Daily Fantasy Quick Hits – August 14

Good Sunday to all.  Despite putting in print that I should exercise some bankroll discipline yesterday, I didn’t heed to my own advice and played double the stakes that I usually do.  Thankfully for me, my intuitions were good and I turned a small profit.  Let’s hope we can repeat that success today.  I have a pretty good feel for hitting today, but I think I will be mixing and matching a few pitchers around 2 core stacks as I do not love the pitchers on this slate.  Let’s see what we came up with.

As always, all stats are courtesy of rotowire, rotogrinders, fangraphs, baseball-reference and ESPN. Here are your quick hits of the day.

Batter versus Pitcher Warriors:

  1. Chris Coglan vs. Mike Leake – 10/16 with 3 doubles and 2 homers
  2. Brian McCann vs. Jake Odorizzi – 12/26 with 4 doubles, 3 homers and 2 walks
  3. Carlos Santana (if he plays) vs. Jered Weaver – 15/27 with 3 doubles, 2 homers and 4 walks
  4. Mike Napoli vs. Jered Weaver – 11/32 with 2 doubles, 3 homers and 5 walks

Stacks to Target:

  1. Indians vs. Jered Weaver – Weaver is one of the worst pitchers in the game. and Cleveland is perhaps the hottest offense in the league.  On the season, Cleveland has impressive numbers against righties with a .331 wOBA and .188 ISO.  In addition, the Indians as a team have battered Weaver with a .305/.369/.558 collective line.  The only problem might be that this is a chalky pick, but I would definitely play it anyway.
  2. Rockies vs. Adam Morgan – Morgan gives Weaver a run for his money as the worst pitcher on the slate as he sports a terrible 6.65 ERA.  Morgan’s ERA does not seem to be a huge fluke as his hard contact allowed is an unacceptable 37.1%.  Righties have a field day with the Phillies lefty as well as he has allowed a .409 wOBA to opposite handed hitters.  The Rockies can throw a good group of righties at Morgan led by Nolan Arenado, DJ LeMahieu and Mark Reynolds.  I like a full stack of Rockies today or a mini-stack of just Arenado, LeMahieu and Reynolds.

Pitchers of the Day:

  1. Chris Sale vs. Marlins – Sale goes on the road today, which has been an excellent thing for him this season.  While the Pale Hose lefty has a surprisingly mediocre 4.55 ERA and .325 wOBA at home, he is his Cy Young candidate self on the road with a .241 wOBA and 2.28 ERA.  Sale has also gotten hot in the 2nd half with a 2.17 ERA after the all-star break.  There are few top pitchers on the docket today, so no need to fade the best one.
  2. Jake Odorizzi vs. Yankees – Odorizzi has been one of the hottest pitchers in baseball since the all-star break with a 1.13 ERA and .255 wOBA allowed in the 2nd half.  Somehow though, he is only priced at $8,200 on DraftKings and $8,700 on FanDuel.  It is not like the Yankees are an impossible match-up either as they are a mediocre 23rd in OPS versus righties.  I like the Rays’ righty today.

 Weather to Target or Avoid:

  • Angels at Indians – Chance of rain
  • Rockies at Phillies – 11 MPH wind blowing out

Platoon Split Hitters:

  1. Wilmer Flores vs. Clayton Richard – Flores sports an impressive .437 wOBA and 181 wRC+ versus lefties on the year.
  2. Lorenzo Cain vs. Hector Santiago – Cain, as usual, has hit southpaws well with a .408 wOBA and 159 wRC+.

Any more questions? Hit me up on Twitter @AssemblyNeil

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Neil
Neil has been an avid fantasy sports player since 1991 and a profitable low stakes DFS grinder since 2014. Neil is ranked in the top 20% of DFS players in 3 sports and in the top 10% of DFS players for his stakes per RotoGrinders rankings. As a native Montrealer Neil hopes to get a Major League Baseball team back to his hometown some day soon.
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