to watch here is Ben Simmons. If Simmons plays and is fully healthy, I’d like to play him opposite of Lebron. This should be a great game to watch, especially is Simmons plays. If this turns into the shootout that it should, Simmons could also have one of his biggest games of the year, against a team we regularly target opposing players against.
If Simmons sits, I’ll have exposure to J.J. Redick and T.J. McConnell. Both of these guys had huge games on Saturday, scoring over 90 DK points for less than $9,000 combined. They still cost under $10,000 combined and while likely won’t get to 90+ again, I think 60+ is very reasonable.
Los Angeles Clippers
Deandre Jordan might be my favorite play on the slate on DraftKings at just $6,700. He has huge upside at that price and should rebound at will. He had 24 rebounds in his last game against the Lakers. Blake Griffin is always in play, but especially in this matchup. I think he’s an excellent play, but just don’t know if I’ll be able to afford him on this slate. Lastly, Lou Williams is also in an excellent spot. This is a revenge game for him, albeit the second time he’s faced them this season. That first game, he was playing in a reserve role, and didn’t have the minutes or usage that he does now. He could play 35+ minutes in this one, and has 50+ point upside.
Golden State Warriors
I don’t know if I remember a slate with so many injury issues. There are a handful of teams that have numerous guys that either could be or are already ruled out, which will have the domino pieces falling into place on who we should play. The Warriors are last situation we need to discuss. Kevin Durant and Steph Curry have already been ruled out. Due to that, there will be a lot of people on guys like Shaun Livingston, Klay Thompson, and Draymond Green. Notice that Green is the only one I mentioned in bold. That’s because he’s probably the only one I’ll be targeting. This matchup is kind of blah against the slow pace Kings. Without either of their leaders, I think Golden State will struggle a little here and won’t be surprised if there isn’t one guy who ends up having a ceiling type fantasy game. If I’m picking one, I think it’s Green, just because he fills that point forward type role and should do a little bit of everything. I just don’t think you have to force any of these guys in your lineup on this slate.
That’s it for today. Be sure to follow me on Twitter at @mrclutchdfs so you can stay up to date on any changes to my plays based on late information.
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