Daily Fantasy Quick Hits – June 25

Neil previews today’s game action and shares his top DFS Plays for June 25

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Happy Saturday everyone! It is the first Saturday of the summer, and hopefully you all enjoy it with some family, some swimming and some outdoor play – and of course, with some baseball. I’ll probably be hanging out in my backyard with my kids while streaming some baseball on MLB.tv. Sounds like a good time to me. Let’s see how our DFS slate is looking today.

Here are your quick hits of the day:

Batter versus Pitcher Warriors:

  1. Yan Gomes vs. Anibal Sanchez7/14 with 2 doubles, 2 homers and a walk
  2. Jose Abreu vs. R.A. Dickey – 5/12 with 3 homers and a double
  3. Rickie Weeks vs. Jorge de la Rosa – 5/11 with 3 doubles and 4 walks
  4. DJ LeMahieu vs. Shelby Miller – 6/13 with a homer, a double and 2 walks

Stacks to Target:

  1. DBacks at RockiesAnother day – another day at Coors!
  2. Astros vs. Chris YoungYou all would have been happy if I picked the Astros to stack yesterday. Hopefully I didn’t miss the boat here, but I think the Astros are in for another good game against Young. Young has a 5.61 ERA and 6.99 FIP despite a strand rate of 88.4% and a BABIP of .265. Young is allowing a crazy amount of hard contact at 40.4% which is not good for a pitcher who allows 53.7% fly balls, which has led to his sky high 23.8% HR/FB rate. The wind is blowing out in Kansas City today, and Houston has some good power bats. I think Young is in for a long (or maybe short) day.
  3. Indians vs. Anibal Sanchez – Sanchez just hasn’t been the same guy this year as his strikeouts are down, his walks are up and his hard contact and fly ball rates are way up – they would both represent career highs. Anibal’s 5.97 ERA is supported with a 5.15 xFIP. The Indians have been hitting the ball pretty well recently and they have hit Sanchez hard this year. In his last home start versus Cleveland, Sanchez allowed 9 hits and 7 runs in only 2.1 innings. The Indians may have a field day.

Weather Factors to Target or Avoid:

  • Astros at Royals15 MPH wind blowing out
  • Red Sox at Rangers – 13 MPH wind blowing in

Pitchers of the Day:

  1. Madison Bumgarner vs. Phillies Just because it’s obvious doesn’t mean you don’t use it. The Phils have a .262 team wOBA versus southpaws and a 23.4% K-rate versus lefties. Bumgarner has been at his absolute best this year ranking 3rd in the NL in ERA, 5th in Ks and 8th in K/9 with what would be a career high. He’ll be a great source of points and a good guy to build lineups around.
  2. Kevin Gausman vs. Rays – The Rays have a nice power hitting lineup, but they have struck out a ton this year, especially against righties with a 25.3% K-rate. Gausman has been at or above a strikeout per inning in four of his last six starts and struck out 7 Rays in only five innings back in April (and allowed only three hits and one earned run). I could see a longer start with even more strikeouts today.

Platoon Split Hitters:

  1. Scott van Slyke vs. Jeff Locke.399 wOBA and 156 wRC+ in a small sample size versus lefties this year, but .374 wOBA and 142 wRC+ in his career versus southpaws.
  2. Albert Pujols vs. Dillon Overton – Pujols has become a lefty hitting specialist in his old age, hitting southpaws with a .359 wOBA and 131 wRC+.

Any more questions? Hit me up on Twitter @AssemblyNeil

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Neil
Neil has been an avid fantasy sports player since 1991 and a profitable low stakes DFS grinder since 2014. Neil is ranked in the top 20% of DFS players in 3 sports and in the top 10% of DFS players for his stakes per RotoGrinders rankings. As a native Montrealer Neil hopes to get a Major League Baseball team back to his hometown some day soon.