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Daily Fantasy Golf Preview – AT&T Byron Nelson

How is everyone doing this week?  I am excited to be back here for another week of daily fantasy golf, one of the best fantasy games on this planet we call Earth.  Last week was an interesting one as many of the world’s top players really struggled at the PLAYERS, including Jordan Spieth, Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm.  I hit a couple of home runs in this space last week by recommending Kyle Stanley, Bernd Wiesberger and Francesco Molinari.  It was not all perfect though as some of my high-priced recommendations were less than stellar.

This week we are on to Irving, Texas and the AT&T Byron Nelson.  While the field is not as stacked as last week, we still have a pretty star-studded event with 4 of the top 10 players in the world teeing off, including world #1 Dustin Johnson and Masters champion Sergio Garcia.  The course this week is a par 70, with only two par 5s.  I am putting a premium on par 4 scoring as well as strokes gained off the tee.  Of course, I will also be looking at recent form and course history.  Let’s see what we come up with.

If you have any questions – don’t hesitate to hit me up on Twitter at @AssemblyNeil.

Luxury Items

Dustin Johnson ($12,500 DraftKings; $11,800 FanDuel) – Johnson is quite pricey this week, but I am going to take the plunge.   In his last 6 appearances at the Byron Nelson, Johnson has finished in the top 20 each time, including 4 top 10s.  His recent form is beyond comparison with 3 wins, a 2nd place, a 3rd place and a 12th place in his last 6 tournaments.  DJ also is a master of par 4 scoring as he is 2nd on tour in that stat and is also 2nd on tour in strokes gained off the tee.  He will anchor more than 60% of my lineups this week.

Brooks Koepka ($10,200 DraftKings; $9,500 FanDuel) – For you baseball fans, Koepka is kind of like the Carlos Gonzalez of golf.  When he slumps, he is unplayable in fantasy, but when he is on, he is among the best players in the world.  Koepka’s form has been rock solid with 4 straight top 20 appearances.  And he finished in 2nd place in this tournament last year, losing in a playoff to Sergio Garcia.  I will keep riding the hot hand.

Upper Middle Class

Charley Hoffman ($8,500 DraftKings/$7,900 FanDuel) – Hoffman is almost a must play whenever he is in Texas.  I actually really like his price this week as he is very easy to slot into the #2 spot in your lineups.  Hoffman is a course horse with 3 straight top 12 appearances at this event including 2 top 10s.  And his form has been decent recently with top 30 finishes in 4 of his last 6 tournaments.  It doesn’t hurt that Hoff is ranked 45th on tour in par 4 scoring and a very solid 24th in strokes gained off the tee.  This could be a big week for big Charley.

Russell Henley ($8,300 DraftKings/$7,500 FanDuel) – Henley has been a go-to in my lineups recently as he has been among the best players in the game in recent weeks.  Case in point, he has made his last 7 cuts, with top 26 finishes 4 times among those 7.  Apart from that, Henley is a master of par 4 scoring, ranking tied for 13th on tour and is also an excellent 22nd in strokes gained off the tee.  I am staying on the Henley train this week.

Middle Class

Bud Cauley ($7,800 DraftKings; $6,500 FanDuel) – Cauley is a virtual must play on FanDuel this week with his $6,500 price tag.  The Alabama product has finished in the top 10 in his last two tournaments and also finished in 4th at the AT&T Byron Nelson last year.  With this great recent form and great course history, my lineups will feature plenty of Cauley.

Sung Kang ($7,400 DraftKings; $6,100 FanDuel) – After a young South Korean won last week, can we make it two in a row this week?  While I don’t think Kang will win the tourney, he has been in excellent form recently, making 5 straight cuts including top 11 finishes in 3 of his last 4 tournaments.  This guy is on fire and is cheap.  Kang is also a favorite play of mine because he excels in my key stats of the week, ranking 22nd in par 4 scoring and 35th in strokes gained off the tee.  Kang could be a difference maker in your lineups.

Bang for your Buck

J.T. Poston ($7,300 DraftKings; $6,400 FanDuel) – Poston has never played this course (at least professionally) and he is not really all that remarkable in my stats of the week, although he is an above average 59th on tour in par 4 scoring.  But Poston has been remarkably consistent recently making 7 straight cuts, including top 30 finishes 6 times.  At this really cheap price, a top 25 finish for Poston will easily make value, and I see no reason that he can’t continue his run of top 25 finishes.  I like Poston this week.

Danny Lee ($7,100 DraftKings; $6,500 FanDuel) – This is a GPP play only.  I have always had a soft spot for Lee, though his form has been below average this year.  I am liking him this week because he has some pretty good course history at the Byron Nelson.  In his last 5 appearances, Lee has made 4 cuts at this event including 3 top 20 finishes.  Sometimes a certain golf course just fits a player’s eye and that seems to be the case with Lee here.  I feel like his ownership will be 2-3% in GPPs and I will try to catch lightning in a bottle.  Do you feel brave?  

Discount Bin

Jonathan Randolph ($6,700 DraftKings; $5,000 FanDuel) – Randolph is a good driver of the ball, ranking a more than respectable 66th on tour in strokes gained off the tee.  Even more importantly, Randolph has been playing some excellent ball of late with top 30s finishes in his last 3 tournaments, including one top 10.  At this low price, let’s see if Randolph can keep up his good form.

Brian Gay ($6,800 DraftKings; $5,500 FanDuel) –  Gay has an interesting course history as he has some excellent finishes, including two top 10s, but those were a long time ago in 2010 and 2008.  More recently, Gay has made only 2 of his last 4 cuts here, and never finished inside the top 50.  That having been said, this is a guy who has played this course well in the past and is in pretty good form with top 10s in two of his last 4 tourneys.  I feel like this could be a nice week.

OTHERS OF NOTE:

I will throw out a few others that I will be playing this week, especially on one site or the other.  

  • Tony Finau looks to be great value on FanDuel at $7,700.  He has finished in the top 12 in this tournament in his last two appearances. 
  • Ollie Schniederjans ($7,700 DraftKings; $7,700 FanDuel) is a guy I hoped would be a bit cheaper.  He has top 20 finishes in his last two events and is a super talented kid from Texas.  
  • Smylie Kaufman ($7,100 DraftKings; $6,100 FanDuel) is a really streaky player who was awful to start the season but has made three straight cuts, including two straight top 12 finishes.  
  • Nick Watney ($6,900 DraftKings; $6,800 FanDuel) has top 10s in his last two appearances at this event.  He is also always a favorite of my father-in-law.  
  • Robby Shelton looks like a steal on FanDuel at $4,800.  He is a young, hungry and talented player.  At that bargain basement price, he is worth a GPP dart throw.  
  • Last, but not least, my hunch of the week:  Xander Schauffele ($6,600 DraftKings; $4,900 FanDuel) .  He has top 30 finishes in two of his last 3 events and I just feel like he is going to play well.  (Play him at your own risk).

 

Good luck to all of you this week!

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Neil
Neil has been an avid fantasy sports player since 1991 and a profitable low stakes DFS grinder since 2014. Neil is ranked in the top 20% of DFS players in 3 sports and in the top 10% of DFS players for his stakes per RotoGrinders rankings. As a native Montrealer Neil hopes to get a Major League Baseball team back to his hometown some day soon.

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