|59||Drew Pomeranz||Red Sox||40||68||37||81||53||77||59|
|60||Marco Estrada||Blue Jays||62||63||49||79||58||45||60|
Favorite underrated pitcher based on current ADP?
Using NFBC ADP data from hosted.stats.com
Jim: Sonny Gray has an ADP of 206 and is the 56th pitcher off the board. How quickly people forget he was a top-12 pitcher in 2015. Julio Teheran received a similar snub in 2016 after falling flat in 2015, and he rebounded nicely. Also Matt Harvey at 142 overall and the 34th starting pitcher. There may be some rust, but if he’s truly healthy this could be a huge bargain.
Kevin: Matt Andriese has major breakout potential, and at #95 he’s a steal for his upside. Michael Wacha struggled and has some risk, but at #106, I’m definitely taking that bet.
Ron: Kenta Maeda will go off the board around 30 picks after Carlos Martinez, but I see parallels in their expected performance in all but one category. It’s easy to imagine a similar ERA and K total for these two, but Maeda can be counted on to produce a much more appealing WHIP.
Andy: Sonny Gray is a lightning rod in the fantasy community. Some believe he was never all that, and rode some remarkable luck to his success; The writing was on the wall, and this is who he is. Others, like me, think he was sidetracked by an injury, had moved past it, is still just 27, and ready to return to top-20 status. He is more than just a known name to me. Covered on The Baseball Show
Josh: Ivan Nova is the 74th SP off the board and is currently 280th overall. A ground ball lean was paired with good control last season. If the move to the NL kicks up the K totals, Nova has the making of a 200 IP low 3’s ERA type.
Mike: James Paxton for sure. He’s currently being taken outside the top-50 starting pitchers, which isn’t much of a price tag for a guy who averages 97 MPH. There’s huge breakout potential here.
Neil: I’ll take all I can get of James Paxton as the 51st SP off the board. The lefty has dominant fantasy upside if he can continue what he started in 2016. Paxton slashed his walk rate and was able to keep the ball in the yard which helped him hold a 3.79 ERA over 20 starts. With some better luck (.347 BABIP) in 2017, Paxton should see a lower ERA while maintaining a decent strikeout rate.
|79||Eduardo Rodriguez||Red Sox||87||89||67||93||84||69||94|
|84||Wei Yin Chen||Marlins||92||67||N/R||53||95||89||86|
|89||Francisco Liriano||Blue Jays||69||86||N/R||76||80||100||98|
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Late round pick that could make an impact?
Jim: Assuming Hyun-Jin Ryu is healthy and starting I like his chances of returning to 2013/2014 form. If he does you’ll get a bargain with an ADP of 477. His teammate, Alex Wood, is in the same boat with an ADP of 399. Wood looked to be coming around last season before going down with an injury. My favorite pick is Luis Severino (390 overall). He didn’t make a splash in 2016 so he has been tossed aside for the newer shinier toys.
Ron: Brandon Finnegan is someone nobody is talking about. His change-up alteration in the second half led to a 3.24 ERA and a K/9 of 9+. He reached the 170 inning mark in 2016, meaning he should be ready to push up to 190+ in 2017. Best of all, Finnegan can be had after 350 names fly off the board. A 3.70 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, and 185 K’s are within reach.
Andy: I’m comfortable with a good amount of names towards the end of drafts, but Zach Davies is the success story of my pitcher projections from a season ago. For a young and rebuilding Brewers franchise, who is not far from competing, he has taken the reigns as the Ace of the staff. Had it not been for some late-game bullpen meltdowns, Davies’ numbers would have looked even better! Believe!
Josh: Alex Cobb (83) and Lance Lynn (84) are both a full year removed from surgery. The hate for Wei-Yen Chen (98), Francisco Liriano (88), Michael Wacha (106), and Gio Gonzalez (80) has gone too far. I love the skill sets of Tyler Anderson (104), Mike Foltynewicz (92) and Zach Davies (78).
Mike: I love Jharel Cotton. He had a K/9 rate of over 10 the last two years in the minors. A 12.5% swinging strike rate in 29 MLB innings is promising as well.
Neil: I think Garrett Richards, Dylan Bundy and Eduardo Rodriguez have the potential to provide great value coming at pick 252 or later. While Bundy may have the toughest path, I could see any three of these young arms finishing as a top-50 SP. All three have an obvious injury risk, but with all three going so late, why not take a flier?
|4 Lists||3 Lists||2 Lists|
|Mike Leake||Dan Straily||Raisel Iglesias|
|Jaime Garcia||Jose Berrios||Jose De Leon|
|Scott Kazmir||Tyson Ross||Alex Wood|
|One Hit Wonders|
|Patrick Corbin, Steven Wright, Brett Anderson, Clay Buchholz, Hyun-Jin Ryu, Lucas Giolito, Mike Fiers, Josh Tomlin, Nate Karns, Andrew Triggs|
That Wraps up our starting pitcher rankings. Check back next week as we bring you our top-40 relievers/closers for the 2017 season.
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