Neil previews today’s game action and shares his top DFS Plays for May 22
I don’t think I was meant to live in Montreal. I hate the cold so I suffer all winter, and then when the weather finally turns, seasonal allergies kill me. So I write to you today with some severe sniffles and itchy eyes. I guess instead of spending the day outside with my kids at the park, I will be watching baseball with the windows closed. It’s as good a day as any to play some DFS.
There are some top pitchers on the slate in Bumgarner, Scherzer and Hamels, but I am actually going to recommend stacking against one of them, and none of those three make it on my pitchers to recommend list (though I will definitely have some MadBum and MadMax exposure).
Here are your quick hits of the day:
Batter versus Pitcher Warriors:
- Steve Pearce vs. Jordan Zimmermann – 4/9 with 2 homers 2 doubles and a walk
- Jose Altuve vs. Cole Hamels – 5/9 with a homer and a walk
- Martin Prado vs. Max Scherzer – 11/22 with a homer and 2 doubles
- Michael Bourn vs. Jamie Garcia – 7/14 with 2 doubles and 2 walks
Stacks to Target:
- Orioles vs. Jered Weaver – Jered Weaver’s velocity has never been his calling card, but it has reached truly absurd levels this year with his 82.3 MPH average fastball velocity. And it has began to make a difference in his results as he is inducing soft contact only 12.2% of the time and hard contact a very elevated 36.1% of the time. Last year those numbers were 21% and 30% respectively. Baltimore is 3rd in OPS versus righties (they aren’t bad versus lefties either) and I think they have a field day.
- Astros vs. Cole Hamels – Those of you who read me frequently know that Houston is my favorite team to either attack or stack, depending on whether they face a strikeout pitcher. I’m changing things up a bit today because Hamels is capable of throwing K’s, but I still like the strikeout prone Astros for a good game. Houston’s lineup has a collective .286/.338/.546 line against Hamels, and Hamels’ 4.91 ERA in Minute Maid Park is his 2nd highest in any ballpark where he has pitched at least 5 times.
Weather Factors to Target or Avoid:
- Rays at Tigers – 14 MPH wind blowing out
- Mariners at Reds – 12 MPH wind blowing out
- Rockies at Pirates – rain possible
- Yankees at A’s – 11 MPH wind blowing out
- Cubs at Giants – 13 MPH wind blowing out
Pitchers of the Day:
- Kenta Maeda at San Diego – Maeda was extremely impressive in his first four major league starts with game scores over 60 in each one, but he has slowed down since and hasn’t been over 50 in a game score in his last four. Included in those impressive first four starts was a 6 inning shutout of the Padres in San Diego. The Padres have somehow taken over last place from the Braves in OPS versus righties and Maeda should benefit once again.
- Chris Archer at Detroit – This is a good GPP play, but there are better plays in cash. The Tigers as a collective have a .200/.273/.254 line against Archer who is 1-0 with a 2.16 ERA at Commerica in his career. The Tigers also rank 8th in MLB in strikeouts (Max Scherzer helped that number) and Archer is 4th in the AL in strikeouts and 2nd in K/9 at 11.13. Could be a big score for Archer.
Platoon Split Hitters:
- Brett Gardner vs. Jesse Hahn – Gardner has an impressive .909 OPS versus righties on the year.
- Mallex Smith vs. Jerad Eickhoff – Smith probably shouldn’t be playing against lefties, but his numbers against righties are great with a .306/.358/.528 line
Any more questions? Hit me up on Twitter @AssemblyNeil
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