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Daily Fantasy Golf Preview – The Memorial

Howdy folks!  I come to you today feeling a little bit guilty.  I usually make between 12 and 25 lineups a week and have a player pool anywhere from about 18 to 30 golfers.  In this space, I pick my favorite 10 guys and give you a couple of additional names at the end to consider on one site or the other.  

Last week in my Dean & Deluca preview, I wrote about a couple of guys that made some noise like Jordan Spieth and Bill Haas.  But, unfortunately, my best lineups did not contain guys I mentioned in this space last week.  That having been said, that is why you should follow me on Twitter!  Prior to last week’s tourney, I tweeted a few additional players that I liked that did not appear in the column, including the tournament winner, Kevin Kisner.

This week the PGA Tour is on to the Memorial at Jack Nicklaus’ home course, Muirfield Country Club in Ohio.  The course is a 7,400 yard par 72 course – the first par 72 that we have had in 3 weeks.  The fairways are wide open and easy to hit and the greens are fast.  My stats of the week are greens in regulation and strokes gained off the tee.

After a one week hiatus, golf is back on FanDuel.  Instead of picking 4 golfers from rounds 1 and 2 and 4 golfers from rounds 3 and 4, we now only have to select 8 golfers for the entire tournament.  I actually liked the old format better, but I am still playing quite a bit of volume on FanDuel this week.  We’ll see how that goes.  

As for DraftKings, I think the person who runs their golf pricing algorithm got drunk at his Memorial Day BBQ.  DraftKings prices are completely whackadoodle this week, which makes for interesting lineup construction.  It is so easy to get both Dustin Johnson and Jon Rahm in lineups, that I think their ownership will be upwards of 35% in GPPs.  It should be fun either way.

Let’s see who we like for this week:

If you have any questions – don’t hesitate to hit me up on Twitter at @AssemblyNeil.

Luxury Items

Dustin Johnson ($12,000 DraftKings/$11,800 FanDuel) – Every week I put together a spreadsheet which helps me determine my plays.  In this spreadsheet, I rank players based on their recent form, their world golf ranking, their Las Vegas odds, their course history, and their performance in my 2 stats of the week.  Dustin Johnson was the top player in 5 of my 6 categories this week – the only category that he did not lead was course history where I rated him 12th best in the field.  With the value to be had at the bottom of the salary scale on DraftKings, Johnson should be a staple in cash games as well as GPPs.

Hideki Matsuyama ($10,000 DraftKings/$9,800 FanDuel) – I should mention that I also like Jon Rahm and Jason Day this week, but Matsuyama is a cut above both of them in my opinion.  In 3 prior trips to the Memorial, Matsuyama has a win, and another top 10.  He is also top 10 in the field in both of my stats of the week, ranking 7th in the field in greens in regulation and 6th in strokes gained off the tee.  Matsuyama’s form has been average recently and I am hoping that this leads to some lower ownership.  He will be in a whole bunch of my lineups.

Upper Middle Class

Matt Kuchar ($9,400 DraftKings/$9,500 FanDuel) – Kuchar is a bit expensive this week, but his incredible course history makes him worth the price of admission.  In his last four trips to this tournament, Kuchar has finished in the top 26 all 4 times, including 3 top 15 finishes, 2 top 5s and a win in 2013.  It is not hard to see why Kuchar has succeeded at Muirfield as he ranks 39th in the field in greens in regulation and 29th in strokes gained off the tee.  I would bet on Kuchar for another top 10 this week.

Tony Finau ($7,900 DraftKings/$8,600 FanDuel) – Finau has played this course twice and finished in the top 11 both times, with one 11th place finish and one 8th place finish.  He is an absolute monster in my stats of the week, ranking 5th in the field in greens in regulation and 3rd in strokes gained off the tee.  Where Finau can tend to struggle is with the flat stick, but his putting has been fairly decent in his other two trips to Muirfield.  At only $7,900 on DraftKings, Finau is an easy play.

Middle Class

Patrick Cantlay ($7,800 DraftKings/$6,600 FanDuel) – FanDuel’s pricing is much tighter than DraftKings’ this week and it is hard to find great value anywhere.  Cantlay, however, is in over 80% of my FanDuel lineups at only $6,600.  The young American has the 15th best odds to win this event, according to Las Vegas, and yet he is only tied for the 48th most expensive golfer on FanDuel.  His form has been rock solid this season, making the cut in all 5 events that he has played, including two top 5 finishes.  I like Cantlay’s value on both sites, but he is almost a free square on FanDuel.

Justin Thomas ($7,600 DraftKings/$9,000 FanDuel) – In contrast to Cantlay, Thomas is someone who I have almost no exposure to on FanDuel, but he needs to be owned on DraftKings at $7,600.  Thomas ranks 11th in the field in greens in regulation and 18th in strokes gained off the tee, so he is stellar in my key stats of the week.  He is also the 8th highest ranked player in the field and the 10th favorite to win this event according to Las Vegas, and yet DraftKings prices him as its 27th highest golfer.  Take advantage of DraftKings’ pricing mistake and play a lot of Thomas.

Bang for your Buck

Marc Leishman ($6,900 DraftKings/$7,300 FanDuel) – Leishman is another guy who has enjoyed playing this golf course.  The Australian has 5 consecutive made cuts at Muirfield, including two straight top 11 finishes.  Leishman is yet another guy who is priced weirdly on DraftKings as he is only $700 more expensive than the cheapest golfer and yet he is the 21st ranked golfer in the field, the 22nd highest favorite according to Vegas and ranks 25th in greens in regulation and 21st in strokes gained off the tee.  It is time to unleash the Leish.

Byeong-Hun An ($6,900 DraftKings/$7,500 FanDuel) – Yet another weirdo DraftKings price as An is the 16th favorite to win this event and yet is priced near the bottom of the barrel.  An is 12/12 in cuts made this season, including 3 consecutive top 25 finishes, with two top 10s sprinkled in.  The young South Korean is a monster with the driver ranking 7th in strokes gained off the tee.  I will have plenty of An this week.

Discount Bin

Keegan Bradley ($6,700 DraftKings/$7,000 FanDuel) – I have been playing daily fantasy golf for quite a while now and make quite a few lineups a week, but I don’t think that I have ever played Keegan Bradley before.  Truth be told, he is one of my least favorite golfers on tour.  That having been said, Bradley ranks 16th in the field in greens in regulation and 13th in strokes gained off the tee, so he is a tough guy for me to ignore this week.  On top of that, he has made 4 straight cuts at Muirfield, including consecutive 8th place finishes the last two years.  I am going to hold my breath and play a bunch of Bradley.

Shane Lowry ($6,600 DraftKings/$7,400 FanDuel) – Lowry is another extremely low-priced guy on DraftKings, who I will pounce on.  He is 29th in the field in greens in regulation and 14th in strokes gained off the tee, so he excels in the stats that I am looking for this week.  He is also the 30th favorite to win this event according to Las Vegas, which is rare to find at the bottom of the pricing charts.  Lowry will be a staple in my stars and scrubs attacks.

OTHERS OF NOTE:

I will throw out a few others that I will be playing this week:

Peter Uihlein ($6,800 DraftKings/$6,600 FanDuel) is a birdie machine and should score plenty of fantasy points this week.  I had trouble fitting him into many (or any) DraftKings lineups, but with tighter pricing on FanDuel, he is sprinkled all over my rosters.

Kyle Stanley ($7,400 DraftKings/$6,100 FanDuel) is another guy who I am not playing a bunch of on DraftKings because of all the value at the bottom of the price charts, but who is in a ton of my FanDuel lineups.  Stanley ranks 2nd in the field in greens in regulation and 5th in strokes gained off the tee.  If he can ever get his putter going – watch out!  

Billy Horschel ($6,700 DraftKings/$7,100 FanDuel) has been playing well over these last 2 weeks, including winning a couple of weeks ago.  He has had some success at this course, with consecutive top 15s the last two times he played.

 Charl Schwarzel ($6,800 DraftKings/$6,900 FanDuel) is a world-class player who has 4 top 20s in his last 5 visits to this tournament.  I am a little bit worried about the wrist injury that forced him to withdraw from the Players – otherwise I would have put him in the main section.

Kevin Tway ($6,500 DraftKings/$6,800 FanDuel) is the hottest player on tour aside from Dustin Johnson.  His stats don’t scream course fit, but at this price on DraftKings, how do you not take a guy who has 4 straight top 20s?

Ryan Ruffels ($6,300 DraftKings/$4,900 FanDuel) is a guy I am playing in a bunch of FanDuel lineups where I want to put 2 stars at the top of the roster.  Ruffels will be a star one day – hopefully he breaks out this week!

Good luck to all of you this week!

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Neil
Neil has been an avid fantasy sports player since 1991 and a profitable low stakes DFS grinder since 2014. Neil is ranked in the top 20% of DFS players in 3 sports and in the top 10% of DFS players for his stakes per RotoGrinders rankings. As a native Montrealer Neil hopes to get a Major League Baseball team back to his hometown some day soon.

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