Daily Fantasy Quick Hits – June 17

Neil previews today’s game action and shares his top DFS Plays for June 17

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Interesting day for yours truly yesterday.  I played baseball last night and my team was facing the last place team in our league.  We came out completely flat and got pasted 15-4.  I figured I would drown in my sorrows by watching some baseball and following my DFS teams.  I usually put what I think are my 3 best lineups in the Slider on DraftKings – it didn’t work out last night as my point totals in the Slider yesterday were: 88.25, 47.25 and 34.25.  I want to thank the 50 people who scored lower than 34.25 yesterday to allow me to avoid the embarrassment of last place.  Just a terrible evening all around for me.  

As I always preach though, days like that will happen.  You just have to keep trusting the process and be profitable over time.  For me, even if I lose out the rest of the season it will be a profitable MLB season.  Let’s see if we can do better today.

Here are your quick hits of the day:

Batter versus Pitcher Warriors:

  1. Chris Davis vs. Aaron Sanchez – 6/10 with 3 homers, a double and 3 walks
  2. Alex Avila vs. Trevor Bauer – 6/11 with a homer and 2 walks
  3. Logan Morrison vs. Jeff Samardzija – 4/14 with 2 homers and 5 walks
  4. Matt Joyce vs. Jake Arrieta – 7/17 with 2 doubles, a homer and 2 walks

Stacks to Target:

  1. Astros vs. John Lamb – The Astros are a good team to either target or play depending on style of pitcher.  When a low strikeout guy like Lamb is on the mound, I am all in on the Astros power bats.  Lamb has a minuscule 4.71 K/9 and is walking too many guys with a 3.64 BB/9.  He also allows 36.9% hard contact.  I am feeling the ‘Stros this evening.
  2. Mariners vs. Roenis Elias – The Mariners offense is a bit underrated as they rank 5th in road OPS and are only brought down a bit by their spacious home ballpark.  They have also been hot as they are 8th in the majors in runs scored in June.  Elias has a career walk rate of 3.53 and allows a .334 wOBA to right-handed bats.  I like Nelson Cruz, Franklin Gutierrez and friends to take advantage.

Weather Factors to Target or Avoid:

  • White Sox at Indians – 10 MPH wind blowing in
  • Tigers at Royals – 10 MPH wind blowing in
  • Angels at A’s – 12 MPH wind blowing out

Pitchers of the Day:

  1. Jeff Samardzija vs. Rays – I like the Rays offense more than most, but there is a good chance that their main star, Evan Longoria, is out another day today.  Samardzija has hit a bit of a rough patch recently, but he is still holding right-handed hitters to a .297 wOBA, and the Rays are a righty heavy outfit.  Add in a 25.0% K rate by TB versus right-handed pitchers and it could be a nice night for the Shark.
  2. Matt Shoemaker vs. A’s – Shoemaker has turned into Clayton Kershaw all of a sudden as he has 48 Ks and 1 BB over his last 5 starts.  In this ridiculously hot stretch, Shoemaker has struck out over a batter an inning in 4 of the 5 starts and pitched at least 7 innings allowing 2 earned runs or less in 4 of the 5 starts.  In addition, Shoemaker faced Oakland in April, before his great run started, and he had his best start of that stretch holding the A’s to only 1 hit over 6 scoreless innings.  This could be a monster performance for Shoemaker.

Platoon Split Hitters:

  1. Michael Conforto vs. John Gant – In a very small sample size, Gant has allowed an astronomical .511 wOBA to LHB.  Conforto has struggled mightily against lefties but is still smoking righties with a .384 wOBA and 148 wRC+.
  2. Yasmany Tomas vs. Adam Morgan – Tomas has quietly put together a very nice stretch against left-handed pitchers with a .409 wOBA and 155 wRC+.

Any more questions? Hit me up on Twitter @AssemblyNeil

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Neil
Neil has been an avid fantasy sports player since 1991 and a profitable low stakes DFS grinder since 2014. Neil is ranked in the top 20% of DFS players in 3 sports and in the top 10% of DFS players for his stakes per RotoGrinders rankings. As a native Montrealer Neil hopes to get a Major League Baseball team back to his hometown some day soon.
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