Boy was last week a rollercoaster. Hopefully you only used half of my plays (Cousins, Green, Ertz) and avoided the other half (Ajayi, Gillislee, Higgins). It was just one of those weeks. Guys failed us in great spots, and they failed us massively. The great thing about DFS is that we can move on to the next slate rather quickly. Just a reminder, I’m going to be posting my core plays here. These will be the main stays in my lineup on FanDuel for Sunday’s slate.
RB: Joe Mixon – Bengals
It appears Mixon is now “the” guy in the Bengals backfield. The new OC has committed to getting him touches and I think he’s a 20+ touch guy going forward. This is an excellent spot to buy in while his price is still low on FanDuel against the lowly Browns. This should be the week that Mixon gets his first career touchdown. He has the upside for multiple touchdowns and should be able to pass the century mark in total yards. He’ll definitely be occupying one of my RB spots on FanDuel this week.
WR: Odell Beckham Jr. – Giants
OBJ is back! As much as I can’t stand OBJ’s antics and attitude, I can’t deny his talent. He is this offense and has as much upside as anyone in this matchup. Tampa Bay just made Case Keenum look like a Pro Bowl QB last week and Stefon Diggs had a field day. At the same time, OBJ was returning to his multi-touchdown upside self. I see 100+ yards for him here and at least a touchdown. I think we’re going to look back at the end of the year and be in awe of Beckham’s final season stat line if he stays healthy.
RB: Ezekiel Elliott – Cowboys
Elliott is my stud running back pick this week. He’s had two road matchups in the first three weeks against respectable defenses, but he’s still held his own. A date with the porous Rams rush defense. The Rams have been ran against the third most times so far this season. They’re giving up 4.3 yards per carry and have allowed a league worst six rushing touchdowns. They’ve also allowed the seventh most yards through the air to opposing running backs. That’s a plus for Elliott who has caught 12 balls on 14 targets through three weeks. Elliott is safe to see 25+ touches in this one and I’m hoping for 100+ yards and two touchdowns.
TE: Charles Clay – Bills
At first glance, I was a little worried about Clay versus the Falcons because they have allowed the 11th fewest points to opposing tight ends through three games. However, something really stuck out to me after watching the Falcons games the past two weeks. Martellus Bennett got a lot of opportunities in Week 2, but couldn’t catch the ball. Fast forward to Week 3 against my Lions (don’t get me started), and I yelled at my television on multiple occasions after Eric Ebron dropped routine passes. So it’s not that tight ends are getting open, it’s just the last two tight ends they played couldn’t catch the ball.
So I sorted defenses versus tight ends by targets, and wouldn’t you know it… the Falcons have allowed the most targets to tight ends in the entire league. Therefore, I feel confident about Clay’s ability to find open spots and have plenty of balls thrown his way. According to ESPN, Clay is a TE3 since Week 12 of last year. He’s priced as TE10 on FanDuel on this slate, so I’m taking advantage of that misprice in a great spot!
QB: Russell Wilson – Seahawks
I’m having trouble deciding on my favorite quarterback for the second straight week. Wilson feels like the safest play of the bunch with plenty of upside. This feels like a game where the Seahawks would like to just pound the ball between the tackles and grind out a comfortable win. However, the Seahawks offensive line should prevent that from happening. This will keep the ball in Wilson’s hand a bit more than it should be, which should give him plenty of opportunities to rack up fantasy points. I worry that this game could turn into a blowout, but due to the aforementioned O-line and the struggles the defense has had, it has a chance to stay close. This Colts pass defense has been non-existent, so lock in Wilson as a top play this weekend.
DST: Detroit Lions
Before you think this is simply a homer pick, hear me out! If I asked you who the top FanDuel defense was through three weeks, who would be your guess? Congratulations if you guess it was Detroit! The Lions have been consistent if nothing else. They forced Matt Ryan into three interceptions last week and have a touchdown in each of their first three games. Now, that pace isn’t sustainable, but I do like what I’m seeing on the field.
Last week they struggled to stop the run, but they were missing their starting rookie Linebacker Jerad Davis, who was very valuable in Weeks 1 and 2. He’ll be back this week, which boosts their ability to slow down Dalvin Cook. The Lions are going to dare Case Keenum to beat them, and I just don’t think he can. I’m not letting his Week 3 blow up keep me off of the Lions in this spot. They are in the perfect spot here.
They’re cheap, they’ll be low owned, they’re facing a below average backup QB, and they’ve shown the ability to consistently put up big fantasy performances.
That’s it for this week. Because of new information and a better gauge of ownerships, I may add updates here through the weekend, so be sure to follow me on Twitter at @mrclutchdfs so you don’t miss any additional recommendations.
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