Tuesday’s slate is one where there are plenty of different options, but I think the right decisions are right in front of us. There’s a handful of pitchers in play with a couple stacks and few hitters in exceptional spots. Read on for the plays I really like on this slate.
Pitchers to Target
Chris Sale – Sale ruined the slate for many players his last time out. I’ll let that slide, though, because Cleveland just has his number. Now he gets to face a team who he has LITERALLY dominated this season. In 15 innings against the Blue Jays, Sale owns a 0.00 ERA, allowing only eight hits and two walks to go with 24 strikeouts and obviously zero runs allowed. I expect that level of excellence to continue here. I gave strong consideration to fellow lefty Drew Pomeranz on Monday night, so there’s nothing stopping me from rostering Sale.
Ervin Santana – Santana faces the same team he did in his last start, the Chicago White Sox. He scored nearly 27 DraftKings points in that game, and that was right in line with his season average against them. In four starts against them this season hehas averaged 25.5 DraftKings points. The White Sox are rolling out a minor league lineup right now, and Santana should be able to cruise.
Matt Moore – Don’t look now, but Moore has put together a solid stretch over his last three starts. The downside here is that his price has shot up. I mentioned that here before his last start, but he proceeded to pay off his $7,900 price tag. Now he’s up $200 more, but he gets the best matchup possible in the San Diego Padres who have a league worst wOBA against lefties at just .284. They also strikeout 25.6% of the time. It’s hard to ignore Moore here.
Luke Weaver – Weaver is likely going to be popular on this slate, but for good reason. He showed his upside in his last start with just over 36 DraftKings point and now he has another good strikeout matchup against the Milwaukee Brewers. The Brewers are just below the middle of the pack in wOBA against righties, but are the absolute worst in strikeout rate at 25.7%. I’ll have exposure to Weaver and hope he has the same stuff he had last outing.
Mark Leiter Jr. – Leiter Jr. rebounded nicely in his last start and earned himself another nod. After striking out 16 batters in 9.1 innings over two starts in early August for a DraftKings average of roughly 23 points, he was shelled by the Padres in his next start. In his last start, he had it all working again as he shut out the Marlins through seven innings, allowing only one hit. He should be a low owned pivot off of Weaver.
The Braves are average at best, sporting the seventh worst wOBA in the league against righties. I’m most scared of the lefties on the Braves, and in 12.2 innings at home this season, Leiter Jr. has only allowed a .172 wOBA to left-handed batters. He has also been exceptional against righties at home in 14.1 innings with a .268 wOBA allowed. He’s squarely in play on this slate.
Batters to Target
Rafael Devers – Over the past two seasons, Brett Anderson has been horrible against lefties (albeit in a limited sample, 38 batters faced), to the tune of nearly a .540 wOBA. At the same time, Devers has excelled against lefties, posting a .407 batting average in 28 at bats this season. We have a pitcher and hitter showing reverse split tendencies, and Devers is more than affordable at just $3,800.
J.D. Martinez – Playing lefty. You should already know this is a lock. At home vs. lefties this season – .556 batting average, .846 wOBA, 1.037 ISO. Need I say more!
Rhys Hoskins – I don’t care who he is facing right now, I’ll have interest in him. He’s surpassed Giancarlo Stanton as the hottest hitter in the league. Prior to Monday night he had homered in five straight and eight out of nine. His homer streak ended on Monday, but he still went 2-for-4 with a double, run scored, and a RBI. R.A. Dickey has been worse against righties this season, allowing a .352 wOBA.
Stacks to Target
Minnesota Twins – James Shields has begun to dig himself out of the hole he’s been digging all season, posting four reasonably okay starts in a row, pitching 23.1 innings, striking out 26 batters, and not allowing more than three earned runs in any of the four. However, he’s still bad against lefties, and I’m fine with stacking the Twins lefties. Even after facing lefty heavy lineups in those four games, he is still allowing a .422 wOBA, 3.38 HR/9, and a 46.5% fly ball rate on the season. Eventually that streak of good starts is going to end, and it could very likely be here.
Los Angeles Angels – The Angels aren’t a team I typically stack, but they are in a decent spot here against Chris Smith. Smith has been bad against righties, giving up a .374 wOBA and 3.55 HR/9. Of course it starts with Trout, but you should at least be able to fill in a mini-stack around him.
Any questions? Hit me up on Twitter @mrclutchdfs
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