Daily Fantasy Quick Hits – July 3

Happy Sunday all!  It looks like another fun day of baseball today with a Jon Lester vs. Noah Syndergaard match-up as the headliner.  From a daily fantasy perspective I will be avoiding that game, but from a fan’s perspective I will certainly be watching.  I think choosing the right hitters will be the key strategy today as human punching bags Sean O’Sullivan, Kyle Gibson, Mike Pelfrey and others are on the mound today.  Let’s see what kind of value we can derive.

Here are your quick hits of the day:

Batter versus Pitcher Warriors:

  1. Robinson Cano vs. Ubaldo Jimenez – 8/14 with 2 homers, 3 doubles and a walk
  2. Evan Longoria vs. Mike Pelfrey – 4/8 with a double, a homer and a walk
  3. Andrew Romine vs. Chris Archer – 4/8 with a double and 2 walks
  4. Khris Davis vs. Francisco Liriano – 4/12 with 2 doubles and 2 homers

Stacks to Target:

  1. Indians vs. J.A. Happ – I feel like this one will still be fairly low owned, but Happ is finally coming down to earth after having a BABIP fueled artificially wonderful beginning to his season.  In June, Happ sported a 5.28 ERA which is more in line with his skill level.  His BABIP allowed is normalizing to a .270 mark for the season, but his strand rate would still be a career high.  Happ is in line for a few more stinkers, and the Indians, despite losing for the first time in a while yesterday, are a hot team.  This could be a sneaky good play.
  2. Rangers vs. Kyle Gibson – Texas is one of the hottest teams in baseball and have scored a bunch recently, having tallied 50 runs in their last 7 games.  Kyle Gibson has an ERA over 5.00 thanks to a very low K/9 of 5.72 and a high walk rate of 3.55.  Mediocre pitch to contact guys are exactly the kind of guys you want to stack against as teams can put a bunch of hits up in a row against him.  Play your Rangers.

Weather Factors to Target or Avoid:

  • Angels at Red Sox – 10 MPH wind blowing out
  • Brewers at Cardinals – chance of rain
  • Yankees at Padres – 10 MPH wind blowing out

Pitchers of the Day:

  1. Jose Quintana vs. Astros – The Astros as a group have struggled against Quintana with a collective .212/.277/.257 line.  And as we all know by now, the Astros strike out a ton so they are a good team to target.  Quintana is still not a huge strikeout guy, but he does have a 8.25 K/9 this season which would represent a career high.  He is likely in for a good night against the team that strikes out the 2nd most against left-handed starters in the AL.
  2. Chris Archer vs. Tigers – Archer has been a go-to boom or bust GPP pitcher this year.  He can still strike guys out with the best of them as he is 2nd in the AL in strikeouts with 117 and 2nd in the AL in K/9 with 10.71.  But his run prevention has been subpar this year.  The Tigers can hit, but they also can strike out a lot.  Just ask Max Scherzer.  Archer will likely be under 10% owned in GPP, but has the potential to put up a huge score.

Platoon Split Hitters:

  1. Jayson Werth vs. John Lamb – Werth is a professional hitter of lefties with a .494 wOBA and 215 wRC+.
  2. Jake Smolinski vs. Franscisco Liriano – Smolinski is an underrated platoon split guy and has not disappointed this year with a .542 wOBA and 252 wRC+ against southpaws (albeit in a small sample size).

Any more questions? Hit me up on Twitter @AssemblyNeil

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Neil
Neil has been an avid fantasy sports player since 1991 and a profitable low stakes DFS grinder since 2014. Neil is ranked in the top 20% of DFS players in 3 sports and in the top 10% of DFS players for his stakes per RotoGrinders rankings. As a native Montrealer Neil hopes to get a Major League Baseball team back to his hometown some day soon.
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