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NBA DFS Plays of the Day 10/30

The title says it all, but the goal here is to give you the core plays who I will be building around. Most days, these plays will not be site specific, but if there is a specific play on one of the main sites (DraftKings and FanDuel), then I will make sure to note that.

Today’s slate is very interesting. We’re to a point where the absolute studs are getting out of the range of being able to roster without punting multiple other positions. On this slate, I’m finding the best roster construction by going balanced across the board. Early on in the season, my best lineups have been killed by a few punts. Although I’m primarily a tournament player, I want to focus on creating lineups without and true punts right now until we have a little more data to go by and I have had a chance to really see teams figure out their rotations, etc. Let’s get to my plays for this Monday slate.

C: DeAndre Jordan – Los Angeles Clippers

Jordan has been his normal self to start the season, averaging nine points, 17.4 rebounds and 1.2 blocks. His only bad game came in a blowout, so no worries there. His next worst was basically 30 DK points. In his other three he’s had 48.5, 40.5, and 37. Now he’ll face the Golden State Warriors, who have been atrocious against the centers, allowing the most fantasy points per game to the positions. Are you surprised? They have been a small-ball team for three years now, and in the past, teams have tried to go small to match up with them. This year teams are just exploiting their post defense and not taking their big man off of the floor as much. Jordan should feast in this matchup and he’s very reasonably priced.

PG: Jrue Holiday – New Orleans Pelicans

Holiday is the best way to get exposure to this game without having to break your bank to get up to Demarcus Cousins, who has been out of this world so far this season. After a rough couple first games, Holiday has averaged 38.5 DK points in his last four. His opponent, the Orlando Magic, is giving up 1.04 fantasy points per minute to opposing point guards, which is sixth worst in the league so far. This game should have plenty of scoring and Holiday is fairly priced to provide a solid floor with exceptional upside, as displayed in his last game against the Cavs, where he scored 48 DK points.

SG/SF: Evan Fournier – Orlando Magic

Fournier has turned the corner this year. He is a guy I’ve rostered quite a bit in the past, but it was just for his upside, as he was never very consistent. This season, 38.2 DK points in 31.6 minutes per game. The crazy thing about that is that two of those games were blowouts, in which he played only 27 minutes in both. He’s played exactly 36 minutes in two of the other three games and 34 in the first game of the year. That tells me this rotation is pretty consistent and he should be playing nine minutes a quarter on most nights. This is another piece of the Pelicans/Magic game that I will be on. The Pelicans have been generous to opposing small forwards so far, allowing the second most DK points per minute. His price still hasn’t risen to where it probably should be, so I want in now before it gets corrected.

C: Jonas Valanciunis – Raptors

On Draftkings, I am going to be playing Valanciunis in my utility position. He’s been out with injury, but he has been practicing and I expect him to play in this one. His price is $4900, which is exceptional value and we’ve already seen he can return 10X value on it. In his first game, he scored 49.75 DK points in a monster double double. His second game out, he made it only 15 minutes before leaving with an ankle injury. It’s very difficult to find a guy in this price range that can give you so much upside with a relatively safe floor, so he is close to a must play if we get word that he will have no restrictions.

SG/SF: Joe Ingles – Utah Jazz

Talk about consistency. If you leave out the game where Ingles only played 18 minutes due to illness, he’s been between 25 and 32.75 DK points in all of his other five games. That’s a floor of 5X value on DK and a ceiling just above 6X. He could still go for more on any given night. Dallas is allowing the most DK points per game to opposing shooting guards, so it’s reasonable to think this could be a ceiling game. He’ll be the guy I look at for a little salary savings without dipping into the true punts on the slate.

*****

That’s it for today. Be sure to follow me on Twitter at @mrclutchdfs so you can stay up to date on any changes to my plays based on late information.

 

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Eric S
Eric is the creator of DFSdigest.com and has played fantasy football for nearly 20 years now and is primarily a GPP player in DFS. He estimates he enters lineups in either football, basketball, baseball or golf roughly 350 days a year. Eric is ranked inside the top 7% in RotoGrinders overall player ranking. His favorite teams include the Detroit Lions, Oklahoma City Thunder, Oklahoma State Cowboys, and the Atlanta Braves.
Eric S

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