It’s finally Friday! Not much small talk today as I’m writing this from the airport during a layover. I won’t be very long-winded today, but I will give you the top plays I am targeting. Let’s get straight to the picks!
Pitchers to target
Clayton Kershaw – Why get cute here? Just play the guy. I think he’ll go lower owned than he should in this spot because his price is sky-high and his fantasy output wasn’t up to par in Colorado. Of course everyone knows that was to be expected, but there will still be enoughpeople who look at his last game, see his price, and move down the list.
Dallas Keuchel – Keuchel has been exceptional over two starts. His strikeout numbers aren’t anything to write home about, but his batted balls against have been very impressive. Among all starters on the main slate Friday, he has a ridiculously low distance of 133 – meaning the ball is only traveling on average 133 feet when hit in play. Just for reference, Noah Syndergaard is next best on the slate at 179 feet. Keuchel also has a slate best hard hit percentage at 17. Granted, it’s early and these numbers will likely come up; it just shows that he is pitching very well right now. The A’s are striking out 21% of the time so far this season. If that holds I think we can expect 6-8 strikeouts from Keuchel.
Stacks to Target:
Cincinnati Reds – The Reds are in a great spot against soft tossing lefty Tommy Milone. They have the second lowest strikeout rate so far this season and have the third highest ISO, indicating they are hitting for power. Take your pick of batters here once we have the lineup.
At this point I’m leaning heavy on the Reds as my primary stack and I’m not seeing anything else I really love.
Batters to target
Miguel Sano – Sano is hitting the ball hard and far, and today he is reasonably priced – this is a gut play. I think he’ll go yard in this game. You just need to pay attention to the weather here because there is rain in the forecast.
Rougned Odor – Odor is another guy who is crushing the ball this year. Most people will be hesitant to roster players against King Felix, but in a tournament I think Odor makes a lot of sense.
Corey Seager – I like Seager’s price here (especially on FanDuel). I always think he is a good play, and if I get the sense that his ownership will be low I’ll probably be on him.
Yoenis Cespedes – There is nothing to dislike about Cespedes today. He owns a .466 wOBA against lefties. On the opposite end of the spectrum from Keuchel, Adam Conley has given up the furthest distance to opposing batters at 266 feet. Granted, that was only one start so we can’t look too much into that. Cespedes has the bad hitters park working against him, but if he gets hold of one like he is capable of, the ball is going to have a tough time staying in any park.
Best of luck to everyone!
Any more questions? Hit me up on Twitter @mrclutchdfs
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