How is everyone doing today? Yesterday featured the worst collection of pitchers that I have seen in my 3 years playing DFS, and predictably, low scores were able to cash in GPPs. I had a lineup score 84.50 points yesterday that finished in the money which is my lowest in the money score of the year. It seems as if managers were saving all of their good pitchers for today as there are a ton of great pitching options including the return of Kershaw as he faces the electric Jose Fernandez, plus Madison Bumgarner, Yu Darvish and Jon Lester. There are even some great second tier options like Rick Porcello, Danny Salazar and Julio Teheran. There is a lot to sift through today so let’s get right to it.
As always, all stats are courtesy of rotowire, rotogrinders, fangraphs, baseball-reference and ESPN. Here are your quick hits of the day.
Batter versus Pitcher Warriors:
- Brian Dozier vs. Danny Salazar – 11/23 with 5 doubles, 2 homers and 2 walks
- Matt Carpenter vs. Jimmy Nelson – 6/13 with a double, a homer and 2 walks
- Justin Smoak vs. Rick Porcello – 7/21 with 3 homers, a double and 3 walks
- Edwin Encarnacion vs. Rick Porcello – 13/34 with 5 doubles and 3 homers
Stacks to Target:
- Cardinals vs. Jimmy Nelson – Nelson is not having his best season as he has a career low K/9, a career high BB/9 and a career high hard contact allowed. His struggles have been especially apparent on the road where he sports a .370 wOBA against and a 5.94 ERA. He has also gotten worse in the 2nd half where he has allowed a .379 wOBA and also a 5.94 ERA. The Cardinals are a great hitting team against righties with a .335 team wOBA and .200 ISO. They can do some real damage tonight.
- Rangers vs. Tyler Skaggs – After throwing 2 scoreless outings in July, Skaggs has an 8.37 ERA in 29.2 IP since August 1st. The Rangers are very good against left-handed throwers, ranking 8th in OPS versus southpaws. Their offense is also hot as they are 2nd in runs scored over the last 7 days. I like them for a good day today.
Pitchers of the Day:
- Julio Teheran vs. Mets – Teheran has faced the Mets twice this year and has held them to 6 hits, 0 runs and 0 walks over 17 innings while striking out 14. This is no fluke as the Mets as a collective have a .176/.239/.292 line against Teheran in their careers. The Braves’ ace comes in hot as well allowing only 2 ER in his last 13 IP with 15 strikeouts. This could be another great game.
- Carlos Martinez vs. Brewers – Martinez has not had his strikeout mojo this year with a very average 143 Ks in 164.1 IP. However, against the Brewers he turns from Carlos Martinez into Pedro Martinez. Martinez’s 3 highest strikeout games this season have come against Milwaukee and he has 32 strikeouts in 19 IP against the Brew Crew this season. It is not only the strikeouts that have worked for Martinez against Milwaukee as he has allowed only 13 hits and 2 runs in those 19 innings. This should be another banner performance.
Weather to Target or Avoid:
There are a lot of trouble spots today. This is a day where I remind you to follow DFS meteorologist Kevin Roth on Twitter @KevinRothWx.
- Reds at Pirates – chance of rain
- Rays at Yankees – chance of rain
- Indians at Twins – chance of rain
- Royals at White Sox – chance of rain
- Brewers at Cardinals – chance of rain
Platoon Split Hitters:
- Eugenio Suarez vs. Steven Brault – Suarez is much better against southpaws than righties with an impressive .388 wOBA and 142 wRC+ this season.
- Carlos Beltran vs. Tyler Skaggs – Beltran is more comfortable hitting from the right side this year with a .419 wOBA and 164 wRC+.
Any more questions? Hit me up on Twitter @AssemblyNeil
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