We are officially halfway through the NFL season as it turns into week 10. This week instead of being a downer and talking about some more injuries in this open, I am going to take a different road and look at what has gone right this season.
Based on ESPN’s average draft position (ADP) I am going to do a “Draft Day Steals” team. All of these players had an ADP outside the top 60, after the fifth round in 12-team leagues.
|He is averaging more than 43 attempts per game. Volume leads to fantasy goodness.|
|He got the job and ran with it, literally.|
|He has struggled lately but he has still be a first half star.|
|He isn’t 25 anymore but he is trying to make people realize what his career could have been if he had a quarterback.|
|He has looked amazing this year and it helps that the Jaguars are always playing from behind.|
|The tight end leader in touchdowns so far.|
|No one ever wants him but he is consistently putting up solid numbers.|
On average this team would have averaged 99 points in standard leagues. You could have drafted kickers and defenses for the first five rounds then picked up these guys and dominated your league.
You might ask yourself why I went through and picked out late round guys who way outperformed their ADP. This team can help show how the middle and late rounds are just as important as the first five. Not only does it show that, but it is a good example of how buying low or buying high early in the season can really benefit you for the rest of the season.
A lot of people weren’t buying the Larry Fitzgerald resurgence after the first week of the season, but if you went ahead and bought him at top 20 receiver value you are loving it right now.
I don’t want to go on a somber note with this next team, but I am going to do it anyway. This next team is the “All-Disappointment” team. A lot of fantasy pundits won’t count injuries into a players bad season, but it does count so why wouldn’t you? I am sitting here watching Darren McFadden, and he was considered a bust by just about everyone out there because of his inability to stay healthy. Health is just as big of a skill as speed or strength.
All of these players were drafted inside the first 48 picks – the first four rounds of a 12 team league.
|He finally had a good NFL game but it was actually better for fantasy owners when he threw picks and had garbage yards.|
|Unfortunately he tore his ACL early in the season.|
|He was known to miss at least two games with the suspension. The MCL injury ended what could have been a great year.|
|He hasn’t been able to get on track, mainly because he can’t catch a cold.|
|If it wasn’t for a corner falling down twice in the Saints game his season would be a lot worse.|
|He is barely inside the top 10 for tight ends when he was drafted in the elite tier.|
|You could say he is hurting owners more than Charles and Bell. At least Charles and Bell were good when they were in the lineup.|
Post your nominees for these teams in the comment section below. If you agree, disagree or think someone else is more deserving on one of these teams feel free to give your opinion. These teams are supposed to reflect year to date, the future value is not taken in to consideration.
Just like every other week, ask any questions you may have in the comment section below, or if you need a quick answer ask me on Twitter @TheSportsGuy40.
Good luck in your matchups, and happy trading!
QB – Ben Roethlisberger
If you are looking for a playoff quarterback I would be looking right at the Roethlisberger owner. When he is healthy he can put up great numbers. As of now they are projected a few missed weeks for him and he should be back and ready to go for the fantasy playoffs. Wait as long as you can before going after him. Try to find out all the injury information you can, but if it looks like this will keep him out three weeks or less I would be going for Roethlisberger if I needed a quarterback and my playoff chances were pretty solid. Worst case scenario I think he misses four weeks, three games, and returns just in time for the fantasy playoffs. I wouldn’t be shocked if some Roethlisberger owners even drop him after this week if they are fighting for a playoff spot.
Potential buy low offer: James Jones for Roethlisberger
RB – Devonta Freeman
If the Freeman owner is panicking after one bad week buy, buy, buy. Freeman is one of the few elite fantasy running backs left standing through nine weeks of the season. If you can afford offering a receiver in the near elite group for him get Freeman.
Potential buy low offer: Demaryius Thomas for Freeman
RB – Mark Ingram
Drew Brees took over from inside the 10-yard line. Brees had a one and 10-yard touchdown pass along with a rushing touchdown from one yard out. With Khiry Robinson out there was hope that Ingram would get more opportunities from inside the 10 and it didn’t happen this week. Don’t bet on Brees getting three goal to go type touchdowns every week and Ingram not getting any. Some of those opportunities will go Ingram’s way. Other than one game against Carolina, the Saints have a great schedule down the stretch.
Potential buy low offer: Michael Crabtree for Ingram
RB – T.J. Yeldon
He didn’t play that well this week, but it was expected in a tough matchup. The final stats look better than they really were, he broke off a long run later in the game. Yeldon hasn’t had a lot of great stat lines this season, but he has looked good so far. Yeldon is another player who has a nice stretch of games coming up where he can really do some damage on the ground.
Potential buy low offer: James Jones for Yeldon
RB – James Starks
I think there is a changing of the guard coming in Green Bay; it probably already happened this week. Lacy apparently got hurt at some point and also appeared to get benched for a period of time for fumbling. Starks looked better from the few times I saw him and he is a nice added weapon in the passing game. The Packers are about to get the really soft part of their schedule. It should be smooth sailing for a while for Green Bay.
Potential buy low offer: Marvin Jones for Starks
TE – Jordan Reed
His late touchdown might make the casual owners less inclined to sell because of his final point total, but his overall stat line wasn’t good today. When healthy Reed is one of the few “flex worthy” tight ends in fantasy. If you don’t have one of the few elite tight ends go for Reed this week. You might even be able to add him off of waivers, he is still available in a lot of leagues.
Potential buy low offer: Willie Snead for Reed
QB – Marcus Mariota
He returned with a huge game this week. Mariota has had a good rookie season, but fantasy wise he has only had two games that you can really get excited about. There are not a lot of good weapons in that offense. Mariota looks like a great option in dynasty leagues right now, but I am selling for redrafts; he doesn’t get to play the Saints every week. He has games left against the Panthers, Patriots and Jets.
Potential sell high offer: Mariota and Edelman for Odell Beckham Jr.
RB – DeAngelo Williams
What a game from Williams this week. I think Williams is going to be a good back as long as he stays healthy, around number 10 for the rest of the season. My worry with Williams is his health if he gets a consistent workload of more than 20 touches per game. If you can get someone to bite on top five running back value jump all over it. If you can’t then keep rolling him out there; as long as he is on the field he is going to be a great option.
Potential sell high offer: Williams for Allen Robinson and Mark Ingram
WR – Julio Jones
This is a really risky one. We all know what he is capable of. Heck, look at what he did this week. The Falcons are really struggling right now. Matt Ryan is not playing well and at some point I see it hurting Jones. Jones also gets two tough matchups against the Panthers in the fantasy playoffs. Do not sell Julio just to do it, but if you can trade him for another top-level receiver plus something else I think it is something that you should do.
Potential sell high offer: Jones and Frank Gore for Todd Gurley and Julian Edelman
WR – Allen Hurns
I am invested in Hurns in a lot of leagues, and I will be trying hard to move him this week. What he is doing is unsustainable. Hurns has touchdowns in six straight weeks and has only one game this season with more than five catches. Hurns is a borderline top 20 receiver with his production to this point and there is a good chance you can get even more than that in return. One thing to make me hesitant on selling Hurns is his upcoming schedule.
Potential sell high offer: Hurns for Justin Forsett
QB – Drew Brees
Ever since returning from his shoulder injury he has been on fire. The past two games have been one of the best two game stretches in fantasy history. As I mentioned before, the Saints have a nice stretch of games coming up and that horrible defense will almost always keep the games close enough that Brees can keep airing it out.
I would take him over: Andrew Luck, Russell Wilson, Peyton Manning, Eli Manning.
RB – Jeremy Hill
He struggled against the Brown and was really outplayed by Giovani Bernard. Hill hasn’t looked like he did last season. If you can afford to keep him on the bench do it, but if you need some value out of a running back trade him for anything you can get.
I sell him for: Giovani Bernard, Jonathan Stewart, LeGarrette Blount, Danny Woodhead.
THE “I DON’T KNOW WHAT HE IS” CATEGORY
WR – Antonio Brown
Creative name right? I really didn’t know where to put him. I want to buy him, but he isn’t a buy low after this week. He also isn’t really a buy high because his owners might be freaked out now that Roethlisberger is hurt again. The Steelers will turn to Landry Jones while Big Ben is on the sidelines and that is good news for Brown, but he won’t do what he did this week. Then in week 11 the Steelers go on their bye week. There is a chance Roethlisberger returns after the bye and only misses one game, then Brown can go back to single-handedly winning weeks for his fantasy owners. More realistically I think Roethlisberger misses three weeks, two games, and I think the worst case is he returns week 14. Whether it is buy high, buy low, or whatever the way you want to consider it, get Brown if you can get him for any type of reasonable value. Brown is the number one target in fantasy if you are looking for someone to make your team unstoppable for a playoff run. He is averaging, averaging, 19.38 points in standard leagues when Roethlisberger starts.
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