I’m short on time as I am writing this, so I’m just going to include the plays and a note or two about each. I will try to add more in-depth analysis and updated plays in the afternoon, so be sure to check back then if you’d like to know more of where I stand and why. Rest assured though, despite being short on time for the write-up, the in-depth research is the same as always. Best of luck on Tuesday’s slate!
Pitchers to Target
Mike Fiers – Second on the slate in batted ball distance against over the last 15 days, as well as top five in hard hit percentage against. Finally, inducing more ground balls than any pitcher on the slate as well during that time frame, at 68%. The A’s strike out 24.9% of the time against righties – bonus.
Jhoulys Chacin – He has been very consistent over his last four starts and had six or more strikeouts in three of those four. At home in this park, against the weak hitting Braves (3rd worst ISO against right-handed pitching), I’ll take my chances. His advanced stats have also looked good lately.
Sean Newcomb – This is a price play! Opposite of Chacin, Newcomb benefits from the same park and even worse offense. The Padres are dead last in the league in terms of wOBA against left-handed pitching and strike out 24.9% of the time.
Max Scherzer – Play him if you can afford him. Should be many paths to being able to do so on this slate.
Batters to Target
Erik Sogard – Under $4,000 and should be leading off against a righty (.440 wOBA) in the small park.
Matt Carpenter – Leading off, in Chase Field, against a righty, and is only $3,700. Reason enough for me.
Christian Yelich – Yelich just seems too cheap here in a pretty good matchup.
Aaron Judge – Here’s where I’m paying up. His advanced stats continue to be insane. I’ll keep paying as long as they continue to be so good.
Stacks to Target
Boston Red Sox – Red Sox are implied to score 6.2 runs, which is exceptionally high. Against Hector Santiago… well that’s the reason why.
Toronto Blue Jays – I continue to target teams against Gausman. The Blue Jays have a team total of 5.7. Gausman has allowed a .354 wOBA to lefties and .418 against righties. Joey Bautista might be a lock for me in all lineups because he’s still too cheap, but you can stack them all here!
Any more questions? Hit me up on Twitter @mrclutchdfs
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