Daily Fantasy Quick Hits – July 29

DFS Baseball LogoIt’s the start of what will be a frenzied weekend in major league baseball. Last year there were twenty-four trades made between the 29th and 31st of July, with names like David Price, Cole Hamels, Carlos Gomez, and Yoenis Cespedes among those players moved. We’ve already had one trade this morning with Andrew Cashner and Colin Rea sent to the Miami Marlins.

All of the moves this weekend could affect lineups and rotations immediately, so it’s important to keep on top of it. Even lesser known players, ie Jorge Polanco, become interesting plays at openings present themselves. Enjoy this weekend – it’s one of my favorite throughout the season, but while you may be able to wait until the dust settles on Monday to adjust in seasonal formats, in DFS you simply can’t.

Here are your quick hits of the day:

Batter versus Pitcher Warriors:

  1. Nelson Cruz vs Jon Lester – 11/28 with 2 doubles, a triple, and 3 home runs
  2. Brian McCann vs Jake Odorizzi – 12/23 with 3 doubles, a triple, and 3 home runs
  3. Joey Votto vs Edwin Jackson – 9/22 with 4 doubles and 2 home runs
  4. Melky Cabrera vs Ricky Nolasco – 11/25 with 2 doubles and a home run
  5. Aaron Hill vs Tim Lincecum – 11/22 with 4 doubles and 5 walks

Stacks to Target:

  1. Red Sox vs Tim Lincecum – The Red Sox didn’t pummel Jered Weaver yesterday as I expected, but they’ll have another shot to bust out today against Tim Lincecum. Lincecum has a 10.50 ERA in his last 6 starts, and is 0-2 with a 10.13 ERA lifetime against Boston. The Red Sox are just the 13th top hitting club in the past week after sitting at #1 for most of the year. To me that just means they’re due. With Lincecum allowing 21 hits and walks per 9 innings after his first start of the year, there is really no time like the present. 
  2. Astros vs Matt Boyd – Boyd has been pretty good, allowing just 2 earned runs over his past three starts (15.1 ip). Left-handed hitters haven’t been able to touch him all year, batting .185 with a .253 wOBA. Unfortunately for Boyd, the Astros can send out a power packed RHH lineup with Correa, Springer, Altuve, Gattis, Bregman, Gomez, Marisnick, and switch-hitting Gonzalez. The Astros are the hottest hitting team in the majors over the past week and have already lit Boyd up once this year. They are just too tough of a RHH lineup for Boyd to finesse his way through. 

Weather Factors to Target or Avoid:

  • Astros at Tigers – Chance of rain
  • Nationals at Giants – 13 MPH wind blowing out
  • Royals at Rangers – 10 MPH wind blowing in
  • Phillies at Braves – 10 MPH wind blowing to right

Pitchers of the Day:

  1. Vince Velasquez vs Braves – Nola didn’t dominate the Braves yesterday as I expected, but I like Velasquez’ chances that much more. VV is averaging 18.2 FPTS on Draft Kings this year, and while the Braves have been hitting of late, they are still the worst offensive team in the majors. Velasquez has been so much better at home this year, or his price likely would be even higher than the $9,700 mark on DK. Velasquez is one of this year’s top breakout performers, and should continue that tonight. 
  2. Steven Matz vs Rockies – It’s okay to go back to the well when things are working, and picking the SP at home hosting the Rockies generally works. Yesterday deGrom had a great game and Matz should do just as well today. The Rockies are the 2nd worst hitting club on the road, and they’re a little worse against LHP than RHP. Matz meanwhile has no real discernible splits, pitching equally effectively at home and away, vs RHH and LHH. He’s solid and at $8,500 he’s worth slotting in to your lineup today. 

Platoon Split Hitters:

  1. Robbie Grossman vs J. Quintana – Grossman vs LHP this year: .362/.457/.594 
  2. Christian Bethancourt vs B. Finnegan – Bethancourt hits 120 pts better against LHP, at .364 for the year with a 1.031 OPS
  3. Franklin Gutierrez vs J. Lester- Gutierrez has 8 HR against LHP in 113 AB this year.

Any more questions? Hit me up on Twitter @FantasyAssembly

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Paul Hartman

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Fantasy Baseball player since 1987. Creator of Fantasy Assembly, yet just fortunate enough to be a part of it.