This is the first buy low/sell high article of 2015. If you have been playing fantasy sports you should know that trading is an important part of building a championship team.
Trading in fantasy sports is similar to the stock market; you want to sell stocks (players) when you think their value is at or near its apex. Wait one week too long and it could mean a lot of value lost. The exact opposite is the case when looking to buy.
In this weekly article I am going to try to profile some players based on the last week or two who could be some good buy low and sell high options.
I will try to offer an example of a trade that you could offer to get that player. If I say offer player “X” and player “Y” for player “A” that doesn’t mean I think that is what that player is really worth, it is an example of how low an owner might view that player’s value. You can obviously try a combination of players that is better or worse than what I recommend.
If you have any trades that you are thinking about offering or have had offered to you, post them in the comment section below. They do not necessarily have to be of the buy low or sell high variety.
QB – Andrew Luck – Colts
He got off to a slow start, and then missed this week with an injury. Every Luck owner should be hurting right now record wise; Luck had a bad week coupled with two average ones. There is no guarantee Luck plays Thursday night, but if he does he will tear apart the Texans. Everyone knows what Luck is capable of; once the Luck owner sees a sign of a turnaround, your buy low opportunity will be gone. Act quickly; there isn’t a full week to get the trade done.
Potential buy low offer: Tyrod Taylor and Mark Ingram for Andrew Luck
RB – Arian Foster – Texans
He did not look good in his first game back. He didn’t do much in the running game and also fumbled. Foster will be great when he is given the full load. Do not worry about the team around him being bad; a healthy Foster elevates the offense. This might be the last chance to but a top-tier running back at a bargain.
Potential buy low offer: Keenan Allen for Arian Foster
RB – Latavius Murray – Raiders
He left the game early with an injury. but returned to action later so the injury doesn’t appear to be serious. So few running backs have performed well this season. The best time to buy might be after next week’s game against the Broncos. The Raiders should struggle on offense. and I wouldn’t be surprised to see another clunker type game and possibly a chance to buy even lower.
Potential buy low offer: Jeremy Maclin for Latavius Murray
WR – John Brown – Cardinals
Brown put up a decent yardage game this week. He might be the most talented receiver on the Cardinals at the moment, although Fitzgerald is reviving his career. Brown is a speedy slot receiver who should be a big time performer sooner rather than later. Don’t wait until he has a double-digit 100-yard game before you realize you want him.
Potential buy low offer: Danny Woodhead for John Brown
WR – Jordan Matthews – Eagles
The offense showed signs of life today. The risk in trading for Matthews is that it showed signs of life without featuring him. I wouldn’t be worried, Matthews is still the top target in the passing game. The receivers outside of the elite group (even the ones inside of it) are going to have their fair share of clunkers. If this offense can figure things out then Matthews can rejoin the top 12-receiver discussion.
Potential buy low offer: T.J. Yeldon and Golden Tate for Jordan Matthews
TE – Travis Kelce – Chiefs
Still in the elite top four group of tight ends. I was reading on message boards that people were considering dropping him because he was struggling. If owners really are that frustrated, run (don’t walk) to offer them a deal.
Potential buy low offer: Delanie Walker and Danny Woodhead for Travis Kelce
QB – Andy Dalton – Bengals: He has been an up and down performer his entire career, I am not about to bet that he has changed. The Bengals get the Seahawks and Bills the next two weeks leading into the bye week.
Potential sell high offer: Andy Dalton and Matt Forte for Adrian Peterson
QB – Phillip Rivers – Chargers: Rivers has performed really well to date, but in the long run he is in the “whatever” group of quarterbacks outside the top eight or so. He isn’t going to be the guy who will win you a week, but if an owner in your league drafted Tony Romo and Sam Bradford to be their quarterbacks, Rivers could carry some big value.
Potential sell high offer: Phillip Rivers and Emmanuel Sander for Odell Beckham Jr.
RB – T.J. Yeldon – Jaguars: He looked good in week one but has struggled ever since. He got his first 100-yard game in the NFL this week, but the majority of it came on a 36-yard run in overtime. Yeldon is a volume play; his value is going to come on the hope that he gets 20 touches a game. Running backs on the Jaguars can never be a sure bet to get 20 touches a game with how bad that team is.
Potential sell high offer: T.J. Yeldon and Allen Robinson for Brandon Marshall
RB – Jeremy Hill – Bengals: Jeremy Hill had a huge game in terms of fantasy points, but overall nothing Hill did was special. If you can get someone to buy into the potential top five running back hype from the preseason after the 24-point outbreak, sell immediately. This is a full-blown timeshare, and when the clock needed to be killed late in the game it Giovani Bernard who was on the field. Bernard had all 10 of the team’s carries with fewer than 10 minutes left in the game.
Potential sell high offer: Jeremy Hill for Demaryius Thomas
WR – Jeremy Maclin: Maclin has had two big weeks in a row. I do not think he should be sold for cheap; he has top 20 ability. However, I do not think the Chiefs’ offense is going to keep featuring him. One big game came primarily in garbage time.
Potential sell high offer: Jeremy Maclin for T.Y. Hilton
WR – Keenan Allen – Chargers: Antonio Gates is coming back next week to eat up some of Allen’s targets. Allen has shown so far this season that he needs a lot of targets in order to be a good source of points. If he sits in the around eight targets per game he will not be anything more than a third receiver or a flex.
Potential sell high offer: Keenan Allen for Todd Gurley
TE – Martellus Bennett – Bears: He is always a fast starter and he just got to play one of the worst defenses ever when it comes to defending tight ends. Right now he is the number one (or 1-A with Forte) passing option in this offense. Alshon Jeffery should be returning soon as well.
Potential sell high offer: Martellus Bennett and Keenan Allen for Amari Cooper
Normally the idea is to not buy high on a player, but in some cases it is the right thing to do. Each week I will pick a player that you should buy at a high value now because I see his value going up even more in the future.
WR – Amari Cooper – Raiders: I was way too low on him in the preseason. He is the real deal and by far the number one target in the passing game. I would be willing to pay up for him before his value really skyrockets.
I would take him over: T.Y. Hilton, Mike Evans, Alshon Jeffery
Similar to the buy high this will be a player that I think you can sell for pennies on the dollar before his value plummets even more.
RB – Jonathan Stewart – Panthers: I am willing to bite the bullet on this one. In the preseason, if I was told he was going to average 15 carries per game I would have assumed he was a high-end running back two. The big knock on him over the years was the split backfield and he can’t stay on the field, but neither of those are a problem this year. He is third in line for carries when the team gets inside the 10 yard line. It isn’t going to happen this season.
I would sell him for: LeGarrette Blount, Dion Lewis, Isaiah Crowell.
Need more buy/sell advice, position battles, injury news, waiver wire pick-ups, etc.., head on over to Fantasy Rundown.