Tonight we have a nice NBA slate and I think there are some big advantages to be had. For some reason, the pricing is really soft on Draftkings, and when they give you these situations, you almost have to take them. I’ll dive in to a few of those plays as well as the guys I like most regardless of price.
Shortly after I published this article, Kevin Durant and Draymond Green were ruled out. This opens up a lot of plays on Golden State, in a game we were otherwise avoiding due to the certain blowout. Now, Stephen Curry becomes a MUST play. Without Durant and Green on the floor, he’s usage and FP/min has been astonishing. Don’t miss out on the 70 point upside from curry in this matchup. His floor is realistically 50 here as well. Another play I like is Omri Casspi. I’ve played Casspi in the two other games that Durant sat out and he produced, with 27.5 and 28.25 DK points. Lastly, I think Jordan Bell is the other guy I might target at minimum price. It’s risky, but that savings comes in very handy. Now I’ve got to figure out who to cut out of my lineup below, because I’d really like to pair Curry and Westbrook in my main lineup. Best of luck tonight!
PF/C: John Collins – Atlanta Hawks
Collins is an absolute must play for me again on this slate. I wrote him up here on Wednesday and called him the best play on the slate. Before that game, he was $4,600 and coming off of two straight 30+ point DK games. He proceeded to play 37 minutes in Wednesday’s game and score 39.5 DK points. So his price surely shot up, right? Well it did go up, but just $200?! At $4,800, you’ll want him in there. It’s very rare that we find a guy that will play this many minutes and is such a high FP/min producer at such a cheap price.
PG: Dennis Schroeder – Atlanta Hawks
We’re going right back to the well on Schroeder today too. He put up 34.75 DK points on Wednesday at $6,700 and now he’s playing the Knicks. So wouldn’t you know, his price dropped $100. I don’t get it, he’s been as consistent as can be for this price, and has 40+ point upside. I’m going to click the + button next to Schroeder every time he’s under $7k, especially in a good matchup like this one.
SG/SF: Tim Hardaway Jr. – New York Knicks
Revenge narrative supreme for THJ tonight. If you haven’t been paying attention, he has been crushing over his last seven games. He’s an excellent play with the way he’s been playing and how many shots he’s been putting up. In those last seven games, THJ has posted 61 DK points (last game), 56 DK points, and two other games just over 43 points. Tonight against the Hawks, who we target almost every slate, his upside is incredible. Hardaway Jr. rounds out my mini game stack here.
PG: Russell Westbrook & C: Steven Adams – Oklahoma City Thunder
Westbrook has looked like a man on a mission over his last two, scoring 67 and 70 DK points after not topping 47 the previous five games. I think the Thunder are starting to figure out an identity. It took a while, but we’re starting to see Westbrook just focus on his game and doing what he does best. While doing that, Paul George and Carmelo Anthony are still producing, but more so in the flow of the game rather than in isolation. It’s like a light bulb has came on and they’ve realized, let Russell loose and we’ll all benefit and get ours as well.
There is one reason, or should I say person, that I love Westbrook in this spot: Reggie Jackson. He hates Jackson. Jackson outstayed his welcome when he was in OKC and was constantly complaining about playing time, his role, etc. Last year, Jackson came into OKC and beat the Thunder and was taunting them at the end. Westbrook didn’t take that very well. Here’s his exact quote:
“Honestly, I think it’s some real bullshit. I don’t appreciate it from our team and our organization. I don’t like it all. But it is what it is. We’ll see him down the line. We’ll take care of that when we get there.”
If that doesn’t convince you that WB is the best play on the slate from a raw points projection, I don’t know what will. Let’s just hope the game stays close enough for the Thunder to play a full complements of minutes. I also like pairing Adams with WB, because the pick and roll will have success against the Pistons, who are below average at defending it. Adams should play quite a few minutes and at just $5,200, can crush value.
SF/PF: TJ Warren – Phoenix Suns
We have to get some exposure to this game. Anthony Davis and Demarcus Cousins are also great plays, but I just can’t find a way to afford them. I want Westbrook tonight and to go balanced with the rest of my roster. With that said, Warren is another guy who’s pricing doesn’t really make much sense to me. He’s had 41.25 and 43.25 Draftkings points in his last two games while being priced at $6,600. His price is frozen, as this will his third straight game at that price. In this fast paced, high total game, Warren gives us an affordable piece and the upside to go with it.
SG/SF: Jeremy Lamb – Charlotte Hornets
Lamb will benefit from Nicolas Batum sitting out tonight’s game. Lamb will reenter the starting lineup and has an excellent matchup. I’ve preached it here before, wings who can shoot are a thing against the Cavs. I played Lamb in this matchup just 10 days ago, at a higher price, and with Batum in the lineup, so I’d be a hypocrite to not go back to the well here. In that game, Lamb posted over a point per minute, but saw just 22 minutes. He should see 30+ here, and if he gets hot, this could is the perfect spot for his ceiling game. He had a 52.75 DK outing earlier this month and is coming off a 47.25 DK game two days ago against Washington.
That’s it for today. Be sure to follow me on Twitter at @mrclutchdfs so you can stay up to date on any changes to my plays based on late information.
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