Field of Streams; Week 18 Weekday Streamers

Field of Streams logoAfter a very rough week seventeen, I was really looking to redeem myself with last week’s streamers, and you know what? It looks like I did just that! Last week’s eight weekday streamers went 4-2, with a 2.79 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP and a 7.63 K/9.

I’d call that a pretty decent week, wouldn’t you? That was rhetorical! Now, you should know by now that not all streams are created equal. Nope, there are generally Ins, Outs and What Have Yous…

Ins IP H BB ER K W/L
Jorge De La Rosa
Rockies
6.1 4 3 1 4 ND
Jerad Eickhoff
Phillies 7 5 1 1 8 L
Adam Conley Marlins 6.2 8 3 0 6 W
Jon Gray Rockies 7 5 2 1 3 W
Tyler Anderson Rockies 6 7 0 1 5 ND
Outs  
Jake Peavy
Giants 5 4 2 6 5 L
What have you  
Hector Santiago
Angels 5.1 5 4 2 5 W
Aaron Nola Phillies 5 8 3 3 5 W
Total 48.1 46 18 15 41 4-2-2

Alright, let see if I can match last week’s numbers…

MONDAY

Jimmy Nelson, Brewers (@ Padres) – Judging by Jimmy’s ownership numbers not many people are buying into that 3.71 ERA. Of course, a 3.71 ERA is not exactly spectacular, but for streaming purposes it certainly keeps Mr. Nelson on my radar. The FIP and xFIP are in the fours, but Nelson keeps the ball on the ground which is a start towards minimizing damage, right? Well, it’s something, isn’t it? Kind of?

Okay, well prior to Nelson’s last start, which was, let’s just say less than stellar, Nelson had not allowed more than three earned runs in any of his previous six starts. Plus, Nelson draws the Padres as an opponent this time around, and you should already be aware that the Padres offense has generally not been intimidating. Not only that, but Nelson already has a high quality start against the Friars this season, allowing just two runs over eight innings back in  May. You might not get that exact start, but I believe the stars to be aligned for at least a quality start.
19.8% owned in ESPN, 48% owned in Yahoo!

C.C. Sabathia, Yankees (@ Mets) – While he has hit a few bumps in the road recently, and the overall numbers are not great, a 3.95 ERA and a FIP slightly over four is plenty good enough to be a valid streaming option. But CC is an even more valid streaming option outside of the Bronx with a 3.28 road ERA. Seven out of ten road starts for Sabathia have been quality, so I like the odds of a quality start here. If none of this has you convinced, then how about if I add in the fact the Mets have been one of the worst offensive teams in baseball over the past couple of weeks? Over that time period the Mets are 26th in wOBA, 28th in ISO and dead last in runs scored. So, ignore those recent road bumps and go with CC on Monday.
14.4% owned in ESPN, 18% owned in Yahoo!



TUESDAY

Mike Foltynewicz, Braves (vs. Pirates) – Folty’s last start was kind of, ya know, not good, but it was also on the road. Why is that relevant? Well, I’ll tell you why. Because Folty has been much better at home than on the road. When pitching in Hotlanta, Folty has a 2.83 ERA, which I don’t have to tell you is pretty darned good. The FIP at home is still just a shade under four which is not great, but is quite streamable. Now, the Pirates are no slouches at the plate, but they haven’t exactly been dominant lately either, which makes me like Folty for a nice bit of fantasy goodness.
7.4% owned in ESPN, 8% owned in Yahoo!

Jon Gray, Rockies (vs. Dodgers) – I have been on the Gray bandwagon for several weeks now, so I don’t have much hesitation streaming him against most teams. Jonboy has rattled off five straight quality starts, though three of those involved the lighter hitting Braves and Phillies. Not to fret though, because Gray has also thrown a quality start in ten of his last twelve starts. Without looking, you would have to think there was a decent offense or two somewhere in there, right? Let’s not look and just say yes. With Gray striking out just over a batters per inning and keeping batted balls on the ground about 46% of the time I don’t generally have a problem trusting him against most any team right now.
40.8% owned in ESPN, 38% owned in Yahoo!

WEDNESDAY

Aaron Nola, Phillies (vs. Giants) – Yes, I do realize that Nola’s ERA is up in the fours, but do you realize that both his FIP and xFIP are just a smidge above three. You can call him unlucky if you’d like, but I’ll just say it looks like he has been pitching much better than what the numbers are reflecting. I mean a 9.81 K/9 combined with a ground ball rate of 55% should garner better numbers than those that currently appear on Nola’s stat line.

This is also what kind of happened in Nola’s last start against the Giants – the underlying numbers were better than the final line. Of course, the bottom line is you aren’t gonna get credit for what should have happened, so you’re just going to have to, like me, believe the good underlying numbers will translate into good actual numbers. A good sign this may actually happen on this upcoming hump day is the fact that only five teams have scored fewer runs than the Giants over the past two weeks. I choose to believe the fantasy goodness is a comin’ from Nola.
42.7% owned in ESPN, 45% owned in Yahoo!

Tyler Anderson, Rockies (vs. Dodgers) – Yep, still on my Rockies streamers kick, but with what Anderson and the other Colorado pitchers have been doing lately surely I’m not the only one. Anderson has only allowed more than three earned runs in one of his nine starts this season, and six of his nine starts have been quality. Anderson’s K-rate is not eye-popping, but it is more than respectable. Plus, he keeps the ball on the ground quite a bit, which has helped him garner a nice low implodability factor. The Dodgers bats are pretty decent, but ya know what, so is Tyler Anderson, and I think he is decent enough to shut down those Dodger bats.
11.0% owned in ESPN, 12% owned in Yahoo!



THURSDAY

Bartolo Colon, Mets (@ Yankees) – Bartolo has been slightly less reliable lately, but still carries with him a pretty low implodability factor – he has still only allowed more than three earned runs in three of his 20 starts. Now Colon’s starts are not sexy and packed with strikeouts, but they are usually plenty solid. There is an even better chance of a solid start when facing the Yankees these days. Over the past two weeks, the Yankees are 27th in ISO and wOBA, which makes it not so surprising that they are also 27th in runs scored over that same time period. Me thinks that bodes pretty well for Mr. Colon.
35.5% owned in ESPN, 44% owned in Yahoo!

Nate Eovaldi, Yankees (vs Mets) – A bit of a rough patch had Nate “The Great” jettisoned to the bullpen, but now he has been thrust back into the rotation and, well, so far, so good. Eovaldi’s two starts since his return to the rotation have both been darned nice if I do say so myself. Only one of those two starts was quality; he missed that second quality start by just .2 innings. But Nate’s start against the Giants was really good, and I think we could very well see something similar to that start, come Thursday. Why? Well, while the Yankees bats have been bad, I already made it pretty apparent that the Mets are in the very same boat over the most recent fortnight. Look for this game to be a low scoring streaming duel.
20.8% owned in ESPN, 22% owned in Yahoo!

 

That’s all I got, go on, get out of here, go stream!

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Will Emerson

Will Emerson

Affectionately know by close friends as Willie Moe, Will is back living in Boston after brief, 11 year stint, in upstate New York. Will loves numbers and baseball, so it is no surprise that he has been addicted to fantasy baseball for over two decades. That’s right, Will was playing fantasy baseball since before the internet was providing up to the minute stats and standings, and you had to get your hands inky checking box scores in the newspaper.
Will Emerson

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