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Buy Low Sell High: Another injury week

This was another brutal fantasy week. Four fantasy friendly offenses were on bye and more fantasy stars went down with injury.

I think panic will set in from teams that had low scores this week and are sitting at 2-3 or worse.

With more bye weeks coming you can always go out and target those teams that are in a hole.

I think trading season opened last week, but I believe  this week is when people will really start to make serious moves. Larger samples, more reasons to panic, bye weeks, low week five scores, etc..,

Just keep in mind when you are trading that while you want to improve your starting lineup, you need to keep some semblance of depth. Another injury filled week showed us why.

If you have a question specific to a player or situation feel free to ask in the comment section below and I will do my best to help you out. You can also reach me on twitter –

BUY LOW

RB: DeMarco Murray

He is here again. Some might be surprised as he had yet another down game with just 69 total yards and a lost fumble.

DeMarco again out snapped Henry by a considerable margin, 49 to 11, and out touched him, 18 to four.

With Mariota out things were predictively ugly. I would still be buying Murray as I think you can do it a lot cheaper than you should be able to. Murray might be my top buy low target.

WR: Amari Cooper

I wouldn’t be surprised if in some really shallow leagues with casual owners if Cooper popped up on some waiver wires this week It has been a brutal start to the season, as well as finish to last season, but he is still insanely talented.

Yes, he has some drops issues. Yes, he might not be the red zone option. I still cant imagine it is going to continue being this bad.

It feels like Carr will be back soon, and that should be a boost for Cooper. The receiver position is volatile for fantasy for a lot of reasons – don’t panic too much.

You might be able to snag Cooper for someone like Danny Amendola.

RB: Todd Gurley

I feel like many people will say “BUT HIS SCHEDULE”.

Many have been banging the drum on him having an unfavorable schedule – he does, but it isn’t crazy. His down week this week would have been a lot different had an early review gone his way.

Gurley’s talent was never really in question. There were a lot of things not going his way last year. This season the offense revolves around him and getting him in space. This will be one of his bad games this year, but I think things will get better soon.

WR: Brandin Cooks

Cooks keeps finding his way into this space. He has three games of more than 80 yards this year, and people still don’t seem to be satisfied.

Is he the borderline top-10 receiver we thought he could have been when Edelman went down with an injury? Maybe? He is pacing to be about a top-10 receiver this season, if you throw his numbers into last seasons finish.

He was a top-5 receiver coming into the week, but somehow people aren’t impressed. The one knock might be that he isn’t a target hog like some of the other higher end receivers, but are a few less targets per week from Tom Brady that much of a downgrade than a few more targets from any other quarterback? I don’t think so.

RB: Joe Mixon

Hi, it’s me again. The Joe Mixon touter.

Again, Mixon dominated the backfield touches. This week he had 15 touches to Bernard’s four and Hill’s four. Mixon also found the end zone for the first time in his career.

There are concerns with the Bengals line, but if he is going to get around 60 percent of the snaps he should be a locked in RB2.

RB: Jay Ajayi

Through four games he has one really good, two really bad, and one that you can deal with.

Ajayi won’t have a middle of the season bye and that might hurt him long-term, but it also means you are expecting to have him for the rest of the season.

If he is going to miss time he likely would miss it regardless of if he had the bye. Sure, fatigue is a factor, but I would guess it wont be the main reason why.

Maybe he is this year’s Gurley; use that as a point when you are buying. But he is going to get a ton of work.



SELL HIGH

RB: Aaron Jones

This is a little bit of a tough one because of all the different levels of it. Jones looked good while ripping up the Cowboys run defense while sharing very little with Jamaal Williams.

So why sell?

The only teams to not run all over the Cowboys are two teams without a running attack, the Giants and the Cardinals.

While I do think Jones has earned a larger role in the offense, I don’t think he has Wally Pipped Ty Montgomery like I have seen some people say. This will likely turn into a committee which is not what a Montgomery owner wants to hear. Montgomery still owns the passing downs as he is a much better receiving back.

If you can sell someone on Jones being the guy there now, I would look to move him. I think Montgomery misses two more games, gets the bye, and then returns.

BUY HIGH

TE: Zach Ertz

I should have had him as a buy high earlier this year. I feel like I keep hearing it’s Gronk, Kelce and everyone else at tight end. Ertz is starting to get casually tossed into that conversation.

Ertz doesn’t have the single week upside of Gronk or Kelce and he won’t be the 100 yard, two touchdown guy that Gronk or Kelce can be, but he doesn’t miss as many games as Gronk and he doesn’t have the random zero type games Kelce has.

If you can swap a wide receiver withe relatively similar production that would be ideal. Maybe Adam Thielen plus your current tight end gets it done. I would assume it would take more. I would really be trying to trade a receiver you can survive without to get Ertz – it will be well worth it.

 

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Andy Germani
I am a lifelong Pittsburgh sports fan and a graduate from Penn State. Baseball was my first love and I still play to this day in an adult baseball league. I always love helping people with their questions on Twitter so feel free to follow me and ask questions.
Andy Germani

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13 comments on “Buy Low Sell High: Another injury week

  1. Live the site and look forward every Monday morning.

    .5 ppr- what are your thoughts on

    1 – giving Bennett and kamara for Ertz (I have gurley, cj Anderson, mixon, kamara, McKinnon, McGuire n braids)

    2 – cj Anderson and mixon for foreman and Antonio brown (I lost obj and only have alshon n fuller in 2 wr league)

    • Id do either one of those. Both are good values.

      I would lean towards 1 because you get the big TE upgrade while giving up your RB4

      Your WR situation is rough without OBJ but that would leave you a little thin at RB with just Gurley as a locked in starter and Kamara as a nice RB2. When Gurley. is on bye or if someone gets hurt you are struggling for a starter.

      What are your starting lineup requirements? And who are some receivers on the waiver wire?

      • Here’s the roster:

        QB: Prescott
        RB: Gurley
        RB: CJ Anderson
        WR: Alshon
        WR Fuller
        TE Bennett
        Flex Mckinnon
        DEF
        KICKER
        BENCH: Mixon, Tarik Cohen, Brissett (to start this week), Kamara, Breida, Jaron Brown, McGuire

        The wire have marvin jones, kendall wright, Goodwin, ricardo louis, smith-Schuster…

        Would you recommend either deal (or both deals)?

  2. I Traded Fuller, T.Williams and Maclin for Cooks, Good Move?

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