Daily Fantasy Quick Hits – April 19

Neil previews today’s game action and shares his top DFS Plays for April 19.

DFS Baseball LogoDaily Fantasy can be a cruel mistress.  I loved Carlos Rodon yesterday and had him in 4 of my 5 lineups, which didn’t go so well.  At least the 5th lineup was profitable.  Despite getting burned yesterday, I am going back to the well and targeting a pitcher against the Angels today.  They hit righties even worse than lefties.  Let’s hope it’s a good day.

Here are your quick hit thoughts for today:

Batter versus Pitcher Warriors:

  1. Giancarlo Stanton vs. Stephen Strasburg – 13/32 with 9 extra base hits including 3 homers and added 5 walks
  2. David Ortiz vs. Drew Smyly – 5/11 with 2 extra base hits including a homer and added 2 walks
  3. Yadier Molina vs. Jason Hammel – 6/13 with 3 extra base hits and added a walk
  4. Marcel Ozuna vs. Stephen Strasburg – 8/22 with  extra base hits including 2 homers and added 2 walks

Stacks to Target:

  1. Astros vs. Derek Holland– The Astros have the 4th highest OPS in the majors against lefties at .875.  They have also destroyed Holland in the past with a .406/.454/.796 collective line. 
  2. Diamondbacks vs. Matt Cain – The Diamondbacks have shown some signs of life offensively, scoring 9 runs yesterday and 7 runs on Sunday.  They love facing Matt Cain as well with a collective line of .325/.389/.519 against the Giants’ righty.

Weather Factors to Target or Avoid:

  1. Milwaukee at Minnesota – 11 MPH wind blowing in
  2. Seattle at Cleveland – 12 MPH wind blowing in
  3. Toronto at Baltimore – 12 MPH wind blowing in
  4. Cubs at St. Louis – chance of rain

Sneaky Pitchers of the Day:

  1. Adam Conley vs. Nationals – Conley is dirt cheap on the main DFS sites today and is a good punt option if you want to spend on hitters.  He went 6 innings, allowing no earned runs and striking out 9 his last time out after a very solid spring training.  He’ll be low owned and a nice play in tournaments.
  2. Mat Latos vs. Angels – If you don’t like Conley, another play that I love in GPPs is Mat Latos.  Latos has looked like his erstwhile self thus far this season with a 0.75 ERA, while the Angels are dead last in OPS against right-handed pitching with a .555 number.

Sneaky Platoon Split Hitters:

  1.  Alex Rodriguez vs. Erik Surkamp – A-Rod was below average against right-handed pitching in 2015, but feasted on lefties with a .389 wOBA and 148 wRC+.  Surkamp is a pretty mediocre southpaw.  A-Rod could be in for a nice day.
  2. Adonis Garcia vs. Alex Wood – If you want a player who will be under 5% owned but has a chance at a great day, I think Garcia is a good option.  He hasn’t been hitting that well thus far in 2016, but in 2015 he smoked lefties with a .412 wOBA and 166 wRC+.  Might be a good play to differentiate your GPP lineup.

Any more questions?  Hit me up on Twitter @AssemblyNeil

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Neil has been an avid fantasy sports player since 1991 and a profitable low stakes DFS grinder since 2014. Neil is ranked in the top 20% of DFS players in 3 sports and in the top 10% of DFS players for his stakes per RotoGrinders rankings. As a native Montrealer Neil hopes to get a Major League Baseball team back to his hometown some day soon.