Wow, one full week of streamers is in the books! How we all feeling? Yeah, I didn’t really care anyways, just making small talk. Let’s do it, to it! And by that, I mean let’s look at how last week’s weekday streamers did. Last week’s seven weekday streamers went 2-3 with an ERA of 3.64, a WHIP of 1.02 and a 7.09 K/9. Seems serviceable enough.
On the season, my 13 streamers have gone 5-4 with an ERA of 3.35, a WHIP of 1.12 and a 7.70 K/9. I’ll take those numbers! Of course, like with every week, all streams are not the same. There are Ins, Outs and What Have Yous…
|What have you|
Alright dem’s the appetizers, now onto the main course…
Tanner Roark, Nationals (@ Marlins) – This one may seem a bit iffy, since Tanner has already faced the Fish once this season and didn’t fare too well, but let’s walk through that start. Roark got the Marlins to hit ground balls at a rate of almost 60% in that first start, and is usually good at keeping the ball on the ground, in general. While the superficial box score numbers didn’t look great, his FIP was 3.91. I realize a 3.96 FIP is nothing to write home to mom about, but if that can translate into an under four ERA, that is good enough for streaming.
Plus, even though the Marlins touched up Roark a bit in their last meeting, they are still in the bottom third of the league in runs on the young season. And to grasp at even more straws, Roark was knocked around a bit by the Marlins last season at home, but shut them down quite well in Florida. Maybe I’m reaching, but given Monday’s slate, Roark may be one of your best options.
8.8% owned in ESPN, 7% owned in Yahoo!
Jerad Eickhoff, Phillies (vs. Mets) – Jerad seems like a perfect candidate for a nice knee-jerk early season pickup after allowing just two total earned runs over his first two starts of 2016. We don’t have much to go on, but just because Eickhoff was not on anybody’s radar prior to the season doesn’t mean the first two starts were necessarily flukes, right? I mean his FIP is under two, so he seems to be able to pitch to his environment/situation, and even a 3.56 SIERA is promising. Eickhoff has a good K-rate and ground ball rate which are both handy to have, and as you should know, both things I quite enjoy from a pitcher.
The good pitching is also not completely out of left field, either. In 2015 he posted a sub-three ERA and a 3.25 FIP over eight starts. In addition to that, Eickhoff has been getting more grounders thus far in 2016 than he was in 2015. Oh, and lest we forget the Mets offense is a hot mess right now. The Mets are last in the majors in ISO, last in the majors in wOBA, and 2nd to last in the majors in runs scored. That right there bodes well for Jerad.
10.5% owned in ESPN, 43% owned in Yahoo!
Shane Greene, Tigers (@ Royals) – So we meet again, Shane. I was high on Greene entering 2015. and you all know how that turned out. If you don’t — well, it’s a touchy subject, and I’d appreciate a little space on the matter. Fast forward to 2016 and Shane Greene is pitching well. After one start and one relief appearance Shane has a nice 2.57 ERA, a .86 WHIP and a 9.00 K/9. None too shabby, right? You think that’s good, check out his GB% in the mid 50’s. Could this be the Shane Greene I thought we’d all see, last season? It’s very possible. I am not gonna buy in too much after just one start, but I certainly like his matchup with KC.
The Royals are somewhat of a middling offense right now. The percentage of ground balls the Royals are hitting is higher than most teams, and only three teams are currently making more soft contact than these Royals. For that matter, only two teams are hitting the ball hard less often than the Royals in the early goings of 2016. Combining this data in a somewhat logical way makes me conclude that odds favor a lot of softly hit grounders for Shane Greene. Not sure my formulas are entirely accurate; just go with it.
3.9% owned in ESPN, 9% owned in Yahoo!
Ervin Santana, Twins (vs. Brewers) – Big Erv has put up back-to-back quality starts, posting a 3.46 ERA (2.01 FIP) and 1.23 WHIP along with a K/9 of nine and a 52.8% ground ball rate. All in all some highly decent numbers, and more than serviceable for our purposes here at the “Streams”. Santana just missed my preseason list of mostly undrafted starting pitchers that I felt would be widely owned by season’s end, so chances are I’ll be writing about him quite a bit this season.
As I showed you, Santana has been highly serviceable thus far, and I think he should continue racking up the quality starts. The Brewers are middle to lower half of the league in most offensive categories I care about. This may be tough if you need wins since the Twinkies offer very little run support, but if you want help in the other categories, then Big Erv is your guy on Tuesday.
22.7% owned in ESPN, 47% owned in Yahoo!
Jeremy Hellickson, Phillies (vs. Mets) – Even if you are not buying into Hellboy’s early season numbers and are leaning on the start against the Nationals, this is the Mets. In case you forgot from earlier in this episode, the Mets are not hitting well. In fact, they are arguably hitting worse than every other team in Major League Baseball thus far. I don’t know that the Mets will be this bad at the plate throughout the entire season, but I also don’t think they will become a feared offense any time soon. Plus Hellickson did a nice job pitching against the Metropolitans in his last start.
With a SIERA of 3.37 though three starts, it is possible Hellboy is back to being relevant. I’d like to see him pitch well against some more formidable offenses before making that call, but I have no hesitation slotting him in my lineup against the Metropolitans come hump day.
35% owned in ESPN, 34% owned in Yahoo!
Ross Stripling, Dodgers (@ Braves) – Stripling started his season by throwing seven and a third no-hit innings against the Giants, but judging by his ownership numbers, not many people were buying in. Frankly, I don’t blame them, as his FIP for that game (for what it’s worth) was 3.70 as he walked four batters. With a K/9 that is not very high and a quarter of the balls being put in play being considered hard hit, Stripling will not likely be flirting with many more no-hit bids. Based on that first performance it would be hard to buy in to Strip, but more Ks and a higher ground ball rate in his second outing make him a bit more appealing.
Still tough to know what you’re gonna get out of Strip each time out, but it’s not too tough to know what you are likely to get out of the Braves offense each time out. Their offense is, um, well…. not great. They are tied for last in wOBA, dead alone in last in ISO and only the Rays and Twins have scored fewer runs. It’s not good. If you’re not completely sold on Strip, I get it. But it’s the Braves here, so give him a shot!
24.9% owned in ESPN, 30% owned in Yahoo!
Rich Hill, Athletics (@ Yankees) – Okay, Hill’s last start was not fantastic, but he was still getting Ks and grounders, and his FIPs were in the low threes, so let us not panic here. You know he will get strikeouts, and I feel like the quality starts will come in bunches, starting here. Hill’s SIERA is under three, so it seems like he is actually pitching well and maybe getting a tad bit of bad luck.
Yankee Stadium is not ideal for pitchers and the Yankees are in the top half of the league offensively, but I will continue to stand by Rich Hill. At the very least he should help your strikeout numbers, right? I think you get a quality start, here and that’s all I gotta say about that.
16.1% owned in ESPN, 23% owned in Yahoo!
Cody Anderson, Indians (vs. Mariners) – Okay, so Cody’s last start was not so good. I get it, but at least the strikeouts were there in the last start, right? They are going to have to be there with Cody’s current groundball rate. Yeah, it’s rough, but he faces the Mariners this time around, and after a fast start offensively, their bats have cooled. Over the last week the M’s are 25th in wOBA and 23rd in ISO. Maybe I am grasping here and trying to stick to my guns, but I think Cody can turn it around in this one. I will say I am less confident in Cody than I was before the season started, but I am not willing to jump ship just yet. Just watch; he will give you a decent outing this time… you’ll see!
4.8% owned in ESPN, 7% owned in Yahoo!
That’s it. That’s all I got for ya. Go on, get outta here, go stream!
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